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San Jose Sharks vs Edmonton Oilers Picks and Predictions February 28th 2026

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Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks Game Previews

The Edmonton Oilers wrap their California swing with a Saturday afternoon visit to the San Jose Sharks at SAP Center on February 28, 2026. Puck drop is set for 4:00 PM ET on NBCS. Edmonton is 29-23-8 and sitting second in the Pacific. San Jose is 27-25-4 and trying to stop a skid that’s started to feel longer than it should, especially with Macklin Celebrini turning into a nightly show.

Edmonton’s offense has looked alive since the Olympic break, and the 8-1 win over the Kings is the kind of result that changes the way teams prepare for you. It wasn’t just one line. It was waves. The Oilers also have the “we can respond” feel right now after that ugly blown-lead loss to Anaheim earlier in the trip.

San Jose returned from the break with a 4-1 loss to Calgary where the mistakes piled up late, and that’s been the theme during this losing streak. The Sharks have enough talent to trade goals with anyone, but they’ve been giving away too many free ones. Against Edmonton, that usually gets punished immediately.

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Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks Odds

These are the current betting lines, and bettors should always monitor updated prices and shop numbers throughout the day using the latest NHL odds.

TeamMoneylinePuck LineTotal
Edmonton Oilers-155-1.5 (+157)O 6.5 (-133) / U 6.5 (+113)
San Jose Sharks+130+1.5 (-197)O 6.5 (-133) / U 6.5 (+113)

Edmonton Oilers Betting Form

Edmonton’s profile is pretty simple right now: elite top-end offense, and a power play that can turn a close game into a two-goal gap quickly. The Oilers have been scoring in bunches, and even when they’re not perfect defensively, they can erase mistakes fast. That matters for betting because it changes how you approach puck lines and totals. Edmonton is rarely “out of” a game, and the live market tends to overreact when they go down early.

The key for the Oilers is whether they keep the defensive detail they showed against the Kings. When Edmonton is checking well, they don’t need to win a 6-5 game. They can win 4-2 and it feels comfortable. The problem is they don’t always choose that version, and in a building like San Jose where the ice can open up, it’s easy to slip into a track meet.

For recent results, scoring trends, and matchup splits, the Edmonton Oilers schedule and stats page is the quick check. Availability matters here, so monitor the Edmonton Oilers injury report before puck drop.

San Jose Sharks Betting Form

San Jose’s recent run is frustrating because the starts haven’t been the issue. They’ve had energy. They’ve had stretches where the puck is moving. Then a bad change, a neutral-zone turnover, one soft sequence in the third period, and it’s gone. That’s exactly what happened in the first game back from the break, and it’s the kind of thing that makes it tough to back a team as a home underdog even when the talent is obvious.

Celebrini is the main reason you can talk yourself into a Sharks ticket at all. He’s producing like a top-tier player, and when he’s controlling the game, San Jose can absolutely trade with good teams. The Sharks’ power play also has enough punch to keep them alive if Edmonton takes penalties. The issue is that this matchup punishes mistakes more than most. If San Jose gives Edmonton easy transitions, it can turn into a long afternoon.

For recent form and home splits, the San Jose Sharks stats and results page helps. And because their lineup has been dealing with absences, monitor the San Jose Sharks injury report before puck drop.

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Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks Matchup Breakdown

This matchup comes down to pace and special teams. Edmonton wants the game to open up because it trusts its skill to win the high-leverage moments. San Jose can play in that environment too, but only if the Sharks are clean with the puck. Edmonton’s best offense often comes off your mistakes, not off set plays. One bad change and McDavid is behind you. One lazy turnover and the puck is already on a backdoor stick.

Special teams can decide it quickly. Edmonton’s power play is always a threat, and San Jose’s path to an upset usually requires winning the discipline battle and finding a power-play goal of its own. If the game stays mostly five-on-five, I still like Edmonton because they can roll more dangerous minutes and they’ve been getting depth scoring. If the whistles pile up, the total becomes more interesting and the Sharks’ +1.5 has a better chance to hold.

A few edges I’m watching:

  • Edmonton’s power play leverage if San Jose takes early penalties
  • San Jose’s tendency lately to give up key chances off mistakes late in periods
  • Goalie confirmation, because it can swing how aggressive you want to be with 6.5

If you want a sharper framework for pricing pace games like this, the NHL betting guide is useful for translating matchup notes into side and total decisions. And if you’re looking at the bigger picture of how contenders keep carrying a tax as they heat up, the Stanley Cup betting guide helps put the market movement in context.

Edmonton Oilers vs San Jose Sharks Predictions and Best Bets

My lean is Edmonton on the moneyline at -155. That’s not a cheap price, but it’s reasonable for a team with the offensive ceiling Edmonton has, especially with San Jose in a mistake-prone stretch. If the Sharks were playing cleaner hockey, I’d be more interested in the home dog. Right now, I think you’re asking San Jose to play too perfect of a game to justify +130.

The puck line is tempting at +157, and it’s live if Edmonton gets an early lead. The concern is backdoor risk. San Jose has enough scoring talent to make 4-3 a common landing spot, especially if Edmonton trades chances again. I’d rather keep it simple with the moneyline as the main bet and treat the puck line as a smaller sprinkle if you’re playing multiple angles.

On the total, I lean Over 6.5 at -133. Edmonton games have been trending that way, and San Jose’s defensive errors tend to create higher-event sequences that push totals upward. Still, it’s a juiced price, and 6.5 is not forgiving if one goalie stands tall. I’m more confident in the side than the total.

Best Bet: Edmonton Oilers moneyline (-155).

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NHL Picks and Handicappers on ScoresAndStats

If you’re betting NHL daily, the biggest edge is usually timing and comparison. These markets move quickly with goalie confirmations and late scratches, so checking today’s NHL picks is a good way to see how multiple handicappers are attacking the slate before you commit.

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