The Best NFL Player Props for Week 13

As Week 13 of the 2024 NFL season approaches, it’s the perfect time to dive into player props for some of the week’s matchups. Game lines are generally sharp, but that isn’t always the case for player props. Shopping for lines is an underrated skill, and you can find an edge if you shop around at different books looking for even slight discrepancies in the odds.

Whether you’re looking at passing, rushing, or receiving stats, player props can often provide easier-to-predict value compared to traditional game lines.

Below, I’ve outlined some of the top player props for Week 13 to help you make informed betting decisions.

NFL Player Prop Odds

Player	Prop Bet	Game
Kirk Cousins	Under 237.5 Passing Yards (-115)	Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Chargers
Jameis Winston	Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-115)	Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos
Jalen Hurts	Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-115)	Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens
Cooper Rush	Over 202.5 Passing Yards (-110)	Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants
Travis Kelce	Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)	Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

This week, we’re bringing you 5 player prop bets to choose from. All of these player props have odds ranging from -110 to -115 and provide solid value. Three of the five player prop bets feature Over wagers, while the other two take the Under. Keep reading to see our analysis and wagers for each of these player props.

NFL Player Props Today

The following NFL player prop bets are courtesy of the top sports betting sites:

Kirk Cousins – Under 237.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Atlanta Falcons vs. Los Angeles Chargers

Kirk Cousins has been solid in his first season with the Atlanta Falcons, but this matchup against the revamped Los Angeles Chargers defense doesn’t bode well for a big passing day. The Bolts boast one of the league’s most efficient pass defenses, ranking 6th against the pass according to Pro Football Focus. While Cousins has topped this number in 2 of his last 4 games, the Falcons are built around their run-first philosophy, with Bijan Robinson serving as the focal point of the offense.

LA’s defense has been a little more susceptible to the ground game, so don’t be surprised if the Falcons’ plan of attack is to establish Robinson and Tyler Allgeier early. The Chargers also want to try and dictate the tempo of the game by playing methodically on offense in an attempt to keep Atlanta’s offense off the field. Atlanta is the home team in this one, but LA has had a knack for controlling the pace of games in their first year under Jim Harbaugh.

Cousins may be fresh coming off the bye week, but I like the Chargers’ chances of keeping this passing game under wraps. Take the under on 237.5 passing yards for the Falcons’ veteran QB.

Jameis Winston – Under 230.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos

Jameis Winston steps into a difficult matchup against a surging Denver Broncos defense that has been one of the league’s best against the pass during their current 2-game winning streak. Denver ranks near the top of the NFL in limiting explosive plays, and Winston has struggled with consistency since taking over for the injured Deshaun Watson.

We have seen a few big games from Jameis, but it’s hard to imagine the Cleveland Browns‘ offense will be firing on all cylinders in this difficult road matchup. The Broncos have been one of the NFL’s surprise success stories this season, while Cleveland is essentially playing out the string. Denver can stick All-Pro corner Patrick Surtain on one of Winston’s primary weapons, while the offensive line may have a difficult time protecting him against the Broncos’ impressive pass rush.

Jameis finished with just 219 passing yards in last week’s win over the Pittsburgh Steelers, and the Broncos have a similarly oppressive pass defense.

Jalen Hurts – Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-115)

Matchup: Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens

Jalen Hurts continues to prove himself as one of the league’s most reliable quarterbacks, and this week’s matchup against the Baltimore Ravens presents a favorable opportunity for him to clear this low passing yardage total. Baltimore’s defense has struggled to limit big plays through the air, ranking in the bottom half of the league in passing yards allowed this year. The defense has taken a big step back since losing former defensive coordinator Mike Macdonald to the Seattle Seahawks this past offseason.

While Hurts’ exploits have been overshadowed by the incredible Saquon Barkley in recent games, Philly’s QB1 is still having a memorable season in his own right. Hurts completed 15 of his 22 throws for 179 yards and a touchdown in last week’s win over the Los Angeles Rams. During Philly’s 7-game winning streak, Hurts has topped 219.5 passing yards 4 times. He wasn’t really needed last week with Barkley eclipsing 250 yards on the ground, but Baltimore’s primary focus should be trying to limit the Eagles’ run game.

I like this number for Hurts either way, but he’ll get a boost if DeVonta Smith returns to the lineup. Smith sat out last week’s game in LA with a hamstring injury. If he sits again, expect a big workload for AJ Brown, who attracted 7 targets and topped 100 yards receiving with a TD last week.

If Smith returns, the Eagles will have both of their top receivers available to attack the Ravens’ secondary. With Barkley keeping defenses honest on the ground, Hurts should find plenty of openings to carve up Baltimore’s defense.

Cooper Rush – Over 202.5 Passing Yards (-110)

Matchup: Dallas Cowboys vs. New York Giants

Cooper Rush takes the reins for the Dallas Cowboys again this week, and while he doesn’t have Dak Prescott’s ceiling, this over/under of 202.5 passing yards number is simply too low given the matchup. The New York Giants have been a mess defensively, and it sure sounds like the locker room has turned on head coach Brian Daboll. New York barely put up a fight in last week’s home loss to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, and I’m not sure they’ll have much stomach for the fight just 4 days later on Thanksgiving in Arlington.

Rush is hardly a household name, but he’s been a perfectly serviceable backup for Prescott over the past few years. Following a rough debut against the Eagles in Week 10, Rush has bounced back with a couple of solid showings against the Houston Texans and Washington Commanders. He threw for 354 yards in the loss to Houston a couple of weeks ago and followed that up with 247 yards in last week’s upset win over Washington.

The Cowboys’ run game has been a disaster all year. While there’s a chance they’re able to get something going on the ground against this paper-soft New York front, I’m willing to bank on most of their success coming through the air. Rush has a few legitimately good weapons at his disposal between CeeDee Lamb and big-play threat KeVontae Turpin. There’s also a chance Jake Ferguson will return this week after missing the last game with a concussion, which would give Rush a useful safety valve over the middle. Brandin Cooks, who hasn’t played since September, could also return to the lineup.

Rush has proven himself to be a capable game manager when called upon, and he should have no trouble exceeding this modest total in a beatable matchup.

Travis Kelce – Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Las Vegas Raiders

The Kansas City Chiefs’ offense has been beset by injuries this season, but Travis Kelce has been a constant. On the year, the future Hall-of-Famer has 68 catches on 88 targets for 569 yards and a couple of touchdowns. He’s no longer the guy who’s going to put up 1,400 receiving yards in a season, but he continues to serve as Patrick Mahomes’ favorite target for the 10-1 Chiefs.

This matchup at home vs. the Las Vegas Raiders on Black Friday is a prime spot for Kelce to bounce back after a quiet past couple of games. The Raiders have struggled to contain tight ends all season, and the Chiefs should dictate the tempo of this one at home. Kansas City is favored by nearly 2 touchdowns, so oddsmakers expect the Chiefs to put some points on the board and do some damage offensively.

One of Kelce’s best games of the season came several weeks ago against this very same Raiders defense. In Las Vegas in October, Kelce caught 10 of his 12 targets for 90 yards with a touchdown in the Chiefs’ 27-20 triumph. Kelce has topped 52.5 receiving yards in 4 of his last 5 games, so it won’t take a monumental effort for him to scoot past this total this week.

The Best Week 13 NFL Player Prop Parlay

For Week 13, here’s a 3-leg player prop parlay that combines strong value with excellent payout potential:

• Jalen Hurts – Over 219.5 Passing Yards (-115)
• Cooper Rush – Over 202.5 Passing Yards (-110)
• Travis Kelce – Over 52.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

The combined odds for this parlay come out to approximately +595. A $100 bet would yield a return of around $695 total ($100 stake plus $595 in profit) if all three legs hit.

Looking for more parlay ideas? Check out our weekly NFL parlay blog for additional strategies.