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The Indiana Pacers travel to the nation’s capital to face the Washington Wizards tonight at 7:00 PM in a battle between two teams looking to find identity and growth in the back half of the season. This is a quick-turnaround rematch following Washington’s 112-105 win over Indiana just last night. The Pacers (15-41) sit at the bottom of the Eastern Conference, while the Wizards (15-39) are just one spot ahead in 14th. Both squads are leaning heavily on their youth as they navigate a season defined by major roster shifts and long-term rebuilding.
Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Odds
Indiana enters as a slight road favorite despite yesterday’s loss. The narrow spread suggests oddsmakers expect the Pacers’ defensive adjustments to level the playing field in this back-to-back scenario.
| Team | Moneyline | Spread | Total |
| Indiana Pacers | -132 | -2.0 (-113) | O 231.5 (-110) |
| Washington Wizards | +109 | +2.0 (-109) | U 231.5 (-110) |
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Indiana Pacers Betting Form
The Pacers have been hampered by a massive wave of injuries, but the silver lining has been the emergence of Jarace Walker. The third-year forward was a force in yesterday’s game, tallying 19 points, 14 rebounds, and 7 assists. Indiana continues to be one of the best teams in the league at perimeter defense, ranking 1st in the NBA in fewest opponent three-pointers made per game.
The Indiana Pacers injury report is currently a major hurdle. With Tyrese Haliburton and Johnny Furphy out for the season, and Pascal Siakam away for personal reasons, the scoring load falls on Walker and Andrew Nembhard. Nembhard has been steady, averaging over 17 points in recent weeks, but the team’s depth will be tested on the second night of a back-to-back.
Washington Wizards Betting Form
Washington finally snapped a three-game losing streak with their win over the Pacers yesterday. Rookie Bub Carrington continues to look like a draft-day steal, providing efficient playmaking and scoring (13 points in the last outing). Alongside Anthony Gill and Bilal Coulibaly, the Wizards are playing with a faster tempo, averaging 98.9 possessions per game (14th in the league).
The Wizards’ biggest challenge remains their defense, which allows a league-high 122.8 points per game. However, they have shown improvement in situational home spots, where their young core seems to feed off the energy at Capital One Arena. Keep an eye on the Washington Wizards injury report as the team manages the minutes of veterans on this back-to-back slate.
Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Matchup Breakdown
In a matchup between the conference’s bottom two teams, the game often comes down to which young core can maintain intensity for 48 minutes.
- Turnover Battle: Indiana ranks 4th in the league in steals (7.4 per game). If they can turn Washington’s 15.3 turnovers per game into transition buckets, they can negate the Wizards’ home-court advantage.
- Paint Presence: Jarace Walker’s recent double-double highlights a major advantage for Indiana. Washington has struggled to protect the rim since the injury to Alex Sarr, often getting outscored in second-chance points.
- Three-Point Variance: While Indiana defends the arc well, Washington attempts a high volume of shots (9th in field goal attempts). If Carrington or Kyshawn George find their rhythm, Indiana’s defensive scheme will be pushed to its limit.
Indiana Pacers vs Washington Wizards Predictions and Best Bets
Rematches in the NBA often favor the team that lost the first game, as coaching staffs (like Rick Carlisle’s) are excellent at making tactical adjustments. Indiana’s ability to defend the three-point line and Jarace Walker’s mismatch potential should allow them to extract revenge. While Washington won yesterday, the Pacers’ underlying defensive metrics suggest they are due for a bounce-back.
Regarding the total, 231.5 feels slightly high for two teams missing their primary superstar scorers (Haliburton and Young/Davis). However, given that both teams rank in the bottom five for points allowed per game, the “Over” is the play here. My model projects a 118-114 Pacers victory.
Best Bet: Pacers -2.0 (-113) & Over 231.5 (-110).
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NBA Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats
Stay ahead of late-breaking lineup changes by visiting today’s NBA picks. For this “tank-off” matchup, checking the NBA public betting percentages can help you see if the smart money is backing the Pacers’ revenge narrative.
Whether you want free NBA picks or a deep dive from our top sports handicappers, ScoresAndStats has the tools to help you navigate the 2026 NBA season.
