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PFL Odds and Predictions: Results and World Tournament

PFL Odds and Predictions 2026

PFL odds and predictions now point at PFL Dubai on Saturday, November 14, where heavyweight champion Vadim Nemkov defends his title against Sergei Bilostenniy. The last completed PFL card was PFL Chicago on October 16, where Jena Bishop beat Liz Carmouche by unanimous decision to become the first PFL women’s flyweight world champion.

Our Dubai call, published here on October 21, was Nemkov to keep the heavyweight title, with no bet until a verified moneyline is posted. That still holds on November 1: ESPN’s board had no price on any of the 15 Dubai fights when it was read at 15:29 UTC. The full card, start times and the fight-by-fight lineup are on our PFL Dubai odds and predictions page.

PFL odds and predictions: where the board stands

Market status checked on November 1, 2026, at 15:29 UTC. No price was posted on ESPN for the Dubai main event or any other bout on the card, so the outlook below is the outcome view we published on October 21, kept as dated. Odds may be posted or move closer to fight night, and a call is not a bet until it can be set against one.

Upcoming fight (Nov. 14)Our outlook (Oct. 21)Price on ESPN, Nov. 1
Vadim Nemkov vs. Sergei BilostenniyLean Nemkov to win; no bet without verified oddsNone posted
Oleg Popov vs. Pouya RahmaniNo call; watch the opening moneylineNone posted
Patrick Habirora vs. Omar El DafrawyNo call before a price is postedNone posted

In MMA a favorite can be the right prediction and still be a poor bet. Before backing Nemkov we need to know how much chance the market gives him; at -400 it would be 80%, at -200 about 66.7%. Without that number there is no basis for claiming an edge.

PFL Chicago results: Bishop wins the flyweight title

PFL Chicago took place on October 16 at Wintrust Arena. Bishop (12-3) beat Carmouche (26-9) by unanimous decision, 48-47 on all three cards, for the first PFL women’s flyweight world championship. Carmouche had stopped her in the third round of the 2025 World Tournament final in Charlotte.

FightWinner and result
Jena Bishop vs. Liz Carmouche (title)Bishop, unanimous decision (48-47 x3)
Timur Khizriev vs. Gabriel BragaKhizriev, split decision (29-28 x2, 28-29)
Sarvarjon Khamidov vs. Rafael do NascimentoKhamidov, KO (punches), round 1, 1:49
Oualy Tandia vs. JP Saint Louis (173 lbs)Tandia, unanimous decision (30-27, 29-28 x2)

The rematch went the other way. Carmouche had the stronger first round, by the PFL’s account, and Bishop came close to a rear-naked choke in the third before controlling the rest of the fight on the ground. A previous result between two fighters should inform a prediction without becoming the whole argument.

Khizriev stayed unbeaten at 19-0, though one judge scored the fight for Braga. The split cards are a reminder that a fighter with a perfect record can still be in a much closer fight than the record suggests.

PFL Dubai prediction: Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy

Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy

Nemkov (20-2) moved up to heavyweight in 2024 and won the PFL title last December. According to the PFL, all three of his heavyweight fights ended with chokes, and he is a four-time Combat Sambo champion. Bilostenniy (15-4) is 4-1 since joining the PFL, with finishes over Karl Williams, Tyrell Fortune and former PFL champion Renan Ferreira.

Our call as published on October 21: “Prediction: Vadim Nemkov to defeat Sergei Bilostenniy.” The reasons given were his grappling and his title experience, with Bilostenniy’s finishing power named as the main risk. Until a trustworthy moneyline is posted, the recommendation is to watch the market rather than place an unpriced bet or assume a method of victory.

For readers comparing fight-winner markets with method-of-victory or round wagers, the ScoresAndStats UFC betting guide explains those MMA betting mechanics. They apply to PFL bets too, though settlement rules and available markets should be checked for each event.

PFL World Tournament champions: 2025 results

The most recent PFL World Tournament ran in 2025, with eight divisions. The first rounds were in Orlando in April, and the champions were crowned at three finals cards in August: Atlantic City on August 1, Charlotte on August 15 and Hollywood, Florida, on August 21.

Division2025 World Tournament championFinal
HeavyweightOleg PopovSplit decision over Alexandr Romanov (Aug. 21)
Light heavyweightAntonio Carlos Jr.Submission of Sullivan Cauley, round 2 (Aug. 21)
MiddleweightFabian EdwardsKO of Dalton Rosta, round 3 (Aug. 21)
WelterweightThad JeanUnanimous decision over Logan Storley (Aug. 1)
LightweightAlfie DavisUnanimous decision over Gadzhi Rabadanov (Aug. 15)
FeatherweightMovlid KhaybulaevSubmission of Jesus Pinedo, round 5 (Aug. 1)
BantamweightMarcirley AlvesUnanimous decision over Justin Wetzell (Aug. 15)
Women’s flyweightLiz CarmoucheTKO of Jena Bishop, round 3 (Aug. 15)

These are tournament titles, not an active futures board. The PFL’s World Tournament page still shows the 2025 bracket, and its league format page read “More information coming soon” on November 1. The words World Tournament do not appear anywhere on the PFL’s events list, which runs through PFL Lyon on December 19. Bishop’s world title in Chicago came in a single title fight.

Two of the 2025 champions fight in Dubai: Popov, now ranked #1 at heavyweight (23-2), meets Pouya Rahmani (6-0), and Khaybulaev (23-0-1) meets #8 Asaël Adjoudj on the preliminary card.

Remaining PFL schedule for 2026

Four PFL cards are left on the events list. The regional tournaments end in December: the PFL Africa finals in Kigali on December 12 crown three champions, at welterweight, lightweight and bantamweight.

DateEventLocation
November 14, 2026PFL DubaiCoca-Cola Arena, Dubai, UAE
December 11, 2026PFL KhobarDhahran Expo, Khobar, Saudi Arabia
December 12, 2026PFL Africa: KigaliBK Arena, Kigali, Rwanda
December 19, 2026PFL LyonLDLC Arena, Lyon, France

PFL Lyon on December 19 has Taylor Lapilus (25-4) against undefeated Mitch McKee (11-0) for the first PFL bantamweight world title. The PFL says it is the last event under the PFL name: from January 1, 2027, events are staged under the Most Valuable Promotions (MVP) name, after the merger announced on July 30.

PFL odds FAQs

Who won PFL Chicago on October 16, 2026?

Jena Bishop beat Liz Carmouche by unanimous decision, 48-47 on all three cards, to become the first PFL women’s flyweight world champion. Timur Khizriev beat Gabriel Braga by split decision in the co-main event.

When is the next PFL event?

PFL Dubai on Saturday, November 14, 2026, at Coca-Cola Arena. The preliminary card starts at 9 a.m. Eastern and the main card at 1 p.m., with Vadim Nemkov defending the heavyweight title against Sergei Bilostenniy.

What is the ScoresAndStats prediction for Nemkov vs. Bilostenniy?

Nemkov to keep the title, as published on October 21. No moneyline was posted on ESPN on November 1, so it is a call on the winner, not a priced bet.

Is there a PFL World Tournament in 2026?

None is listed. The PFL’s World Tournament page still shows the 2025 season, which ended with the August 2025 finals, and no card on its events list is billed as a World Tournament event.

Who won the 2025 PFL World Tournament heavyweight title?

Oleg Popov, by split decision over Alexandr Romanov (49-46, 48-47, 47-48) on August 21, 2025. He faces undefeated Pouya Rahmani at PFL Dubai on November 14.

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