Strade Bianche Odds: Pogačar Won a Record Fourth Title Skip to content
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Strade Bianche Odds: Pogačar Won a Record Fourth Title

Graphic featuring the logo of Strade Bianche with the text "Odds & Predictions" over a scenic Tuscan landscape with winding roads.

Tadej Pogačar won Strade Bianche for a record fourth time on March 7, 2026, riding alone to Piazza del Campo in Siena and finishing a minute ahead of 19-year-old Paul Seixas. The next edition is on Saturday, March 6, 2027, the date on the race’s official site; when we checked Bovada’s cycling board on November 3, it had no odds for it.

How Pogačar won the 2026 Strade Bianche

The 2026 race ran 203 km on the white gravel roads around Siena. Pogačar’s UAE Team Emirates XRG controlled the early breakaway, and Jan Christen then lifted the pace until only nine favorites were left at the front. Pogačar attacked on the Monte Sante Marie sector. Seixas, Isaac del Toro and Matteo Jorgenson tried to follow and were dropped one after another.

From there it was a solo ride to the finish, in 4:45:15 at 42.699 km/h. Behind him, Seixas dropped del Toro on the final wall of Via Santa Caterina to take second.

FinishRiderTeamGap
1Tadej PogačarUAE Team Emirates XRG4:45:15
2Paul SeixasDecathlon CMA CGM+1:00
3Isaac del ToroUAE Team Emirates XRG+1:09
4Romain GrégoireGroupama-FDJ United+2:04
5Gianni VermeerschRed Bull-BORA-hansgrohe+2:04
6Jan ChristenUAE Team Emirates XRG+2:07
7Tom PidcockPinarello Q36.5+2:14
8Matteo JorgensonVisma-Lease a Bike+2:20
9Andreas KronUno-X Mobility+3:46
10Wout van AertVisma-Lease a Bike+3:46

At 19, Seixas became the youngest rider ever on the Strade Bianche podium, per the race organizers. UAE placed three riders in the top six.

The women’s race went to Elise Chabbey of FDJ United-SUEZ, 32, in a sprint through the last 300 meters in Siena, ahead of Kasia Niewiadoma and Franziska Koch on the same time. Elisa Longo Borghini crested Via Santa Caterina first and finished fourth.

Recent Strade Bianche winners

YearWinner
2026Tadej Pogačar
2025Tadej Pogačar
2024Tadej Pogačar
2023Tom Pidcock
2022Tadej Pogačar

Pogačar has won four of the last five, and three in a row. Pidcock, the 2023 winner, was seventh in 2026.

Betting the 2027 Strade Bianche

Pogačar has won the last three editions, and in 2024 and 2026 the organizers timed his solo move at roughly 80 km from the finish. In our view the betting questions sit in the places behind him. An outright price is a chance written as a payout: -150 implies 60.0%, +600 implies 14.3% and +2000 implies 4.8%. A futures bet is worth making only when you rate a rider’s chance higher than the price does.

Top-three and head-to-head markets let you back riders such as Seixas and del Toro, second and third in 2026, without needing them to beat Pogačar. Other early-season races are on our Omloop Het Nieuwsblad, Tirreno-Adriatico and Milan-San Remo pages, the summer is on our Tour de France odds, and the rest are in our cycling section. Compare books in our sportsbook reviews, or start a free trial of the membership.

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