2025 Liege-Bastogne-Liege Odds and Predictions, and How To Watch

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On Sunday, April 27, the sport of cycling wraps up its third and final Ardennes Classic race with the 111^th edition of Liege-Bastogne-Liege. Also known as “La Doyenne” (The Old Lady), this Belgian one-day race is the oldest of the sport’s five Monuments.

What’s great about the field of competitors for this weekend’s race is the fact that we’re getting most of the same stars that just competed in the 2025 La Fleche Wallone. Additionally, we’re also getting some other big names sprinkled in the peloton like Richard Carapaz.

As we all know by now, Tadej Pogacar won the second of the Ardennes Classics – La Fleche Wallone. The first of these classics is the Amstel Gold Race, which Mattias Skjelmose shocked the field by pipping Remcoe Evenepoel and Pogacar at the line.

Pogacar and Evenepoel have won the last four Liege-Bastogne-Liege races. Pogacar won in 2024 and 2021, while Evenepoel won in 2022 and 2023.

Sunday’s race will be the last battle we see between Pogacar and Evenepoel until the Criterium du Dauphine in June. That’s the precursor to their epic showdown, along with Jonas Vingegaard, in the Tour de France.

With that said, let’s take a look at the latest cycling odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Liege-Bastogne-Liege predictions.

How To Watch Liege-Bastogne-Liege?

The 2025 Liege-Bastogne-Liege can be seen internationally on Eurorsport, TNT Sports, and FloBikes. For United States fans, Peacock will stream the race.

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Route

La Doyenne begins in Liege, heads down to Bastogne, before looping back to Liege. In total, the peloton will traverse 252km across the Wallonia, Ardennes, region of Belgium.

The route is slightly shorter than in recent years. However, it will still feature a finale of the Cote de La Redoute, Cote des Forges and the day’s final climb of the Cote de la Roche-aux-Faucons which comes with 13km left. Riders will then have a flat run into the finishing line at Liege.

The following 11 climbs will be featured in the 2025 Liege-Bastogne-Liege:

• Cote de Saint-Roch which is 1km at 11.2%
• Col de Haussire which is 3.9 km at 6.8%
• Cote de Mont-le-Soie which is 1.9 km at 7.7%.
• Cote de Wanne which is 3.6 km at 5.1%
• Cote de Stockeu which is 1.1 km at 11.9%
• Cote de Haute-Levee which is 2.2 km at 7.5%.
• Col du Rosier which is 4.5 km at 5.9%
• Cote de Desnie which is 1.7 km at 7.8%
• Cote de la Redoute which is 1.6 km at 9.5%
• Cote des Forges which is 1.4 km at 7.5%
• Cote de la Roche-aux-Faucons which is 1.4 km at 11.4%

Liege-Bastogne-Liege 2024

Tadej Pogacar won the 2024 Liege-Bastogne-Liege after crushing the field on the Cote de la Redoute and riding the final 30+km to the finishing line by himself. It was the second time he won this race in four years. He crashed out of the 2023 edition with a broken wrist.  

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Odds

Check out the latest Liege-Bastogne-Liege odds:

Just like with the last two Ardennes Classics, Tadej Pogacar is the sizable betting favorite. However, this time, Remco Evenepoel is the second odds-on favorite instead of Thibau Nys who held that spot for La Fleche Wallone.

Additionally, there’s some intriguing betting value on the boards with talented riders like Richard Carapaz and Kevin Vauquelin. We’ll discuss all three in greater detail below.

Keep reading to see who we think wins this race and which cyclists the top handicappers are leaning towards.

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Favorites

Let’s take a look at the top contenders for the 111^th edition of Liege-Bastogne-Liege:

Tadej Pogacar (-250)        

Tadej Pogacar left commentators Bob Roll and Christian Vande Velde speechless with his climbing on the final portions of the Mur de Huy to easily win La Fleche Wallone.

It was another major victory for Pogacar who also won at Tour of Flanders, Strade-Bianche and the UAE Tour early in the season.

As mentioned above, Pogacar finished second to Skjelmose in the Amstel Gold Race as he ran out of gas in the final kilometers following a solo breakaway that took Evenepoel and Skjelmose nearly 40km to catch him.

It marked the second consecutive finish as runner-up, as he also finished in that position to Mathieu van der Poel at Paris-Roubaix the week prior. That was the second time that Pogacar finished runner up to van der Poel. The same results occured at Milan-San Remo.

Pogacar has finished on the podium in every race he’s started this season. At Liege-Bastogne-Liege, the Slovenian has five prior appearances with three podium finishes. He won in 2024, crashed out of 2023, won in 2021, was 3^rd in 2020, and finished 18^th in 2019.

Like with La Fleche Wallone, I believe that this weekend’s final Ardennes Classic race is Pogacar’s to lose.

Remco Evenepoel (+400)

Remco Evenepoel, the defending double Olympic Champion, returned to cycling last week after recovering from a serious training injury last December.

Since his return, Evenepoel won at Brabantse Pijl, after outsprinting Wout van Aert, was runner up at the Amstel Gold Race, and finished 9^th at La Fleche Wallone.

The final climb of Wallone doesn’t suit Evenepoel’s skills, which we clearly saw. He was around 4^th in the middle of the climb but faded to 9^th by the finishing line.

Nevertheless, it was a strong result for Evenepoel who was also overcoming a crash in the Amstel Gold Race.

This will be his third appearance in Liege-Bastogne-Liege. Evenepoel won both of his prior starts in this race. Can he win this third?

Mattias Skjelmose (+1600)        

As I mentioned in my preview of La Fleche Wallone, I wasn’t surprised by Mattias Skjelmose finding success in the Amstel Gold Race. As I had picked him to win Tour of Basque Country as he offered better value than the favorite Joa Almeida. However, I was shocked that he pipped Pogacar and Evenpoel.

I thought that Skjelmose could challenge for a podium spot at Wallone with how well he was riding as of late. Unfortunately, he was involved in a difficult crash and ended up not finishing race.

He appears to be cleared for his 4^th appearance of Liege-Bastogne-Liege. But that doesn’t mean he will be at full health. Skjelmose was 28^th in this race last year, 9^th in 2023, and 65^th in 2022.

Due to his crash at La Fleche Wallone, I would skip Skjelmose this weekend. His -175 odds to finish in the Top 10 should be avoided as well, since they offer zero value.

Ben Healy (+1800)

You have to be impressed with what Ben Healy has done this season so far. He was 4^th at Strade-Bianche, won a stage at Itzulia Basque-Country, was 10^th in the Amstel Gold Race, and finished 5^th at La Fleche Wallone.

Healy is a strong climber with a pension for breakaways. He showed that on Stage five of Basque Country. He almost pulled off a second consecutive stage win, but finished 6^th on Stage 6 of that race.

I like Healy’s tenacity. It showed on the Mur when he was the only rider to challenge Pogacar before the latter put down the hammer. With that said, Healy’s only chance at winning this weekend is if the favorites crash. I don’t see it happening.

I would also avoid his Top 10 odds (-300) as there is no value with this prop bet.

Tom Pidcock (+2500)       

I was confident that Tom Pidcock would be a Top 10 rider at Wallone, and he didn’t let me down. Pidcock showed true grit by finishing third at La Fleche Wallone after outclimbing the rest of the pack.

The leader of Q36.5 Pro Cycling Team is putting together a strong season for being on a small squad. He was 9^th in the Amstel Gold, 11^th at Brabantse Pijl, 6^th at Tirreno-Adriatico, and 2^nd behind Pogacar at Strade-Bianche.

Pidcock does have three wins on the season with two stage victories and the overall GC win at the AlUla Tour earlier this year.

This will be the Brit’s fourth appearance in Liege-Bastogne-Liege. He was 10^th last year, 2^nd in 2023, and 102^nd in 2022.

I believe Pidcock can challenge for a Top 5 spot in this race. He should definitely be a Top 10 rider as long as he avoids any crashes.

The Best Liege-Bastogne-Liege Betting Value

The following cyclists offer the best betting value based on their current Liege-Bastogne-Liege odds, season to date, and past success in this race:

Richard Carapaz (+4000)

We haven’t seen Richard Carapaz race since Volta a Catalunya nearly four weeks ago. In that race, he finished a disappointing 10^th overall.

Prior to that event, Carapaz was 16^th at Milano-Torino, 18^th in Tirreno-Adriatico, 78^th at Strade Bianche, and 9^th at Tour des Alpes-Maritimes.

As of this week, Carapaz hasn’t really been a contender for any victory. It’s partly why he’s listed with odds this large. Yet, the talented Ecuadoran will need this race to prepare him further for the Giro d’Italia in one month.

 This will be his third appearance in the Liege-Bastogne-Liege race. His best result came last year when Carapaz finished 26^th overall.

If Carapaz is in good form and highly motivated, then he could challenge for a podium. But those are a big “if” right now. So, treat him as a longshot.

Where I think he offers small betting value is with his Top 10 odds of +200. He’s more than capable of finishing in the Top 10 if in good form.

Kevin Vauquelin (+6600)

Kevin Vauquelin is a rising star and France’s next hope to win races. He won the Tour du Gard in February, was 4^th in the Classic Var, 20^th at Strade Bianche, 12^th at Tirren-Adriatico, and won the Region Pays de la Loire Tour a few weeks back.

Vauquelin didn’t finish the Amstel Gold Race, but he showed his potential by finishing second at La Fleche Wallone. He was the second-best climber up the Mur and finished a few seconds ahead of Pidcock, Healy, Nys and Evenepoel.

He’s a rider to keep an eye on this weekend as it could be another opportunity for the 23-year-old to finish on the podium.

Top Liege-Bastogne-Liege Longshots

There are so many Liege-Bastogne-Liege longshots to choose from, but let’s stick with the following cyclists who have actually won races over the last 18 months:

Marc Hirschi (+15000)     

Despite his talent, Marc Hirschi has yet to round into top form which is why he’s such a longshot this weekend. Other than a 4^th in the Faun Drome Classic and a 6^th in the Miguel Indurain, Hirschi has failed to crack the Top 10 for a major race.

Over the last month, Hirschi finished 62^nd at the Itzulia Basque Country and never cracked the Top 15 on a stage. He then tallied a 40^th in the Amstel Gold Race and 49^th at La Fleche Wallone.

I don’t see any longshot winning this race on Sunday, but there are some of you that love taking fliers on these types of bets. So, Hirschi and Neilson Powless are two cyclists worth considering.

Neilson Powless (+15000)

Powless came in 45^th at La Fleche Wallone, which was a drop off from 13^th in the Amstel Gold Race and 7^th at Pijl. Prior to that he won Dwars door Vlaanderen and was 4^th at Trofeo Laigueglia and 6^th at Algarve.

This marks Powless’ fourth appearance in Liege-Bastogne-Liege. He was 65^th in 2023, 8^th in 2022, and 92^nd in 2020.

I’m curious to see how Powless rides this race considering that EF Education – Easy Post is also sending Healy and Carapaz. They’ve put together a Top 5 squad for this race.

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Predictions

Tadej Pogacar is bringing back the exact same team that saw UAE with three riders going up the Mur. No other squad has the talent that UAE does in this race. I do like what EF Education has done for this race along with Bahrain.

Ultimately, I see Pogacar outdueling Evenepoel to win this race on Sunday. He has the better team and showed that he’s the better climber. The one thing that could help Evenepoel is that there’s 13km of flat roads until the finish.

Although I think the odds should be closer, this race is Pogacar’s to lose.

Bet: Tadej Pogacar (-250)

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Prop Bets

The following Liege-Bastogne-Liege prop bet is courtesy of Bet365:

Top 10 Finish

I really love what Vauquelin did in La Fleche Wallone on Wednesday. Since the peloton will be competing in the same region of Wallone this weekend, it stands to reason that Vauquelin could find success for the second straight week.

I’m not going to outright say he finishes on the podium like he did in La Fleche Wallone with his runner up result, but I do love his chances of finishing in the Top 10.

Bet: Kevin Vauquelin (+175)

Liege-Bastogne-Liege Results

It should come as no surprise that Eddy Merckx holds the record for the most Liege-Bastogne-Liege with five. There are two cyclists tied with four wins apiece: Moreno Argentin and Alejandro Valverde.

Of the active cyclists, only Tadej Pogacar and Remco Evenepoel have multiple wins in the Liege-Bastogne-Liege.

The following is a list of the recent Liege-Bastogne-Liege winners: