Detroit Red Wings vs Dallas Stars Picks and Predictions December 23rd 2025

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The Dallas Stars visit the Detroit Red Wings at Little Caesars Arena on Tuesday, December 23, 2025, with a 6:30 PM start time on TNT. Dallas enters second in the Western Central Division at 25-7-5, while Detroit is first in the Eastern Atlantic Division at 21-13-3 in a matchup that feels like two teams trying to lock in before the holiday break.

Both clubs are rolling in December, but they have gotten there in different ways. Dallas has been suffocating teams during this four-game win streak, outscoring opponents 22-8, while Detroit has stacked results through a heavy travel month and a weekend sweep of Washington. With both sides in form, pricing and goaltending confirmation are likely to decide whether the value is on the side or the total.

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Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Odds

These are the current betting lines for this matchup, and bettors should always monitor updated NHL odds as prices can move quickly leading into puck drop. Track movement and market updates with the latest NHL odds.

TeamMoneylinePuck LineTotal
Dallas Stars-128Not listed6.0 (Under -113)
Detroit Red Wings+107Not listed6.0 (Under -113)
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2025-12-23 16:00
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Toronto Maple Leafs
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2025-12-23 21:00
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Utah Mammoth
3 PICKS
Colorado Avalanche
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2025-12-23 22:00
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San Jose Sharks
4 PICKS
Vegas Golden Knights
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2025-12-23 22:00
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Seattle Kraken
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Los Angeles Kings

Dallas Stars Betting Form

Dallas is playing like a complete team right now. The Stars are 12-2-1 over their last 15 and have been winning games with different scripts, which is usually the best indicator a heater is real. Jake Oettinger just posted a strong performance against Toronto, and Dallas has kept the defensive side tight during this streak, limiting second chances and making opponents work for clean looks.

From a betting angle, Dallas at -128 is not just a form tax. It is the market telling you the Stars have a stable baseline and can win on the road because their structure travels. The question is whether Detroit’s pace and special teams at home can disrupt that. If Dallas can keep this mostly five on five, it sets up well for them to control the shot quality over 60 minutes. For a quick look at how their results and season splits have been trending, check Dallas Stars stats and results.

Availability matters here, so monitor the Dallas Stars injury report before puck drop.

PlayerStatusInjury
Lian Bichsel (D)OutLower Body
Luke Krys (D)OutAchilles
Tyler Seguin (C)OutKnee

Detroit Red Wings Betting Form

Detroit’s December run has been impressive because it has not been a clean schedule. The Red Wings have gone 8-2-1 since the month started and have found multiple ways to win, including a road win and an overtime home win against Washington on back-to-back days. That matters for bettors because it suggests Detroit can survive different game states, which is important against a Dallas team that can tilt the ice in long stretches.

Detroit’s handicap starts with two items: shot volume and special teams. The Red Wings generate pressure and have a power play that can punish teams that take penalties, which is one of the few ways to crack a structured opponent like Dallas. The counter is that Detroit is missing a high-end finisher with Patrick Kane out, and that can show up if this becomes a tight, low-event game where you need one elite touch to break it open. For a broader snapshot of home splits and recent results, check Detroit Red Wings schedule and stats.

Availability matters here, so monitor the Detroit Red Wings injury report before puck drop.

PlayerStatusInjury
Shai Buium (D)OutUndisclosed
Patrick Kane (RW)OutUpper Body

Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Matchup Breakdown

This matchup profiles as a pace-versus-structure game. Detroit will want to play fast through the neutral zone and turn home energy into early pressure, while Dallas is comfortable absorbing a push, tightening the middle, and forcing you to make plays through layers. If the Stars get the game into their preferred rhythm, Detroit’s best chances come from special teams and net-front chaos rather than clean five-on-five looks.

Goaltending is the hinge for the total, and it is also why price sensitivity matters. Oettinger is in form, and Detroit has leaned on Cam Talbot to stabilize during this run. If either team confirms a less trusted option closer to puck drop, 6.0 can move quickly from a fair number to a soft number. If both starters go, the under case becomes more real because both teams can win without needing a track meet.

The other key is how penalties get called. Detroit’s power play can keep them competitive even if Dallas wins the five-on-five matchup. Dallas has the depth to punish sloppy shifts, so Detroit cannot afford a second period where it chases and takes back-to-back minors. If you want a cleaner process for evaluating how game script and special teams change side and total value, the NHL betting guide is a strong baseline. If you are also thinking about how these profiles translate to longer-range markets during the break, the Stanley Cup betting guide helps connect current form to futures value.

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Dallas Stars vs Detroit Red Wings Predictions and Best Bets

The lean is Dallas on the moneyline at -128 because the Stars have been the more consistent five-on-five team during this run, and that style tends to travel well. Detroit has been excellent in December, but this is a step up in opponent quality, and Dallas has shown it can win even when the offense is quiet early.

Detroit’s path is still real at +107 if it wins the special teams battle and turns home pace into an early lead. That is the best way to force Dallas out of its comfort zone and create a game that plays above Dallas’s preferred tempo. Without Kane, Detroit may need more from its secondary scorers to finish the chances that will be harder to come by at five on five.

On the total, 6.0 with the Under priced at -113 points to a market expecting tighter hockey. That fits the matchup if both goalies are confirmed and if Dallas dictates structure. The risk is Detroit’s power play and a first period that gets loose. If this stays mostly five on five, the under is the cleaner angle because Dallas can squeeze games and Detroit has shown it can win without needing a high total.

Best Bet: Dallas Stars moneyline (-128).

NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

When you are betting a slate full of pre-break games, you need a process that accounts for late lineup news and pricing swings. Start with today’s NHL picks to compare multiple approaches to sides and totals and avoid locking a number too early.

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