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Everton vs Hull City Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

By Keylor SantosUpdated 8 Oct 2026
Premier LeagueSun 11 Oct
Everton
at
Hull City
SpreadTotalMoneyEVE-0.5U 2.5+105HUL+0.5O 2.5+265

No bet on Everton at Hull City. Hull have two home games this season, fewer than the six the method needs, and no home record of four games or more from last season in this league.

The market makes Everton the favourite. Hull are +265 at DraftKings, the draw +235 and Everton +105. With the book’s margin of 6.0 points removed, that is 25.8% for Hull, 28.2% for the draw and 46.0% for Everton. There is no number of ours to set against it, so there is no gap to measure.

Why there is no number

The method needs each side’s scoring and conceding rate at the venue it plays this game: Hull at home, Everton away. A side with fewer than six games at that venue this season takes the rate from last season’s same venue instead.

Hull have two home games in 2026-27, four short of the six the method needs. They are not in ESPN’s 2025-26 Premier League table, so there is no previous home season to stand in for those two games. That ends it. Whatever the price, the method makes no bet on a game where one side has no usable sample.

Everton have two away games this season, also short of six, so their half of the number would have come from 2025-26. They went 7-5-7 away last season, scoring 1.11 goals a game and conceding 1.21, against a league average of 1.22 goals for the away side. That half exists. The other half does not.

Hull City at home and Everton awayHull City at home and Everton away, this season and lastHull City at home, 2026-27 English Premier League1-1-0 in 2scored 1.00 a gameconceded 0.00 a gameEverton away, 2026-27 English Premier League0-2-0 in 2scored 0.50 a gameconceded 0.50 a gameEverton away, 2025-26 English Premier League7-5-7 in 19scored 1.11 a gameconceded 1.21 a gameRecord is wins-draws-losses in league games. Our number uses this season at the venue from six games; below that, last season.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 8 October 2026.

Hull’s two home games this season produced a win and a draw, two goals scored and none conceded. Everton’s two away games were both draws, one goal scored and one conceded. Two games are a record, not a rate.

The table

After five games Everton are 7th of 20 with nine points, unbeaten at 2-3-0, six scored and three conceded. Hull are 8th with eight, 2-2-1, six scored and four conceded. Last season Everton finished 13th with 49 points from 38 games, 13-10-15.

Hull City and Everton in the tableLeague position and points per game, this season and lastHull City2026-27 English Premier League8 of 20, 8 pts in 52025-26 English Premier Leaguenot in this leagueEverton2026-27 English Premier League7 of 20, 9 pts in 52025-26 English Premier League13 of 20, 49 pts in 38Three points for a win, one for a draw.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 8 October 2026.

Five games separate these sides by one point. The market’s lean to Everton is not something this page can test: the method has nothing to measure it with, and it does not stake a price on five games of results.

Pick: no bet

No bet on the result. Hull have two home games this season and no previous home season in the Premier League, below the six the method requires.

What changes it

The sample. After this game Hull will have three home games this season; the method has a home sample for them once they have played six there. Nothing about the price can turn this game into a bet.

This page states nothing about either lineup on 11 October. Check the lineups before you bet anything.

The total

The total is 2.5, over +100 and under -125. With the margin removed, that is 47.4% for the over and 52.6% for the under. There is no number of ours for the total either, and the total is never a bet on this page.

For reference only: two of Hull’s five league games this season went over 2.5, and one of Everton’s five.

The last meetings

ESPN holds five meetings, from December 2014 to January 2022. Everton won two, Hull one, and two were drawn; the latest was a 3-2 Everton win at Hull in January 2022. The method does not use them.

Last meetings of Hull City and EvertonHull City and Everton: the last meetings ESPN holds8 Jan 2022Hull City 2-3 Everton18 Mar 2017Everton 4-0 Hull City30 Dec 2016Hull City 2-2 Everton1 Jan 2015Hull City 2-0 Everton3 Dec 2014Everton 1-1 Hull CityHome side first. All competitions ESPN lists for the pair.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 8 October 2026.

Everton at Hull City, English Premier League, Sunday 11 October, 9:00 AM ET, The MKM Stadium. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 8 October 2026, 07:40 UTC. Results and table: ESPN, read 8 October 2026. Nothing here states who is available.