The Best NFL Player Props for the Divisional Round

Many fans and NFL bettors believe that the NFL Divisional Round is the best weekend of football all year long. With the eight teams left vying for a spot in the Super Bowl, it’s hard to argue against this.

The Divisional Round is loaded with stars, elite defenses, rising coaching prospects, and Josh Allen. This weekend should be able to maximize on the thrilling action from the Wild Card Weekend, while providing us with memorable moments and, hopefully, some winning player prop bets.

Last week, our player props focused on just three of the six Playoff games. And, in the end, we nailed five of our seven NFL picks. This week, we’re looking at three of the four Playoff games. In total, we’ve identified eight player prop bets with value and the strong chance of hitting.

Of our Wild Card player prop bets, we’re looking primarily at: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears, Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos and San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks. With that said, let’s take a look at our top NFL player prop

NFL Player Prop Odds

Like last weekend, the quarterbacks comprise the majority of our Divisional Round player prop bets. We like four player props this weekend that center on the QB position. For the Bills, 49ers and Rams, their franchise QBs will need to play big and carry their teams in order to contend for victory.

We did so well last weekend, that we’re returning to the same skilled players like Buffalo running back James Cook along with Rams wide receivers Davante Adams and Puka Nacua. Yet, CMC is also a player to keep an eye on this Saturday.

As mentioned, we went 5-2 with our Wild Card player prop bets:

• Josh Allen Over 230.5 passing yards (-110)
• James Cook Under 18.5 carries (-110)
• CJ Stroud Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)
• Davante Adams Over 53.5 receiving yards (-110)
• Puka Nacua Over 7.5 Receptions (+110)

The two props that we missed were Josh Allen and CJ Stroud each missing out on throwing over 1.5 TDs apiece. Instead, Allen threw one TD and ran for two. Stroud threw for one TD, but also saw his defense score two touchdowns.

Without further delay, continue reading our best NFL Divisional prop bets below. You can also compare our analysis and with what the best handicappers are saying. Check out the industry’s premiere membership today!

Best NFL Player Props

The following NFL player prop bets are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Josh Allen Over 211.5 passing yards (-110)

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos

Just like last weekend in Jacksonville, for the Buffalo Bills to have a real shot at winning in Denver on Saturday, January 17, they will need Josh Allen to wear his superman cape once again. Against the Jags, Allen put on that cape and carried the Bills to his first road win in the Playoffs.

This weekend, Allen and company face another elite defense. In fact, Denver is considered to be a better overall defense than the Jags were.

Where the Jags were no.1 against the run, the Broncos are no.2 as they allow only 91.1 rushing ypg. So, that means Allen is going to need a strong performance against the league’s no.7 pass defense (187.2 ypg).

The Jags allowed 218.1 passing ypg on the season, which Allen eclipsed with 273 yards in the Wild Card contest. While he might not hit that mark on Saturday against the Broncos, I do expect superman to easily eclipse 211.5 passing yards which he’s done 10 times in 17 starts including the WC Round.

Josh Allen Over 30.5 passing attempts (-110)

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos

Denver has faced the second highest pass play percentage in the league (62.3%). I expect that trend to continue this weekend as Buffalo throws more than they run due to Denver’s stout run defense.

The Broncos average 34.9 passes per game. Buffalo averages 29.4 pass attempts per game. However, in his last two starts (Eagles, Jaguars), Allen has thrown the ball 35 times in each game. I like that number for this weekend, as well.

Take the Over, as Allen and Buffalo lean on the passing game for success against Denver.

James Cook Under 17.5 carries (-110)

Game: Buffalo Bills vs. Denver Broncos

Last weekend, we picked James Cook to go under 18.5 carries. He finished with 15 rushing attempts on the day. In nine of his 17 starts, Cook carried the ball 17 or less times. That includes three of his last four matchups.

The Broncos gave up just one 100-yard rusher this year, and that came in Week 2 to Jonathan Taylor. Since then, they’ve not allowed a running back to go over 75 rushing yards.

Buffalo will try to run the ball just like last weekend against the Jags. But Denver is no.2 against the run and only sees 26.3 rushing attempts per game. I see Allen getting at least seven carries along with backup running backs picking up at least three attempts.

Look for Cook to come in just under 17.5 carries as he finishes with 15-17 rushing attempts to earn 50-60 hard yards.

Christian McCaffrey Under 16.5 carries (-130)

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

With the absence of George Kittle, I see the Seahawks focusing on taking away San Francisco’s running game. That will also eliminate the play-action passing, as well.

Seattle is no.3 against the run as they allow only 91.6 ygp. Christian McCaffrey averaged 18.2 rushing attempts per game on the season. However, against Seattle, he put up 15 carries per game over the two head-to-head meetings.

In their Week 18 meeting, the Seahawks held CMC to just eight carries. Last week in Philly, the Eagles kept CMC to just 15 carries. That’s two straight games of 15 or less carries.

Look for CMC to do more damage out of the backfield as a receiver. Take the under for this prop bet.

Brock Purdy Over 17.5 rushing yards (-110)

Game: San Francisco 49ers vs. Seattle Seahawks

While CMC will be held to a lower rushing output, I see Brock Purdy contributing to the rushing total on Saturday. Against Seattle in Week 18, Purdy ran for 21 yards on just two attempts. He followed that up with 24 rushing yards against the Eagles in that Wild Card matchup. Going back to the Week 1 game against Seattle, Purdy ran for 17 yards in that game.

In four of his last five starts, Purdy has run for 21 or more yards. I see the 49ers QB hitting at least that mark this weekend. And, it will be due to necessity, not designed calls. Purdy will most likely have to scramble a lot this game and I expect that to translate into over 17.5 rushing yards on Saturday.

Davante Adams Over 4.5 receptions (-110)

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears

In 14 regular season starts, Davante Adams finished the regular season averaging 4.3 receptions per game for 56.4 ypg. Over his final seven starts on the season, Adams caught four or more receptions if six of those games.

Furthermore, Adams has only seen less than six targets in one of those 14 starts. In fact, he’s seen eight or more targets in 11 of his 14 games played during the regular season.

Last weekend against the Panthers, Adams saw 13 targets but only caught five of them. Nevertheless, he was highly targeted and that should continue this weekend, as well.

Look for Adams to get at least eight targets in Chicago on Sunday. And, for that to translate into at least five catches for LA’s no.2 receiver and biggest red zone threat.

In comparison, Romeo Doubs put up 8 catches on the Bears in the Wild Card game last weekend. Also, Golden and Reed caught four balls apiece. This makes me feel confident in Adams going over 4.5 receptions.

Puka Nacua Over 7.5 receptions (-115)

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears

In 16 starts during the regular season, Puka Nacua finished with 129 receptions on 166 targets for 1,715 yards and 10 TDs. That’s an average of 8.06 receptions on 10.3 targets for 107.1 yards and 0.62 TDs per game. You can see how these numbers put Nacua in the conversation as the best wide receiver in the NFL.

Furthermore, LA’s no.1 receiver has caught at least seven passes in 12 of his 16 regular season starts. Eight of his 16 regular season games, saw Nacua tally at least eight receptions. In fact, he went over that mark in three of his last four regular season starts.

So, heading into the Wild Card Round, we naturally took Nacua to go over 7.5 receptions against the Panthers. And, Matthew Stafford easily helped us hit the Over on that prop bet as Nacua finished with 10 receptions on 18 targets.

This weekend, I believe we will see a similar performance for Nacua. Look for Stafford to target him 15 times and for the no.1 receiver in LA to catch at least eight passes for an easy Over!

Matthew Stafford Over 267.5 passing yards (-110)

Game: Los Angeles Rams vs. Chicago Bears

Speaking of Matthew Stafford, he finished with 304 passing yards against the Panthers in the Wild Card Round. That was the 5^th time this year that Stafford went over 300 yards.

In the regular season, Stafford averaged 276.9 passing yards per game. He’s gone over 267.5 passing yards in 10 of his 17 regular season starts, and 11 of his 18 games played this year.

The Chicago Bears are 25^th against the pass as they give up 232.5 ypg through the air. Last weekend, the Bears allowed Green Bay’s Jordan Love to throw for 323 yards in their Wild Card matchup.

The Rams have the no.1 passing attack with the NFL MVP frontrunner. Furthermore, LA throws the ball 35.6 times per game on average. Look for Stafford to throw the ball at least 35 times with the majority of those attempts going to Nacua and Adams.

While I do see LA having success running the ball versus the Bears, this offense is truly dangerous when Stafford gets going and the passing attack steamrolls opponents. I expect that to be the case this weekend in Chicago.

Best NFL Player Prop Picks For Wild Card Weekend

• Josh Allen Over 1.5 passing TDs (+115)
• CJ Stroud Over 239.5 passing yards (-110)

My favorite player prop bets this weekend, are focused on the quarterback position. More specifically, Josh Allen (Buffalo) and CJ Stroud (Houston).

I like Josh Allen to have a big game this weekend. And, for the Bills to succeed, they will need it. Jacksonville has been great against the run and allowing rushing TDs. This means that Allen will need to make plays and throws with his arm. Look for Allen to throw for 250 yards and 2 or more touchdowns.

CJ Stroud will also have a big showing on MNF for the Houston Texans. He faces the 4^th worse pass defense in the NFL. Expect Stroud to pick up chunk plays and accumulate at least 250 passing yards, as well.

Speaking of these props, if you can find better NFL odds for any of these NFL player prop bets, I suggest you do so. Happy line shopping and good luck this weekend!

For the NCAAF fans out there, you can also roll with our best College Football parlays for more exciting football betting action.