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On Sunday, June 1, NASCAR makes its annual pitstop at the Nashville Superspeedway for the Cracker Barrel 400. This event marks the 14th race of the season.
All three of NASCAR’s top national circuits are coming off an exciting weekend at Charlotte Motor Speedway. If you missed the NASCAR results for the Coca-Cola 600, Ross Chastain stunned the field as he took the lead on the final laps and held on for his first victory of the season.
Chastain might not be one of the favorites this Sunday, but he’s certainly someone to consider as the watermelon-smashing driver won this race in 2023.
As usual, Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, Christopher Bell, Ryan Blaney and William Byron are your Top 5 odds-on favorites to win the Cracker Barrel 400.
With that said, let’s take a look at the latest NASCAR Nashville odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites, and make our Cracker Barrel predictions for this weekend’s Nashville NASCAR Cup Series race.
Cracker Barrel 400 Race Profile
After being a hotbed for racing in the early days of NASCAR, the Nashville area was void of the Cup Series for almost 40 years before a return in 2021. Since then, this venue has become an annual stop throughout the season.
The Nashville Superspeedway is considered an intermediate-track (1-2 miles) that’s shaped like a tri-oval. Its four turns have 14 degrees in banking, with a frontstretch at 9 degrees and the backstretch at 6 degrees of banking. The superspeedway is surfaced in concrete and has a lap distance of 1.33 miles.
Sunday’s Cracker Barrel 400 breaks down as follows:
- Total Miles: 400 miles
- Total Laps: 300 laps
- Stage 1: 90 laps
- Stage 2: 95 laps
- Final Stage: 115 laps
The Cracker Barrel 400 will be live on Amazon Prime beginning at 7pm ET.
Recent Cracker Barrel 400 Winners
As mentioned above, NASCAR’s Cup Series returned to the Nashville area in 2021, for the first time since 1984. There have only been four races held so far at this venue, since the Cup’s return.
The following is a list of the most recent winners:
- 2024: Joey Logano
- 2023: Ross Chastain
- 2022: Chase Elliott
- 2021: Kyle Larson
Chevrolet has won three of the four Cracker Barrel 400 races. Hendrick Motorsports has captured two of the previous four victories in this event.
Cracker Barrel 400 Betting Odds
Check out the latest Cracker Barrel 400 odds:
NASCAR Odds | NASCAR Odds |
---|---|
Kyle Larson +500 | Denny Hamlin +550 |
Christopher Bell +600 | William Byron +650 |
Ryan Blaney +800 | Tyler Reddick +1000 |
Ross Chastain +1000 | Chase Elliott +1600 |
Joey Logano +2200 | Brad Keselowski +2200 |
Chase Briscoe +2200 | Josh Berry +2200 |
Chris Buescher +2500 | Kyle Busch +2500 |
Ty Gibbs +2500 | Alex Bowman +3000 |
Carson Hocevar +3000 | Bubba Wallace +3000 |
Ryan Preece +4000 | Austin Cindric +5000 |
Cracker Barrel 400 Favorites
The following drivers are considered by oddsmakers to be the odds-on favorites to win the Cracker Barrel 400:
Kyle Larson +500
- Driver Standings: 2
- Wins: 3
- Top 5: 8
- Top 10: 9
Kyle Larson’s bid to run “The Double” last weekend, ended in misery for the #5 car. First, he crashed out of the Indy 500 then he crashed out of the Coca-Cola 600. That result snapped a streak of four consecutive Top 4 finishes, with two wins over that span. It also dropped him from first to second in the driver standings.
At Nashville, Larson has been the best driver of the field. He has one win, three Top 5s, and four Top 10s in four starts. His 4.5 average finish is the best among full-time Cup Series drivers.
Larson won this race in 2021, but finished 8th last year. He also hasn’t led a lap at this venue since his victory.
With that said, Larson’s elite consistency at this superspeedway makes him the man to beat on Sunday.
Denny Hamlin +550
- Driver Standings: 6
- Wins: 2
- Top 5: 5
- Top 10: 6
Denny Hamlin’s 16th place finish at Charlotte last weekend was a marked improvement over his three previous results. However, it was still a massive disappointment to the #11 team as Hamlin was one of the best cars all night. He led 53 laps, battled William Byron for the lead over half of the race, but fell back into the field due to a bad pit stop.
Now, Hamlin turns his attention towards Nashville where he has one Top 5, two Top 10s and a 10.5 average finish. He’s led laps in the last three races at this venue and has a 7.0 average finish over that span.
If Hamlin can avoid self-inflicted mistakes, we could see the #11 car competing for the checkered flag this weekend as well.
Christopher Bell +600
- Driver Standings: 3
- Wins: 3
- Top 5: 6
- Top 10: 9
Christopher Bell was my choice to win the Coca-Cola 600. Unfortunately, he came up short by finishing 8th. It was the third straight Top 10 finish for the #20 car and kept him third in the driver standings.
At Nashville, Bell has three Top 10s in four starts. His 15.0 average finish is a bit misleading. Last year, Bell had the best car until he crashed out. Up to that point, Bell led 131 of the 227 laps. Prior to that DNF, Bell had three straight Top 9 results.
Bell is a Top 10 car with a Top 3 race ceiling. It will take some luck to win this race, but he definitely has the skills to do so. Just not sure he will have the car to outduel some of the other favorites.
William Byron +650
- Driver Standings: 1
- Wins: 1
- Top 5: 6
- Top 10: 8
William Byron reclaimed his spot at the top of the driver standings after finishing second last weekend in the Coca-Cola 600. Byron was the best car all night and led 283 of the 400 laps. He also won the Xfinity Series race on Saturday night, which I predicted in our weekly NASCAR picks article:
“Allgaier has three DNFs in the last eight races at Charlotte. It definitely gives me cause for concern despite his win in 2023. I’m taking Byron to duplicate what Elliott did last year, by coming down from the Cup Series and winning the Xfinity race.”
The 2017 Xfinity Series champion, looked every bit the part of a serious Cup Series Championship contender in Charlotte. It was his third Top 3 finish in the last six races on the season.
Byron is certainly capable of duplicating that Charlotte success at Nashville this weekend. In 2021, he finished third. However, Byron has just two Top 10s in four starts along with a 15.8 average finish. Those aren’t spectacular numbers for a driver who has been one of the best this season so far.
I feel comfortable with Byron being a Top 10 car with a Top 5 ceiling.
Ryan Blaney +800
- Driver Standings: 7
- Wins: 0
- Top 5: 5
- Top 10: 6
If there’s one favorite to fade this weekend, it’s Ryan Blaney. Sure, the #12 car has had some momentum over the last two months with four Top 5s in six races. However, those other two starts ended up as DNFs.
In fact, Blaney is in a three-way tie for the most DNFs this season with five. In the Top 10 of the standings, Blaney has more than double the DNFs as any other driver. The 2023 Cup Series champ crashed out of the Coca-Cola 600 last weekend.
At Nashville, Blaney has two DNFs in four starts as he crashed out of half of his appearances at this venue. His other two starts were Top 6 finishes.
With the inconsistency of Blaney at this track, combined with his up-and-down season so far, along with his five DNFs on the year and two DNFs at Nashville, there’s no logical reason to bet on the #12 car to win or place in the Top 10.
The Best Cracker Barrel 400 Betting Value
The following drivers are my NASCAR picks for the best betting value in the Cracker Barrel 400 based on their previous success at the Nashville Superspeedway:
Chase Elliott +1600
- Driver Standings: 4
- Wins: 0
- Top 5: 3
- Top 10: 7
Each week, Chase Elliott just quietly goes about his business as he cruises in under the radar for a solid result. Last weekend was a great example as Elliott finished 6th and was never a true contender for the win. Elliott has also finished in the Top 20 for all 13 races so far.
At Nashville, Elliott has one win, two Top 5s, and three Top 20s. He was disqualified after the race in 2021, despite having a strong result.
Elliott offers value in his race winning odds. But I really like his Top 5 odds of +275. I think he has a better shot at a Top 5 finish than winning the race despite taking the checkered flag during the 2022 race at this track.
Joey Logano +2200
- Driver Standings: 9
- Wins: 1
- Top 5: 1
- Top 10: 3
Joey Logano wasn’t able to carry his momentum from the All-Star Race where he finished second and almost won the event for a second year in a row. Instead, Logano finished 17th at Charlotte. It snapped a two-week stretch of Top 9 results, which included winning the Wurth 400 at Texas three races ago.
Despite the subpar finish, Logano remained 9th in the standings. I think that the reigning Cup Series champ will improve on that mark as he offers great value for this weekend’s race.
In four Nashville starts, Logano has one win, one Top 5, three Top 10s, four Top 19s and a solid 9.8 average finish. The #22 car was in victory lane for this race last year.
Although I like his race-winning value, I think Logano’s best value is in his Top 10 odds (+130). I will breakdown my reasons why, further below.
The Top Cracker Barrel 400 Longshot
Bubba Wallace (+3000) is my longshot pick this weekend. The #23 car hasn’t done anything remarkable this year to date, but he does sit in 12th for the standings which might be surprising to some especially since Wallace is tied with Blaney and Keselowski for the most DNFs (5).
Additionally, Wallace has crashed out of three straight races. And, didn’t even qualify for the All-Star Race after competing in the All-Star Open earlier in the day.
So, yes, it’s raining and pouring on the 23XI racing driver. However, I think Wallace can turn things around this weekend in Nashville where he’s finished in the Top 20 for all four races. He was 7th last year and has a respectable 13.5 average finish at this venue.
Winning the race is definitely a longshot for Wallace, but his Top 10 odds (+160) are a mild long and could be worth a flier.
Cracker Barrel 400 Predictions
My Top 5 drivers for this weekend are Kyle Larson, Denny Hamlin, William Byron, Ross Chastain, and Joey Logano or Chase Elliott. I will dive deeper into Chastain’s chances this weekend, further below.
As for the winner, I am going with Kyle Larson. And, before you say I’m taking the easy way out, let me share some knowledge with you about the #5 car.
Larson has two DNFs on the year. In Week 8, he had suspension issues and finished 37th. The very next week, he went out and dominated the Food City 500 in Bristol. In fact, he dominated the entire weekend at Bristol as Larson also won the Xfinity Series race and was runner-up in the Truck Series Race.
His second DNF came last weekend in Charlotte where he finished 37th due to getting caught up in a crash. Larson is arguably the best driver in the Cup Series this season and one of the best Cup drivers at intermediate-tracks. I think he comes back with a vengeance and wins the Cracker Barrel 400.
Bet: Kyle Larson (+550)
NASCAR Cracker Barell 400 Prop Bets
Check out some of our favorite NASCAR prop bets for the Cracker Barell 400:
Either To Finish In The Top 3 at Nashville
As you can see from above, I really like Larson and Logano this weekend at Nashville. Both men have strong resumes at this track with Larson leading the Cup Series with a 4.5 average finish.
Furthermore, Larson won this race in 2021, and Logano won this race last year. So, we get two of the four previous winners and the overall pre-race favorite in this NASCAR prop bet.
Bet: Larson or Logano (-105)
The Best Top 5 Bet for the Cracker Barrel 400
Ross Chastain (+180) stunned the field last weekend in Charlotte to win the Coca-Cola 600 and smash watermelons after the race. Chastain also finished third in the Truck Series race last weekend as well.
It was his second Top 2 result in the last three Cup Series races and his 7th Top 10 in 13 starts. Chastain does have one DNF, which came in the Daytona 500 at the start the season.
Over his last seven races on the season, Chastain has five Top 7s. In his four starts at Nashville, Chastain has three Top 5s and won this race in 2023. He crashed out of last year’s race.
If we ignore that 2024 result for a moment, Chastain has a 2.66 average finish in his three previous Nashville races. Furthermore, Chastain had led 33 laps in last year’s race before crashing out.
I love the value of Chastain’s Top 5 odds and think he’s definitely worth a flier.
Bet: Ross Chastain (+180)
The Best Top 10 Bet for the Cracker Barrel 400
I have mentioned Joey Logano (+130) a few times above already. I’m high on the #22 car this weekend as he’s had a strong run at Nashville in his four starts at the Superspeedway including winning last year’s race.
Plus, I believe that Logano has turned things around this season despite his 17th place result for last weekend’s race. A Top 10 finish at Nashville shouldn’t bee too difficult for the defending race winner.
Bet: Joey Logano (+130)
Winning Manufacturer
- Chevrolet (+120)
- Toyota (+170)
- Ford (+300)
Despite Logano’s Ford winning the 2024 Cracker Barrel 400, this manufacturer is a longshot to win on Sunday. Chevy is the clear-cut favorite with three of the four wins in this race since NASCAR returned here in 2021.
When looking at my Top 5 drivers, three of them are Chevys. I think Larson can win this race, but Elliott and Chastain also won at Nashville over the last three years as well. One of those three, or William Byron is taking the checkered flag on Sunday.
Bet: Chevrolet (+120)
Team of Race Winner
- Hendrick Motorsports (+175)
- Joe Gibbs Racing (+500)
- Team Penske (+550)
- 23XL Racing (+750)
- RFK Racing (+1000)
- Trackhouse Racing (+1000)
- Spire Motorsports (+2200)
- Richard Childress Racing (+2800)
There are two ways to approach this prop bet. You can go with the favorite in Hendrick Motorsports who Larson drives for, or you can hedge your bets and take another team like Joe Gibbs Racing.
For me, I’m going to double down on Hendrick as I think Larson wins. But Elliott is one of my value bets as he won here in 2022. And, Byron is capable of winning on any given weekend.
Bet: Hendrick Motorsports (+175)
Winning Car Number
- Over 16.5 (-125)
- Under 16.5 (-105)
Wait a second, are you telling me that I can get three of the Top 5 favorites and three of the previous four winners in this race by taking the Under?
Under 16.5 includes: Chastain (1), Cindric (2), Larson (5), Keselowski (6), Busch (8), Elliott (9), Hamlin (11), and Blaney (12).
Sure, Bell, Byron or Logano could win this race but I love the value we’re getting with the Under. Larson, Elliott and Chastain have won this race before. Larson, Hamlin and Blaney are three of the Top 5 pre-race favorites.
Bet: Under 16.5 (-105)