2025 PGA Memorial Tournament Odds, Predictions, How To Watch

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The Memorial Tournament returns to the PGA Tour this week with a loaded field and major championship vibes. Hosted by Jack Nicklaus at Muirfield Village, this invitational is known for elite competition, demanding conditions, and a finishing stretch that can derail even the steadiest of rounds.

If you’re betting on golf this week, this is one of the most exciting events on the calendar. Below we’ve got updated PGA odds, our expert picks, and analysis on who’s offering value and who might go all the way. And for more golf insight, check out our PGA Tour hub, our weekly golf picks for each tournament, and our expert guide to betting on golf.

Also, be sure to check our Golf Results page following the conclusion of The Memorial Tournament.

Where Is The Memorial Tournament Being Played?

The 2025 Memorial Tournament is being played at Muirfield Village Golf Club in Dublin, Ohio. Designed by Jack Nicklaus and opened in 1974, this par-72 track is renowned for super-fast greens and penal rough.

The tournament has been held here every year since its inception and is one of the PGA Tour’s most respected non-majors.

How To Watch The Memorial Tournament?

Golf Channel and CBS will carry coverage of the Memorial Tournament. PGA Tour Live will stream featured groups and holes throughout the day, and streaming is available via the ESPN+ and Paramount+ platforms.

Who Won The Memorial Tournament 2024?

In news that should come as no surprise, Scottie Scheffler claimed the 2024 Memorial Tournament. The world’s top-ranked player finished at 8-under and a stroke ahead of Collin Morikawa despite a shaky 2-over performance in the final round. That was the fifth of Scheffler’s remarkable 7 wins on the PGA Tour a season ago. What’s even less surprising is that Scheffler is listed as an absolutely massive favorite to win it again this year.

The Memorial Tournament Odds

Check out the latest Memorial Tournament odds:

PGA OddsPGA Odds
Scottie Scheffler (+280)Collin Morikawa (+1600)
Xander Schauffele (+1600)Justin Thomas (+1800)
Patrick Cantlay (+2200)Ludvig Aberg (+2500)
Tommy Fleetwood (+2500)Corey Conners (+3000)
Viktor Hovland (+3000)Shane Lowry (+3500)
Daniel Berger (+3500)Jordan Spieth (+3500)
Hideki Matsuyama (+3500)Si Woo Kim (+4000)
Sepp Straka (+4000)Denny McCarthy (+4500)

Scheffler is the clear-cut favorite once again, but there’s strong value among the next tier of contenders. Viktor Hovland returns as the 2023 champ, and both Morikawa and Xander Schauffele come in with elite ball-striking form.

If you’re looking for sharper bets, be sure to follow advice from the best handicappers.

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The Memorial Tournament Favorites

The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites to win the Memorial Tournament, according to the top sports betting sites:

Scottie Scheffler (+280)

Scottie Scheffler enters the 2025 Memorial Tournament with all the momentum—and all the metrics—pointing in his favor. The reigning champ at Muirfield Village is fresh off a dominant stretch of play that includes wins at the PGA Championship and the CJ Cup Byron Nelson. That’s three victories in his last five starts, and he hasn’t finished worse than T8 in any of them. His recent form is absurd, and with a win here last year at 8-under, there’s no question he knows how to handle Jack’s place.

What separates Scheffler from the rest of the field isn’t just his trophy collection; it’s his utter statistical dominance. He leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Total, gaining nearly 3 strokes per round on the field over his last five tournaments. His ball-striking has been clinical, ranking No. 1 in SG: Approach and No. 2 Off-the-Tee. Even more impressively, his putting—often his Achilles heel—is showing real signs of life, with a 0.804 SG: Putting average across his last five events.

Scheffler’s consistency at Muirfield is another reason to buy in. He’s finished top three here in three of the last four years, and his scoring history includes rounds of 67, 68, and 66 on one of the most demanding courses on the PGA Tour. Add in a 70% GIR rate and elite FedExCup form (he leads the Tour in points), and he checks every box for both casual fans and sharp bettors alike.

At +300 or better, you’re not getting longshot odds—but you are getting the best player in the world on a course he’s already conquered. In betting terms, that’s a fair trade. Whether you’re building a DFS core, targeting props like top 5/10, or looking for a dependable outright, Scheffler is your guy. When you’re this hot and this dialed in, the price might actually be a bargain.

Xander Schauffele (+1600)

Xander Schauffele heads into the 2025 Memorial Tournament flying a bit under the radar, but his game is quietly trending in the right direction. He tied for 8th at Muirfield Village last year with steady play and has now finished in the top 20 here four times. While he hasn’t yet cracked the code for a win at this venue, he’s consistently been in the mix—and given how demanding Muirfield is, that alone puts him in elite company.

What makes Schauffele intriguing this week is the stat profile. Despite some underwhelming putting numbers overall, he’s averaged 1.099 strokes gained: total over his last five starts. His ball-striking has been strong, with top-10 numbers in strokes gained: approach (0.625 season average) and a sneaky +0.204 around the green over his last five events—an area where he used to struggle. If he can tread water with the putter, the rest of his game is more than good enough to contend.

Schauffele’s recent form is also encouraging. He placed T4 at the TOUR Championship last fall with a jaw-dropping 19-under total, and he’s racked up multiple top-15s this season at big-time events like the Masters and RBC Heritage. His consistency and scoring ability over four rounds make him one of the safest picks in the field—and one with winning upside if he strings it all together.

At +1600, you’re getting a player who can keep pace with the likes of Scheffler tee-to-green, with just enough recent putting momentum to be dangerous. He may not be the flashiest name on the board, but Schauffele has the well-rounded game and tournament history to finally break through at Muirfield.

Collin Morikawa (+1600)

Collin Morikawa nearly won the Memorial last year, finishing solo second at 7-under and falling just one shot shy of forcing a playoff. That marked his second runner-up at Muirfield Village in the last four years, having also finished second in 2021. Clearly, this is a course he loves—and one that fits his elite ball-striking profile to a tee. With odds at +1600 this week, Morikawa looks like one of the most attractive outright bets on the board.

Statistically, Morikawa continues to shine in all the areas that matter most at Muirfield. He ranks 7th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and is gaining an average of 0.746 strokes per round with his irons this season. His precision on second shots is a perfect match for Nicklaus’ layout, which rewards players who can consistently hit to the correct side of fast, sloping greens. Even his off-the-tee game is trending upward, with a +0.097 SG average over his last five events.

The putter has always been the wild card with Morikawa, but lately, it’s been serviceable. He’s gaining +0.152 strokes putting over his last five tournaments, including a top-10 finish at THE PLAYERS and a runner-up at The Sentry, where he fired a ridiculous 32-under par. When his flat stick behaves even marginally, Morikawa becomes nearly unstoppable, especially on a course he knows so well.

At +1600, you’re getting a player with proven course history, elite approach metrics, and a strong recent trend in overall scoring. He may not have Scheffler’s all-around dominance or Schauffele’s short-game stats, but if Morikawa’s putter heats up for four rounds, he’s got every tool to close the deal at Muirfield Village.

The Best Memorial Tournament Betting Value

The following golfers offer betting value based on their current Memorial Tournament odds, past success at this course, and current season to date:

Patrick Cantlay (+2200)

Patrick Cantlay’s track record at Muirfield Village speaks for itself—he’s a two-time Memorial champion with a win in 2021 and another in 2019 (via playoff). Despite a missed cut here last year, he remains one of the most proven horses-for-the-course in the field. He’s one of just a handful of players who knows what it takes to win on this demanding layout, and at +2200, he presents a serious buy-low opportunity for bettors looking for course history and ceiling.

While Cantlay’s season has had its ups and downs, his ball-striking numbers remain excellent. He ranks 10th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and averages 0.701 strokes gained on approach over his last five events. His off-the-tee game is also trending up, with a recent five-tournament average of 0.395 SG: OTT. Together, those stats suggest that the core of his game—driving and iron play—is still in elite form.

The putter, however, has been the issue. Cantlay’s been losing nearly 0.3 strokes per round with the flat stick over his last five events. But here’s the thing: he doesn’t need a great putting week to win—just a neutral one. At Muirfield Village, where par is often a great score and ball-striking reigns supreme, his approach game can make up for a lot. If he even flirts with a hot putter, he becomes one of the most dangerous players in the field.

In short, Cantlay is exactly the kind of buy-low candidate sharp bettors love—elite course fit, strong tee-to-green stats, and a number that reflects recency bias more than actual upside. With two career Memorial wins already under his belt, you know he has the formula to win here again.

Viktor Hovland (+3000)

Viktor Hovland returns to Muirfield Village as the 2023 Memorial Tournament champion, and while his recent form has been inconsistent, his upside remains undeniable. He finished T15 here last year and won the event at -7 the year before, proving he can both contend and close on one of the PGA Tour’s toughest setups. At +3000, he offers significant win equity at a value price for bettors willing to bet on a bounce-back.

Even amid a rocky 2025, Hovland’s tee-to-green game has held up well. He ranks 8th on Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach and is gaining nearly 1 stroke per round on average over his last five tournaments in that category. His SG: Off-the-Tee numbers are also trending well at +0.251. If his short game cooperates—always the biggest question mark—he’s more than capable of going low on this course.

Hovland’s putter has actually been a bright spot lately. Over his last five starts, he’s gained +0.286 strokes per round on the greens, a far cry from the struggles that plagued him early in his career. If that continues and he stays out of trouble around the greens (where he still ranks near the bottom of the Tour), he’s got more than enough scoring power to compete with the top of the board.

All things considered, Hovland is a high-variance play, but one with serious upside. He’s a past winner at Muirfield, he’s shown flashes of world-class form, and at +3000, you’re getting a proven threat with a recent win here and elite ball-striking credentials. In a volatile event like the Memorial, that’s a profile worth backing.

The Top Memorial Tournament Longshot

Matt Fitzpatrick (+5000) may not be the flashiest name in the field, but he’s carved out a reputation as one of the toughest grinders on Tour—exactly the type of player who can thrive at Muirfield Village. He finished T5 at the Memorial last year with rounds of 73-70-74-69, and also logged a third-place finish back in 2020. His track record here suggests he knows how to manage this course’s demanding layout, and at +5000, he offers compelling value as a longshot with real upside.

Fitzpatrick’s recent form is a mixed bag, but his game showed signs of life with a T8 at the PGA Championship. That result was powered by a strong all-around performance, gaining strokes in every category except putting. He’s averaged 0.631 strokes gained: total over his last five starts, and while that won’t jump off the page, it’s enough to contend if his short game clicks this week.

His putting—typically a strength—has been oddly cold lately, losing over a third of a stroke per round across his last five tournaments. But Fitzpatrick is too good on the greens to stay down for long. If he finds his feel on Muirfield’s slick surfaces, it could unlock a strong finish—or even a surprise win.

At 50/1, you’re betting on a player with elite course history, mental toughness, and just enough recent form to believe a breakout is possible. Fitzpatrick won’t win a birdie-fest, but the Memorial isn’t that—it’s a test of patience, precision, and par-saving grit. And that’s exactly where he shines.

Memorial Tournament Predictions

Xander Schauffele enters the Memorial Tournament with all the pieces in place: elite iron play, trending results, and the consistency to avoid the blowups that derail so many at Muirfield Village. While Scheffler is the rightful favorite, Schauffele’s number at +1600 offers a much better blend of value and win equity. He’s coming off a strong T4 at the TOUR Championship and has logged several solid finishes at the Memorial, including a T8 last year. His tee-to-green game is humming, and he’s quietly gaining momentum with the flat stick, which is typically his weakness.

What tips the scale in Schauffele’s favor is how well his skill set fits this course. He’s been gaining over 1 stroke per round in total over his last five starts and ranks inside the top 10 in approach play this season. That’s the kind of precision that plays at Muirfield. Add in that he’s quietly been one of the Tour’s best players over the past 12 months without a big marquee win to show for it—and this feels like the right place, right time.

Schauffele is my golf pick to win the 2025 Memorial Tournament.

Bet: Xander Schauffele (+1600)

Memorial Tournament Winners

The following is a list of the most recent Memorial Tournament winners:

YearWinnerStrokes Margin
2024Scottie Scheffler1 stroke
2023Viktor HovlandPlayoff
2022Billy Horschel4 strokes
2021Patrick CantlayPlayoff
2020Jon Rahm3 strokes
2019Patrick Cantlay2 strokes
2018Bryson DeChambeauPlayoff
2017Jason Dufner3 strokes
2016William McGirtPlayoff
2015David LingmerthPlayoff