2025 PGA Charles Schwab Challenge Odds, Predictions, How To Watch

As the PGA Tour heads into summer, all eyes turn to Colonial Country Club in Fort Worth, Texas — the longtime host of the Charles Schwab Challenge. It hasn’t always been called that, of course, as Schwab became the tournament’s primary sponsor back in 2019. It’s not the flashiest stop on the calendar, but for purists and golf betting fans, it’s a sneaky-fun week that often rewards smart, tactical players.

This year, world No. 1 Scottie Scheffler headlines the field as a heavy favorite fresh off of last week’s dominant showing at the PGA Championship, but there’s no shortage of value down the board.

Whether you’re just looking for some golf betting angles or crafting your outright card for golf picks this week, we’ve got you covered with everything you need to know — including how to watch, odds, picks, and predictions. You can also check back later for final Charles Schwab Challenge golf results once the dust settles on Sunday.

Where Is the Charles Schwab Challenge Being Played?

The Charles Schwab Challenge has been held at Colonial Country Club since 1946, making it one of the oldest continuously played events on the PGA Tour at the same venue. Colonial’s tree-lined fairways and small greens have long favored precision over power, and it’s known as a classic ball-striker’s test, especially when those classic North Texas winds pick up.

How To Watch The Charles Schwab Challenge?

The 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge will be broadcast on Golf Channel and CBS, with live streaming available via PGA Tour Live on ESPN+. Coverage starts Thursday morning and runs through Sunday afternoon. Check local listings for tee times and stream availability.

Who Won the Charles Schwab Challenge 2024?

The little-known Davis Riley won the 2024 edition of the Charles Schwab Challenge in impressive fashion, finishing at -14 and beating both Scheffler and Keegan Bradley by a whopping 5 strokes.

Riley’s tee-to-green game carried him all week. That was the Mississippi native’s 2nd career PGA Tour win after sharing the 2023 Zurich Challenge title with partner Nick Hardy.

The Charles Schwab Challenge Odds

Check out the latest 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge odds:

Scheffler is getting the superstar treatment at just +240, while names like Jordan Spieth, Daniel Berger, and Hideki Matsuyama fall into a second tier of elite but longer shots. If you’re looking for smart wagering angles, the key is to shop numbers and align with the best handicappers in the game.

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The Charles Schwab Challenge Favorites

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites to win the Charles Schwab Challenge, according to the top sports betting sites:

Scottie Scheffler (+240)

Scottie Scheffler enters this week’s Charles Schwab Challenge as the betting favorite at +240, and honestly, it’s hard to argue with the number. He’s finished T2, T3, and 2nd in three of his last four appearances at Colonial — and if not for a couple of cold putting weeks, he might already have this trophy on his shelf. The course clearly suits his game, and the familiarity with the setup gives him a significant edge over the field.

Beyond his history at Colonial, Scheffler’s 2025 season has been nothing short of dominant. He’s won back-to-back events, including the PGA Championship and CJ Cup Byron Nelson, and hasn’t finished worse than T25 since January. In his last five starts, he’s averaged 2.958 Strokes Gained: Total, which leads the entire PGA Tour — and he’s also gaining more than 0.7 strokes per round both off the tee and on the green. That’s elite-level consistency in every phase of the game.

The one thing that had occasionally held Scheffler back — putting — now looks like a strength. He’s gaining nearly 0.8 strokes per round with the flatstick over his last five tournaments, and he ranks inside the top 15 in total putting stats this season. Combine that with his ball-striking (No. 1 on Tour in total strokes gained) and Colonial’s emphasis on precision over power, and you’re looking at a near-perfect fit.

Sure, betting +240 in a golf tournament is never “good value” in a traditional sense. But Scheffler is playing like a guy who should win whenever he tees it up. And at a place where he’s gone 9-under or better three times since 2020? The safer play might just be the sharpest one.

Jordan Spieth (+2200)

Jordan Spieth returns to Colonial this week as one of the more intriguing names on the board at +2200. He’s a past champion here, with a win in 2016 and a runner-up finish as recently as 2021. While his recent form hasn’t been flawless, this is one of those events where course history really matters—and few players are more comfortable at Colonial than Spieth.

Over his last ten appearances overall, Spieth has finished in the top 20 five times, including a fourth-place run at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson earlier this season. His total strokes gained average of 0.822 across his last five tournaments shows that he’s doing enough to contend, even if the ball-striking metrics aren’t quite elite. The putter has been streaky, but when it heats up, Spieth is one of the best closers on Tour.

Colonial also plays to his strengths. It’s not a course that demands length off the tee, and Spieth’s short game is one of the best in the field. He ranks inside the top 50 in putting and scrambling, and he’s gained strokes in both approach and around-the-green in four of his last five starts. Combine that with his creative shot-making and high comfort level on this track, and it’s easy to see a path to contention.

At +2200, you’re getting a proven winner at a place he knows how to navigate. If the ball-striking holds up and he finds a few hot streaks with the putter, Spieth is absolutely live to add another Colonial trophy to his collection.

Hideki Matsuyama (+2500)

Hideki Matsuyama might not have a ton of previous experience at Colonial, but his skill set lines up well with what this course demands. He ranks 12th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Total and 5th in Around-the-Green, which bodes well for a track that forces players to get creative when they miss greens. His ball-striking has been quietly solid in recent weeks, and if the putter even holds steady, he could absolutely contend.

Over his last 10 starts, Matsuyama has notched multiple top-20 finishes, including a T13 at The Genesis Invitational and T17 at the Truist Championship. His approach play ranks 31st on Tour, and his greens in regulation percentage (66.3%) is well above average. Even though he’s lost strokes with the putter lately, his scrambling ability should help offset any rough patches with the flatstick.

At +2500, you’re getting a proven champion with a world-class short game and enough form to trust. While this will be his first appearance at the Charles Schwab Challenge, Matsuyama’s track record on tight, positional courses is strong. He profiles as one of the better value plays on the board for those looking to pivot away from chalk.

The Best Charles Schwab Challenge Betting Value

The following golfers offer the best betting value based on their current Charles Schwab Challenge odds and their past success at this course:

Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)

Tommy Fleetwood might not have the best track record at Colonial, but this could be the year he finally figures it out. He’s been quietly putting together a strong 2025 season, highlighted by a T4 finish at the Truist Championship and a T5 at The Genesis Invitational. Over his last five tournaments, Fleetwood has averaged 0.714 Strokes Gained: Total — good for ninth-best on Tour — and ranks top 25 in both approach and around-the-green play.

That’s an ideal combo for a course like Colonial, where precision irons and short game creativity often outweigh raw distance. Fleetwood ranks 12th in SG: Approach and 22nd in SG: Around-the-Green this season, and he’s gained 0.521 strokes per round in the short game alone over his last five starts. The putter hasn’t been hot (he’s losing -0.110 strokes there recently), but his ball-striking should give him plenty of looks at birdie.

At +2500, Fleetwood brings a compelling mix of recent form, statistical upside, and that ever-present “he’s due” factor. He’s still chasing his first win on U.S. soil, and Colonial’s tight layout might just be the right fit for him to finally break through.

Harris English (+3500)

Harris English might not be the flashiest name on the board, but he’s playing some of the most quietly consistent golf on Tour right now. He’s posted five top-20 finishes over his last ten starts, including a T2 at the PGA Championship and a win at the Farmers Insurance Open earlier this year. At +3500, he offers strong value for a player who’s proven he can hang with the elite.

English’s statistical profile fits Colonial nicely. He’s gained 0.341 strokes off the tee and 0.424 putting over his last five tournaments, showing both control and scoring potential. While his approach numbers aren’t elite, they’ve improved recently, and his putting ranks 22nd on Tour this season. That combination of reliable tee shots and a hot flatstick has paid off on shorter, tactical courses like this one.

He also has some history here, finishing 12th in 2023 before missing the cut last year. But with his form surging and confidence clearly high after a strong spring, he’s a legitimate threat to make noise again at Colonial. If you’re looking for a mid-range play with upside, English checks a lot of boxes this week.

The Top Charles Schwab Challenge Longshot

J.T. Poston (+4000) is another lesser-known name, but his game fits Colonial like a glove. He’s posted two top-12 finishes here in the last few years, including a T10 in 2020 when he fired a closing 68 to finish 11-under. At +4500, he sits in that sweet spot for bettors looking to back a proven course fit without paying a premium for it.

Poston’s recent form is quietly solid. He finished T5 at the PGA Championship and has three top-20s in his last ten starts overall. His putter is heating up too — he’s gained 0.674 strokes putting over his last five tournaments, and when he gets rolling on the greens, he’s capable of going very low. He’s also gained strokes on approach consistently this season, which is crucial for a course with small, tricky greens.

While his off-the-tee numbers don’t jump off the page, Colonial rewards players who keep it in play and hit their irons close — and that’s exactly Poston’s style. He’s a legitimate threat to contend this week, especially if the putter stays hot. At +4500, he’s one of the more appealing longshots on the board.

Charles Schwab Challenge Predictions

With a loaded field and multiple elite ball-strikers in form, it’s tempting to ride with the chalk and back Scottie Scheffler. But from a betting perspective, the smarter play this week might be Tommy Fleetwood at +2500. He’s been trending in the right direction all season, and Colonial feels like the kind of course that could finally reward his consistency. His short game is sharp, his irons are dialed, and he’s due.

Fleetwood doesn’t carry the shortest number, but he gives you a blend of value, upside, and course fit that’s hard to ignore. If he gets anything going with the putter, he could be lifting his first trophy on U.S. soil by Sunday evening. It’s a tight call with Matsuyama and English also offering intrigue, but Fleetwood is our golf pick to win the 2025 Charles Schwab Challenge.

Bet: Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)

Charles Schwab Challenge Winners

The following is a list of the most recent Charles Schwab Challenge winners: