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Denver Nuggets vs Dallas Mavericks Betting Preview
The Denver Nuggets host the Dallas Mavericks at Ball Arena in Monday NBA action. Denver looks to extend its strong Western Conference form, while Dallas leans on rookie Cooper Flagg’s historic performances to spark momentum. Bettors must weigh the Nuggets’ offensive efficiency against the Mavericks’ pace and perimeter defense.
Line Movement and Odds
- Nuggets Spread: -10.5 (-110)
- Mavericks Spread: +10.5 (-111)
- Total: 233.5 (Over -110, Under -110)
Denver opened as double-digit favorites given their 14-5 record and home dominance. See full NBA odds for market movement.
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Matchup Breakdown
Dallas Mavericks Outlook
Dallas edged the Clippers 114-110 behind Cooper Flagg’s career-high 35 points on 59.1% shooting. Naji Marshall added 18 points and eight rebounds. The Mavericks rank third in possessions (102.8 per game), creating scoring opportunities, and allow the fewest threes per game (11.0). Despite injuries to Anthony Davis and P.J. Washington, Flagg’s emergence provides optimism for Dallas to compete.
Denver Nuggets Outlook
Denver beat Phoenix 130-112 behind Nikola Jokić’s near triple-double (26-10-9). Jamal Murray added 24 points, while Spencer Jones posted career highs with 16 points and nine rebounds. The Nuggets lead the NBA in scoring (124.8 PPG), effective FG% (58.8), and shoot 39.2% from three. Despite turnovers, their offensive balance and resilience keep them atop the West.
Key Matchup / Path to Victory
Mavericks’ pace vs Nuggets’ efficiency. Dallas must lean on Flagg’s scoring and perimeter defense, while Denver needs Jokić and Murray to sustain tempo. Turnovers and rebounding will dictate outcomes.
Injuries / Availability
Dallas lists Anthony Davis (calf) probable and P.J. Washington (ankle) questionable. For full player status, check the Mavericks injury report.
Denver continues without Aaron Gordon (hamstring). See the Nuggets injury report for latest updates.
Environment
Ball Arena provides Denver a strong home edge, though they’ve dropped three straight at home. Dallas seeks consecutive wins for the first time this season, testing Denver’s defense.
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Best Bets and Prediction
Projected Final Score: Nuggets 120, Mavericks 110
- Nuggets -10.5 (-110) → Best Bet. Denver’s offensive metrics and home edge suggest they cover comfortably.
- Under 233.5 (-110) → Total. Our model projects 230 points, leaning under given Dallas’ defensive stats.
Denver’s balance should secure the win, while Flagg’s breakout keeps Dallas competitive. Expect the Nuggets to cover with the total trending under.
Handicappers and Service Plays
For more perspectives on this matchup, check our Best Handicappers, follow performance trends on the Leaderboard, and explore premium plays in Buy Picks. These tools provide added context to sharpen your betting decisions.
