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Game Preview: Detroit Lions @ Green Bay Packers
The NFC North spotlight lands on Ford Field as the Detroit Lions host the Green Bay Packers in a Thanksgiving matchup packed with divisional and playoff implications. Detroit remains one of the NFC’s most explosive offenses, while Green Bay brings a top-tier scoring defense into the dome. Opening odds listed the Lions at -2.5 with a total of 49.0, and this game fits squarely into the narrative-heavy slate featured in the NFL Week 13 page at ScoresAndStats. With the Lions sitting at 7-4 and the Packers at 7-3-1, both need this result to keep pace with Chicago in the division.
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Detroit enters after a dramatic comeback win over the Giants where Jahmyr Gibbs produced 264 scrimmage yards and three touchdowns. Green Bay arrives on a two-game streak highlighted by a 23-6 domination of Minnesota. The environment will be loud, fast, and entirely in Detroit’s favor, but Green Bay’s defense has already solved the Lions once in 2025.
Odds and Key Information
The market opened at Lions -2.5, and although Detroit drew early support, sharper money has kept the spread stable as bettors weigh Green Bay’s defensive consistency. The Packers’ moneyline sits in the mid +120s, while total action is split nearly 50/50, with respected bettors leaning over due to Detroit’s pace and red-zone production at home.
Coaches from both sides have emphasized the importance of communication and composure in the dome, particularly with Green Bay dealing with injuries on both lines. The expectation around the market is that Detroit’s offensive tempo will test the Packers’ second-level depth, but Green Bay’s ability to generate pressure could stabilize the matchup.
Detroit Lions Outlook
Detroit’s offense remains its identity. Jared Goff’s home splits are strong—261 passing yards per game with solid touchdown-to-interception efficiency—and his ability to manipulate coverage has elevated Detroit’s vertical passing concepts. The Lions continue ranking among the NFL’s best in early-down EPA, a byproduct of their play-action usage and run-game creativity with Gibbs.
Defensively, Detroit has trended inconsistently, allowing chunk plays and struggling in transition defense whenever their offense plays with tempo. Their turnover creation, however, remains a stabilizing component, and their ability to recover fumbles has extended multiple drives this season. Running lanes should be available against a Green Bay front that is banged up, but Detroit’s offensive line depth is also being tested, as highlighted on their injury report page:
Detroit Lions Injury Report
Detroit must keep Goff upright and maintain manageable down-and-distance situations. Their success rate on third downs (top-5 leaguewide) continues to be a differentiator. At home, where their pace accelerates, they’re capable of dictating terms in a way few teams match.
Green Bay Packers Outlook
Green Bay enters this matchup with one of the league’s stingiest defenses, allowing fewer than 20 points in four straight contests. Their pass rush has been consistently disruptive, generating 45 sacks on the season, and their discipline in coverage has limited explosive plays. The Packers’ ability to squeeze Detroit’s intermediate windows was a major reason for their Week 1 win.
Offensively, injuries have altered their approach, with Jordan Love playing through a non-throwing shoulder separation. Love has not surpassed 200 yards passing in three straight games, but Green Bay’s run-game committee—Emanuel Wilson’s emergence and potential contributions from Josh Jacobs—has provided stability. Their offense is designed around controlling tempo and letting their defense dictate field position. For injury monitoring, Green Bay’s full list is available here:
Green Bay Packers Injury Report
The Packers’ challenge is finding enough balance to avoid obvious passing situations, especially inside a loud dome. Their two-game win streak has been driven by early leads and mistake-free possessions, a formula they’ll need again.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Green Bay Packers | Detroit Lions |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 7-3-1 | 7-4 |
| Points Per Game | 23.1 (estimated) | League-high scoring offense |
| Opponent PPG Allowed | 2nd-fewest in NFC | Inconsistent, vulnerable to spikes |
| Yards Allowed | 145 allowed last game | Allowed 27 to Giants |
| Pass Game | Love under 200 yds in 3 straight | Goff averaging 261.2 at home |
| Rush Game | Wilson 107 last week; Jacobs Q | Gibbs 264 scrimmage yards last game |
| Turnover Creation | Strong (multiple vs Vikings) | Strong fumble recovery rate |
Betting Trends
Green Bay is 3-0 straight-up in its last three road games and has hit four consecutive overs away from home. Detroit has remained one of the league’s strongest favorites, going 9-1 straight-up and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games when laying points. Their total tendencies also lean high, cashing overs in three straight 2025 contests.
This matchup historically skews close, and Green Bay’s defensive consistency has kept them competitive inside the division. With both teams eyeing playoff positioning, bettors can also review broader league odds movement on the NFL odds page at ScoresAndStats, including the NFL previews portal for updated lines:
NFL Previews
The Lean
The projected pace of this matchup favors Detroit, which typically accelerates possessions inside Ford Field. Green Bay’s defense is formidable, but the Lions’ early-down efficiency and passing rhythm at home tilt the matchup toward Detroit covering short spreads. My model projects Detroit to maintain scoring pressure and force Green Bay into late-game passing situations.
Projected Score: Detroit Lions 28, Green Bay Packers 24
Best Bet: Lions -2.5
Total Lean: Over 49.0
For cross-sport insight and to stay ahead of line movement, bettors can also track NFL analytical previews alongside other leagues via the main NFL section at ScoresAndStats.
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Why You Need Expert Picks
Thanksgiving games draw heavy public action, which makes understanding sharp-side indicators essential. The ScoresAndStats Handicappers Leaderboard provides daily graded results and vetted projections to help bettors filter out noise and identify market edges:
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Expert picks combine matchup modeling, situational tendencies, and film-based evaluation to highlight where value exists beyond headline trends. Access to these projections is especially valuable when injuries and short-week preparation complicate the NFL landscape. For broader betting angles and guidance, the expert betting guide offers structured analysis across multiple sports: Expert Betting Guide
