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Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Picks and Predictions – December 28
The Golden State Warriors travel north to face the Toronto Raptors on Sunday, December 28, at Scotiabank Arena. Tipoff is set for 7:00 PM ET in what feels like a pivotal spot for both teams. Golden State (15-15) is fighting to stay in the West playoff mix, while Toronto (12-18) is reeling and looking to stop the bleeding after multiple close losses. With the Warriors laying just -3.5 on the road, bettors will be weighing experience vs. desperation.
The total is set at 225, suggesting a moderate pace and decent offensive output. Both teams are middle-of-the-pack in scoring and efficiency, so this line sits in a tricky range for totals bettors.
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Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Odds
These are the current betting lines — always keep tabs on the latest NBA odds as numbers can shift on injury news or sharp action.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Golden State Warriors | -161 | -3.5 (-110) | U 225 |
| Toronto Raptors | +136 | +3.5 (-111) | O 225 |
Golden State Warriors Betting Form
The Warriors have looked sharper lately, going 5-2 SU in their last seven and showing more cohesion on both ends. Stephen Curry continues to anchor the offense, while Draymond Green’s return has stabilized their defensive rotations. Golden State still plays fast, ranking top 10 in pace, and launches more threes than almost any team in the league.
They’re middle of the pack ATS (14-15-1), but they’ve been more trustworthy lately, covering four of their last six. Still, turnovers remain an issue, especially on the road — they rank bottom five in giveaways away from Chase Center.
Injury updates could matter for depth; make sure to monitor the Golden State Warriors injury report for any late scratches that could swing the line.
Check the Golden State Warriors stats and results for trends and matchup data.
Toronto Raptors Betting Form
Toronto is in a weird spot — they play hard and stay competitive, but can’t close games. They’ve dropped four of their last five and are 2-8 ATS in their last 10. Offensively, they’ve become more isolation-heavy with Scottie Barnes and Pascal Siakam leading the way, but efficiency has cratered without solid perimeter shooting.
The Raptors are solid defensively at home, ranking top 12 in defensive rating in Toronto. However, they give up too many second-chance points and don’t force enough turnovers to make up for offensive droughts. Home underdog spots like this have been shaky — they’re just 4-6 ATS as home dogs this season.
Health-wise, they’re mostly intact, but fatigue may be a factor as they’re on a 3-in-4 with travel. Keep an eye on the Toronto Raptors injury report for clarity on rotation players.
For more insights, view the Toronto Raptors schedule and stats.
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Matchup Breakdown
Golden State holds key matchup edges here — mostly tied to their ability to spread the floor. Toronto’s defense collapses in the paint but struggles to contest on closeouts. That’s a problem when you face a team that lives and dies by the three.
Key matchup notes:
- Warriors are 4th in 3PT rate; Raptors are bottom 7 in defending the arc.
- Toronto turns it over less, but Golden State forces more live-ball turnovers.
- Pace leans Warriors, but Raptors will try to slow it and grind.
Toronto does have some length to throw at Curry — but that only works if they don’t overhelp. Meanwhile, the Warriors bench has been giving them quality minutes, especially from Moses Moody and Dario Šarić. If Toronto can’t win the second-unit battle, this game could get away from them in the third quarter — a long-time Warriors edge.
For sharp bettors, this game might also be a solid example of a tight spread creating middling value. Don’t forget to explore more nuance in the sports betting strategy guide.
Golden State Warriors vs Toronto Raptors Predictions and Best Bets
This feels like a great spot to back Golden State. The number is reasonable, the recent form is trending up, and Toronto has been unreliable in crunch time. Unless the Warriors have major absences, they should cover the short number.
As for the total, it’s a trickier call. Both teams can shoot, but Toronto’s pace suppression and streaky offense make the Over less attractive. Still, if Golden State controls tempo, this could get into the 230s. I lean Over slightly, but not enough to bet it without confirmation of full rotations.
Look to derivatives if the line moves — Golden State 1H -1.5 or Curry threes Over 4.5 could be soft lines depending on books.
Best Bet: Warriors -3.5 (-110).
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