Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets Picks and Predictions November 24th 2025

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Phoenix Suns vs Houston Rockets Betting Preview

The Phoenix Suns host the Houston Rockets at Mortgage Matchup Center in Monday NBA action. Phoenix enters at 11-6 riding a three-game win streak, while Houston sits at 10-4 after a narrow loss to Denver. Bettors will weigh the Rockets’ offensive firepower against the Suns’ balanced scoring and home momentum.

Line Movement and Odds

  • Rockets Spread: -5.5 (-111)
  • Suns Spread: +5.5 (-111)
  • Rockets MoneyLine: -218
  • Suns MoneyLine: +181
  • Total: 226.5 (Over -110, Under -110)

Houston opened as road favorites, reflecting their scoring depth despite Kevin Durant’s absence. See full NBA odds for market movement.

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Matchup Breakdown

Houston Rockets Outlook

Reed Sheppard scored 27 points on 69.2% shooting in the 112-109 loss to Denver, highlighting his efficiency. Houston ranks third in points per game (122.9) and leads the NBA in rebounds (49.6 per game). They also top the league in three-point percentage (42.0%), making them dangerous from deep. With Durant unavailable, Alperen Sengün and Jabari Smith Jr. must step up to maintain offensive balance. The Rockets’ ability to control the boards and shoot efficiently gives them a strong chance to bounce back.

Phoenix Suns Outlook

Phoenix defeated San Antonio 111-102, led by Devin Booker’s 24 points and Dillon Brooks’ 25. Jordan Goodwin added a double-double with 15 points and 10 rebounds. The Suns rank fourth in three-point percentage (38.3%) and sixth in opponent three-point defense (33.6%). They allow just 113.3 points per game (6th), showing defensive strength. Their effective FG% of 55.7% ranks ninth, underscoring efficient shooting. Playing at home, Phoenix has won three straight and looks to extend their streak against a shorthanded Rockets squad.

Key Matchup / Path to Victory

The Rockets must rely on Sheppard’s scoring and Sengün’s interior presence to offset Durant’s absence. The Suns need Booker and Brooks to continue their scoring while Goodwin controls the boards. Rebounding and perimeter shooting will be decisive in this Western Conference clash.

Injuries / Availability

Houston will be without Kevin Durant (family matter). For the latest roster updates, check the Rockets injury report.

Phoenix lists Grayson Allen (quad) as out, while Ryan Dunn and Rasheer Fleming remain questionable. You can review current lineup notes on the Suns injury page.

Environment

The game tips at Mortgage Matchup Center, where Phoenix is 7-3 at home. Houston is 5-3 on the road, looking to rebound after their loss to Denver. Expect a high-paced contest with playoff implications in the West.

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Best Bets and Prediction

Projected Final Score: Rockets 120, Suns 115

  • Best Bet: Suns +5.5 (-111)
    Phoenix’s home form and balanced scoring suggest they can keep the game within the spread.
  • Total: Over 226.5 (-110)
    Our model projects 235 points, leaning over given both teams’ offensive strengths.

Houston’s rebounding and shooting should secure the win, but Phoenix’s depth keeps it close. Expect a competitive game trending over the total.

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