The Best NFL Player Props for Wild Card Weekend

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Wild Card Weekend has arrived and we’re are chomping at the bit to take advantage of these exciting matchups. One type of NFL bet that we find highly attractive this weekend are player prop bets. After examining the six NFL Wild Card games, we’ve identified several player props that we feel confident in.

Of our Wild Card player prop bets, we’re looking primarily at three key Playoff games: Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers, Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars and Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers.

With that said, let’s take a look at our top NFL player prop bets of the week and make sure to check out our Wild Card Round predictions. Furthermore, we’ll continue to deliver weekly player prop bets all the way up to the Super Bowl.

NFL Player Prop Odds

PlayerProp BetGame
Josh AllenOver 230.5 passing yards (-110)Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
Josh AllenOver 1.5 passing TDs (+115)Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
James CookUnder 18.5 carries (-110)Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars
CJ StroudOver 239.5 passing yards (-110)Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
CJ StroudOver 1.5 passing TDs (+110)Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers
Davante AdamsOver 53.5 receiving yards (-110)Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers
Puka NacuaOver 7.5 Receptions (+110)Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers

Quarterbacks take the spotlight in our NFL picks for this weekend’s player prop bets. Specifically, we’re really high on Buffalo’s Josh Allen and Houston’s CJ Stroud. Both QBs are facing defenses that tend to give up passing yards and touchdown throws.

Additionally, skilled players like Buffalo running back James Cook along with Rams wide receivers Davante Adams and Puka Nacua provide opportunities to cash in on some winnable in-game matchups.

Without further delay, continue reading our best NFL Wild Card prop bets below. You can also compare our analysis and with what the best handicappers are saying. Check out the industry’s premiere membership today!

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Best NFL Player Props

The following NFL player prop bets are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Josh Allen Over 230.5 passing yards (-110)   

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

For the Buffalo Bills to have a real shot at winning in Jacksonville on Sunday, January 11, they will need Josh Allen to wear his superman cape.

First, and foremost, the Jaguars’ defense is no.1 against the run as they allow only 85.6 ypg. Buffalo has the no.1 rushing attack at 159.6 ypg. However, the Jags haven’t allowed a rusher anywhere near 100 yards on the ground this season.

So, it’s going to be tough sledding for any of Buffalo’s three running backs, especially their top rusher in James Cook. We’ll talk more about him below.

As for Jacksonville’s pass defense, they allow 218.1 ypg through the air, which is ranked 20th in the league. They also face the most pass plays at 64.38%, and that’s due to their tough run defense.

Allen has surpassed 230 passing yards in nine starts this season. Unfortunately, Buffalo went 5-4 in those games. So, it’s not the best recipe for victory.

However, in order for Buffalo to have offensive success and to take pressure off of Cook, is to throw the ball more. And, for Allen to run the ball, as well.

Take Allen to throw for at least 231 passing yards in another Playoff masterpiece.

Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs (+115)          

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Continuing with Allen and his importance to Buffalo this weekend, we look at his passing TDs prop bet. In nine games this year, Allen threw for two or more TDs. He also had three more games of throwing one touchdown pass. So, that’s 12 of 16 starts where Allen had at least one touchdown.

You can bank on that happening again this weekend. Allen will have to throw for at least two touchdowns in order for Buffalo to score against the Jags.

Jacksonville allows just 2.4 TDs per game. Of that number, 1.6 TDs are passing touchdowns. Buffalo averages 1.6 TD passes per game. Furthermore, Allen and the Bills offense is the no.3 red zone offense at 66.15%, no.2 in TDs per game (3.6), and no.2 in completion percentage (69.5%).

So, there’s a lot of positive attributes to this offense that bodes well for Allen’s potential to complete two or more touchdowns.

James Cook Under 18.5 carries (-110)

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Jacksonville Jaguars

Although he might not have the rushing numbers this weekend, the NFL’s leading rusher could still be a huge benefit to this offense through the passing game. Short passes or dump offs can still help Buffalo pick up yards and first downs, especially when the running game is getting stuffed.

With that said, I don’t see Buffalo handing the ball off 19 times or more to Cook this weekend. In nine of 17 games, Cook only saw 18 or less carries. Over his last nine games, Buffalo gave 18 or less carries to no.4 in six of those games.

I expect the Jaguars to get out to a lead, which means that Buffalo might look to throw more than they run. That also signals the use of Ty Johnson in the backfield more.

Cook will still be a vital part to this offense’s success on Sunday, but it won’t necessarily be through the accumulation of carries and rushing yards. Take the under for this player prop bet.

CJ Stroud Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)    

Game: Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Like Josh Allen, I really love this matchup for CJ Stroud. In fact, I like it a tad bit more than for Allen because Stroud is facing one of the worst pass defenses in the NFL.

The Steelers allow the 4th most passing yards in the league (244.9 ypg). A few weeks ago, Jared Goff put up 364 yards on this defense.

For the season, Stroud is averaging 217.2 ypg in 14 starts. However, he’s thrown for 240 or more yards in a game over 50% of his starts since returning from a concussion.

Against other bad pass defenses this season, Stroud threw for 260 yards vs. the Cardinals, 276 yards vs. the Colts, 318 yards vs. the 49ers, and 244 yards vs. the Ravens. Nico Collins and the rest of Houston’s receivers are healthy and a mismatch for Pittsburgh’s secondary.

The Steelers face the 4th highest number of pass plays per game. Houston has the 8th most pass plays called per game and the second-best giveaway mark at 0.7 turnovers per game.

This is a recipe for Stroud to carry the Houston offense during their MNF Wild Card matchup.

CJ Stroud Over 1.5 passing TDs (+110)

Game: Houston Texans vs. Pittsburgh Steelers

Keeping with the Stroud theme, the Steelers only allow 0.6 rushing TDs per game which is the 3rd best mark in the league. Houston averages 0.5 rushing TDs per game. The Steelers allow 1.8 passing TDs per game, while Houston averages 1.7 TDs. This adds up to Stroud finding success in throwing touchdowns.

In 14 starts, Stroud has a TD throw in 11 of them. Furthermore, he has five multi-touchdown games. Most of those outings were against the weak pass defenses mentioned above. For example, Stroud had two TDs against the 49ers, three against the Cardinals, and four against the Ravens.

While it’s entirely possible that we see a FG battle between these two teams, I believe Stroud is going to have success throwing the ball this weekend and that will also result in multiple touchdowns.

Davante Adams Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110)    

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers

In their first matchup this season (Nov 30.), the Panthers did their best to limit Puka Nacua’s impact on the game. He was held to six catches for 72 yards and zero TDs. That’s a solid job considering Nacua finished as one of the best receivers this year.

However, that also opened the door for Davante Adams who caught four passes for 58 yards and two touchdowns. Adams developed into one of Stafford’s primary red zone threats as he finished with 14 touchdown receptions this year. Yes, that number led the NFL.

In 14 starts, Adams finished the regular season averaging 4.3 receptions per game for 56.4 ypg. Over his final seven starts, Adams surpassed 54 yards in five of those games.

Furthermore, Adams has only seen less than six targets in one of those 14 starts. In fact, he’s seen eight or more targets in 11 of his 14 games played.

Considering that Adams is averaging over 56 ypg, tallied 58 yards against the Panthers six weeks ago, and is the no.2 target on the top passing offense in the NFL, I like for this talented wide receiver to get 54 or more receiving yards this weekend.

Puka Nacua Over 7.5 Receptions (+110)

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs. Carolina Panthers

As mentioned, Puka Nacua was held to 72 yards on six receptions against the Panthers in their Week 13 matchup. I don’t see that happening this Saturday. Instead, I really like Nacua to be the primary passing weapon versus Carolina.

In 16 games, Nacua finished with 129 receptions on 166 targets for 1,715 yards and 10 TDs. That’s an average of 10.3 targets for 8.06 receptions, 107.1 yards, and 0.62 TDs per game.

Nacua has caught at least seven passes in 12 of his 16 starts. Eight of his 16 games played, saw the talented receiver catch at least eight passes. He went over that mark in three of the last four games this regular season.

I see both Adams and Nacua being major factors in this Wild Card matchup versus the Panthers. Both will go over their prop bet totals to help Stafford put up a big statistical outing. I like for Nacua to have at least eight receptions and close to 100 yards this weekend.

Best NFL Player Prop Picks For Wild Card Weekend

  • Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs (+115)
  • CJ Stroud Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)

My favorite player prop bets this weekend, are focused on the quarterback position. More specifically, Josh Allen (Buffalo) and CJ Stroud (Houston).

I like Josh Allen to have a big game this weekend. And, for the Bills to succeed, they will need it. Jacksonville has been great against the run and allowing rushing TDs. This means that Allen will need to make plays and throws with his arm. Look for Allen to throw for 250 yards and 2 or more touchdowns.

CJ Stroud will also have a big showing on MNF for the Houston Texans. He faces the 4th worse pass defense in the NFL. Expect Stroud to pick up chunk plays and accumulate at least 250 passing yards, as well.

Speaking of these props, if you can find better NFL odds for any of these NFL player prop bets, I suggest you do so. Happy line shopping and good luck this weekend!

For the NCAAF fans out there, you can also roll with our best College Football parlays for more exciting football betting action.