PFL Dubai Odds and Predictions: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy Skip to content
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PFL Dubai Odds and Predictions: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy

Promotional poster for PFL Champions Series featuring matchups between fighters from Dagestan and Ireland, with event details.

The PFL’s next card is PFL Dubai on Saturday, November 14, at Coca-Cola Arena, where heavyweight champion Vadim Nemkov (20-2) defends his title against #3-ranked Sergei Bilostenniy (15-4). No price on any of the 15 fights was posted on ESPN’s board when it was read at 15:29 UTC on November 1.

The main card starts at 1 p.m. Eastern (10 p.m. in Dubai) and the preliminary card at 9 a.m. Eastern, both on the ESPN app in the U.S. It is the PFL’s fourth card in Dubai and its first there since the merger with Most Valuable Promotions, announced on July 30.

Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy: the heavyweight title

By the PFL’s count, Nemkov has gone unbeaten in his last 15 appearances. Bilostenniy was the first fighter to stop Karl Williams and has since finished former PFL champion Renan Ferreira. The two are former training partners from Fedor Emelianenko’s team, and the PFL’s card announcement of October 27 says they have shared camps.

Our PFL odds and predictions page published its call on October 21: “Prediction: Vadim Nemkov to defeat Sergei Bilostenniy”, with no bet until a verified moneyline is posted. That still stands. With no price on the board on November 1, there is nothing to weigh the call against, so it stays a lean on the winner and not a wager.

The full PFL Dubai card

The co-main event puts Belgium’s undefeated #4 Patrick Habirora (9-0) outside Europe for the first time, against #5 Omar El Dafrawy (16-6), the first PFL MENA welterweight champion. Habirora comes in after a 20-second knockout of former UFC champion Benson Henderson in Brussels.

CardBoutWeight
Main, titleVadim Nemkov (20-2) vs. #3 Sergei Bilostenniy (15-4)Heavyweight
Main, co-main#4 Patrick Habirora (9-0) vs. #5 Omar El Dafrawy (16-6)Welterweight
MainPouya Rahmani (6-0) vs. #1 Oleg Popov (23-2)Heavyweight
MainAbubakar Nurmagomedov (17-4-1) vs. David Martinez (17-6)Welterweight
Main#4 Sergio Pettis (25-8) vs. Joji Goto (21-9-1)Bantamweight
PrelimsShem Rock (12-3-1) vs. Connor Hughes (12-3)Lightweight
PrelimsLewis McGrillen (13-2) vs. Nawras Abzakh (15-6)Bantamweight
Prelims#8 Asaël Adjoudj (11-1) vs. Movlid Khaybulaev (23-0-1)Featherweight
Prelims#9 Alexei Pergande (8-0) vs. Akhmed Magomedov (11-2)Lightweight
Prelims#10 Khasan Magomedsharipov (11-0) vs. #7 Adam Borics (20-4)Featherweight
Prelims#2 Denis Goltsov (37-9) vs. #6 Maxwell Djantou Nana (9-2)Heavyweight
Prelims#7 Ernesto Rodriguez (11-2) vs. Rhys McKee (15-7-1)Welterweight
PrelimsKhabib Nabiev (12-0) vs. Styve Ngono (8-1)Light heavyweight
PrelimsKhamzat Abaev (6-1) vs. Leon Hill (10-2)Welterweight
PrelimsAleksandra Savicheva (8-2) vs. Jacinta Austin (9-2)Women’s strawweight

Rankings and records are as the PFL listed them on October 27. Popov, ranked #1 at heavyweight, won the 2025 World Tournament heavyweight final by split decision over Alexandr Romanov. Khaybulaev won the 2025 featherweight tournament with a fifth-round submission of Jesus Pinedo.

After Dubai: PFL Lyon on December 19

PFL Lyon at LDLC Arena crowns the first PFL bantamweight world champion: France’s #3 Taylor Lapilus (25-4) against undefeated American #1 Mitch McKee (11-0). The preliminary card is listed for 11 a.m. Eastern and the main card for 3 p.m., on the ESPN app in the U.S.

The PFL says Lyon is its last event under the PFL name. From January 1, 2027, its events run under the Most Valuable Promotions (MVP) banner.

DateEventVenue
Nov. 14PFL Dubai: Nemkov vs. BilostenniyCoca-Cola Arena, Dubai
Dec. 11PFL KhobarDhahran Expo, Khobar, Saudi Arabia
Dec. 12PFL Africa: Kigali (three tournament finals)BK Arena, Kigali, Rwanda
Dec. 19PFL Lyon: Lapilus vs. McKeeLDLC Arena, Lyon

Road to Dubai: how Nurmagomedov beat Hughes twice

The PFL Champions Series: Road to Dubai card of January 25, 2025, ended with Usman Nurmagomedov keeping the Bellator lightweight title against Paul Hughes by majority decision: 47-47, 48-46 and 48-46. Nemkov won by first-round submission on that card.

They met again at Coca-Cola Arena on October 3, 2025, in Road to Dubai: The Rematch, for the PFL lightweight world title. All three judges had Nurmagomedov this time, 50-45, 49-46 and 48-47, and he left 20-0 with one no contest.

How to read MMA odds

MMA fight odds are moneylines on each bout, with props on the method and the round. A moneyline is a chance written as a payout: -400 implies 80% and +300 implies 25%. A bet is worth making only when you rate a fighter’s chance higher than the price does, which is why a call with no price stays a lean.

Our MMA articles cover upcoming cards, our sportsbook reviews show where to compare prices, and our handicapper site reviews cover the paid-picks services.

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