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Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Picks and Predictions – January 10, 2026
Round three in six weeks, and this time it’s win or go home. Green Bay comes to Soldier Field as the No. 7 seed after a weird finish where they rested most starters and took a loss in Week 18. Chicago is the No. 2 seed under first-year coach Ben Johnson, hosting its first playoff game since 2020 and chasing its first postseason win since 2010.
Kickoff is Saturday night at 8:00 PM ET at Soldier Field on AMZN. The weather angle is not a footnote here. Expect very cold conditions with light snow and a light breeze, which usually tightens play-calling, increases ball-security risk, and puts more pressure on special teams and field position.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Odds
These are the current betting lines, and you’ll want to keep monitoring updated NFL odds as injury statuses and weather confidence tighten closer to kickoff.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
|---|---|---|---|
| Green Bay Packers | -119 | -1.5 (-105) | 45.5 |
| Chicago Bears | -102 | +1.5 (-116) | 45.5 |
Green Bay Packers Betting Form
The Packers are basically betting that rest equals reset. They’ve been sliding, but they also didn’t have Jordan Love on the field down the stretch, and they’re getting him back for the biggest game of the season. When Love is playing clean, Green Bay can stress you with early-down passing and force defenses to play lighter boxes. That opens the run game and keeps them ahead of the sticks.
The problem is what Green Bay has looked like when protection is less than perfect. Without Micah Parsons on defense, they’ve also lost the “easy button” that can erase mistakes with a sudden sack or strip. If the Packers are playing from behind in this environment, asking Love to throw into wind and snow is not where you want to live as a road favorite.
For a fuller snapshot of how Green Bay has performed this season, check Green Bay Packers stats and results. For late-week availability that could shift the spread, use the linked Green Bay Packers injury report.
Chicago Bears Betting Form
Chicago’s defense gives up yards, but it wins the bet in the one place that flips playoff games: takeaways. A unit that’s near the top of the league in interceptions and turnover margin can look “leaky” between the 20s and still cash spreads because it steals possessions and shortens fields. That matters even more in cold weather, where one fumble or tipped ball can decide the entire night.
On offense, Caleb Williams has been a big-play quarterback who can survive broken structure. He’s not always efficient snap-to-snap, but he’s capable of turning a bad drive into points with one throw. The Bears also have enough run game with D’Andre Swift and Kyle Monangai to keep the offense from being totally quarterback-dependent, especially if the footing gets sloppy.
If Rome Odunze returns, it helps Chicago’s downfield and red-zone options, but it’s still worth treating his usage as something to monitor instead of assuming a full workload. For a team-level baseline, check Chicago Bears schedule and stats. For the latest on questionable tags, use the linked Chicago Bears injury report.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Matchup Breakdown
This is a trenches and ball-security game. Chicago wants to make Green Bay earn every first down, keep the play in front, then hunt the mistake. Green Bay wants to stay ahead of schedule, avoid the “third-and-long in the snow” script, and let Love distribute without forcing hero throws.
The biggest variable is how Love looks early. He’s returning after a concussion, and even if he’s medically clear, the timing element matters. Soldier Field at night in cold and snow is a tough spot to find rhythm. If Green Bay starts slow, it feeds into Chicago’s best edge: turnovers and short fields.
Environment has to be priced in. Soldier Field is natural grass, and with light snow plus cold temperatures, footing can get inconsistent. That impacts route breaks, pass rush angles, and especially the kicking game. A light breeze is enough to turn medium-range field goals into coaching decisions, and it can also push teams toward more fourth-down attempts. That’s where volatility shows up on totals and live betting.
If you want a clean framework for how weather and game state affect spread versus total decisions, the Expert Betting Guide and the dedicated NFL betting guide both help you think through the tradeoffs without overreacting to one forecast update.
Green Bay Packers vs Chicago Bears Predictions and Best Bets
The market is basically saying Green Bay is a slightly better team on a neutral, but Chicago is getting enough home and situational credit to keep this number under a field goal. I’m buying that. I’m not eager to lay points with a road team that’s been sliding, in a cold-weather divisional game, against a defense that manufactures extra possessions.
Chicago’s offense doesn’t need to be pretty to cover. It needs to protect the ball, win a couple of hidden-yardage moments, and let the defense do what it’s done all season. If Odunze is active and even close to full speed, that helps Chicago’s ceiling. If he’s limited, Chicago can still win this by making it ugly.
On the total, 45.5 feels a touch high for a night game with snow risk and two defenses that can create sudden drive-killers. Divisional familiarity also tends to push teams into conservative decision trees early. I’d rather bet the side than assume points will come easy.
Best Bet: Bears +1.5
NFL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
If you’re playing the full Wild Card slate, compare your positions with the latest NFL picks to see where the market is clustering and where contrarian value might be forming.
For performance-driven betting, the best handicappers page is the quickest way to find proven results, while the leaderboard helps separate short-term heaters from long-term production. If you want packaged plays and premium cards for the weekend, you can find options through buy picks.
