2026 WM Phoenix Open Odds, Picks and Prop Bets

The WM Phoenix Open at TPC Scottsdale is built for aggressive scoring, where players can attack with wedges, stack birdies in bunches, and separate with clean approach windows on a fast-paced Stadium Course. The event rewards sustained birdie conversion and efficient par-4 scoring, especially when conditions cooperate and the course turns into a momentum track. You’re betting a birdie-maker’s week, not a survival test.

The board is shaped with a true headliner and a crowded second tier, which creates clear decision points on price versus win path. If you’re comparing numbers across top golf betting sites, the goal is to find a profile that can keep pace in a -20s event without paying the absolute premium.

The PGA Tour odds for this tournament tend to invite volatility because one hot stretch can turn a top-20 profile into an outright sweat (the 16th can swing the week fast with one big moment). For golf picks this week, the best value usually sits with proven Scottsdale performers who create chances with irons and actually convert.

Where Is the WM Phoenix Open Played?

The WM Phoenix Open is played at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) in Scottsdale, Arizona, USA (Par 71, ~7,261 yards), with the iconic par-3 16th “Coliseum” adding pressure and volatility. The course rewards players who lean into scoring opportunities, especially those who repeatedly set up makeable looks with SG:APP and convert at a high rate through birdie % and efficient par-4 scoring. The environment is high energy, but the handicap is still golf-first: create chances, keep big numbers off the card, and finish. The winning path is steady SG:APP plus enough putting to convert.

How To Watch the WM Phoenix Open?

Broadcast details: Golf Channel (Thursday–Friday afternoons, ~1–5 p.m. ET), Golf Channel (Saturday–Sunday mornings ~11 a.m.–1 p.m. ET) plus CBS (Saturday–Sunday afternoons ~1–4/4:30 p.m. ET). Streaming on ESPN+, Peacock, and Paramount+ (times subject to change; full coverage includes featured groups and 16th hole specials).

What Is the WM Phoenix Open Purse?

The total purse is $9,600,000.

2026 WM Phoenix Open Odds

coming soon…

Prepare ahead of time by checking out the top handicappers to see how they’re cutting and slicing upcoming PGA Tournaments.

Who Won the WM Phoenix Open 2025?

Thomas Detry won the 2025 WM Phoenix Open at -24 (260), closing with a final-round 65 and winning by seven strokes at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course). Conditions were calm sunny with light winds and no delays so the event played as a true birdie environment rather than a survival test. The baseline at Scottsdale is simple: when weather stays quiet, it’s a score week, but the course still demands precision to separate.

From a market lens, that result is a clean reminder that price vs path can beat name value here. The top of the board was priced like a “most-likely” outcome, but the win equity ultimately lived deeper meaning if you pay the shortest numbers, the condition is a clear, input-supported edge that survives a high-scoring sprint on fast, firm Bermuda greens.

The value pockets in this snapshot sit in the +5500 to +9000 band, where mid-longshots can still have a realistic win script at Scottsdale by taking advantage of reachable scoring holes, avoid the big mistake that comes with desert penalties, and keep putting speed under control on firm greens.

2025 WM Phoenix Open Betting Recap

Let’s take a look at how the 2025 edition of the WM Phoenix Open unfolded at TPC Scottsdale (Stadium Course) and the betting takeaways from this tournament especially with calm conditions keeping the scoring ceiling high. If your golf pick was Thomas Detry then you would’ve scored a massive payout.

2025 WM Phoenix Open Odds

The following odds came from the beginning of the tournament. Betting lines changed through each round and varied at different sites:

Golfer Odds	Golfer Odds
Scottie Scheffler +300	Sahith Theegala +4500
Justin Thomas +1100	Rasmus Højgaard +5000
Hideki Matsuyama +1600	Jordan Spieth +5500
Sungjae Im +2000	Kurt Kitayama +5500
Sam Burns +2800	Akshay Bhatia +6000
Corey Conners +3500	Max Greyserman +6000
Tom Kim +3500	Matt Fitzpatrick +6500
Byeong Hun An +4000	Wyndham Clark +7000

2025 WM Phoenix Open Notable Finishes

Winner: Thomas Detry (-24)
Runner-up: T2 Michael Kim (-17/267); T2 Daniel Berger (-17/267), lost by 7 strokes
Scottie Scheffler (+300): T25 (-9)
Justin Thomas (+1100): T6 (-15)
Hideki Matsuyama (+1600): MC
Rasmus Højgaard (+5000): T12 (-13)
Matt Fitzpatrick (+6500): MC
Max Homa (+7500): MC
Andrew Novak (+9000): MC
J.J. Spaun: WD (+2)
Rickie Fowler: WD (+3)

Golf Betting Takeaways From TPC Scottsdale

The outright came from the mid-longshot band, reinforcing that price vs path can be found outside the very top tier. Detry was +9000 on this reference snapshot and won by seven, which is the definition of a board outcome that isn’t captured by name value alone.
The shortest price didn’t contend, which matters when the market is priced for “most likely” rather than “best buy.” Scheffler was +300 and finished T25 (-9) in a week that required pace and clean conversion.
The upper tier still produced a live placement profile even without winning, which is often the practical separation between outrights and placements. Justin Thomas was +1100 and finished T6 (-15) while the outright landed deeper.
Missed-cut risk is real even at recognizable venues, and it can show up in the most expensive buckets. Matsuyama was +1600 and missed the cut, while other names listed (Fitzpatrick, Homa) also ended MC.
Withdrawals remain “zero-return” outcomes that sit outside normal performance variance in outrights. Spaun (WD +2) and Fowler (WD +3) are reminders that outright exposure includes non-performance risk.
A calm, high-scoring environment doesn’t eliminate volatility; it often shifts it into conversion and mistake-avoidance. Even with birdie chances available, the win margin shows how a clean execution week can create separation.

Why TPC Scottsdale Can Push Outcomes Like This

If you want to use volatility language responsibly, the mechanism is in the course design notes. Scottsdale is a par 71 around 7,261 yards, and the desert penalties (penal rough, deep bunkers) combine with fast, firm Bermuda greens to punish small misses. Add drivable par-4 and reachable par-5 decision points, and you get a “boom-or-bust” routing where aggression is rewarded but mistakes can escalate quickly.

The second constraint is conversion: firm greens elevate the importance of approach precision and putting speed control, while tight fairways can make par-4 scoring the separator even in calm weather. With calm conditions in 2025, the event tilted toward score rather than survive, but the structure still allowed the board to open up when the top tier failed to convert at a “favorite” level. That’s why results can swing outside the shortest prices and why price vs path matters when mapping exposure across the odds tiers.

WM Phoenix Open Winners

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2025	Thomas Detry	-24 (260)	66	64	65	65

Detry closed with a composed 65.

Finishing with four straight birdies and never letting the field back into the tournament. The turning point was converting scoring runs into a runaway margin rather than relying on a late coin flip. Interesting facts: First PGA Tour win (68th start); first Belgian winner. Stats: 24 birdies total; bogey-free closing stretch.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2024	Nick Taylor	-21 (263)	—	—	—	—

Taylor outlasted Charley Hoffman in a playoff.

Birdieing the second extra hole to close the door under pressure. The turning point was delivering the key scoring shots in extras when the tournament tightened to a single-moment finish. Interesting facts: Clutch playoff win; reinforced his “closer” reputation. Stats: Strong weekend scoring; key birdies in extras.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2023	Scottie Scheffler	-19 (265)	—	—	—	—

Scheffler pulled away late to win by two over Nick Taylor.

Separating with sustained ball-striking in a week where many could score but few could control. The turning point was keeping his scoring pressure steady when the field needed spikes to keep up. Interesting facts: Second straight title; rare repeat success at this event. Stats: Elite ball-striking; high birdie count.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2022	Scottie Scheffler	-16 (268)	—	—	—	—

Scheffler won in a playoff.

Delivering when the tournament compressed into extra holes and required decisive execution. The turning point was surviving regulation with position intact, then converting in the playoff. Interesting facts: First of two straight wins; signaled his Scottsdale comfort early. Stats: Clutch putting in playoff.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2021	Brooks Koepka	-19 (265)	—	—	—	—

Koepka held off the field by one.

Leaning into the Stadium Course’s scoring windows while keeping his mistakes contained late. The turning point was producing enough scoring on the longer par-4s to avoid getting caught in the final stretch. Interesting facts: Major champ victory; fit the big-stage energy of the event. Stats: Power display on long par-4s.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2020	Webb Simpson	-17 (267)	—	—	—	—

Simpson won in a playoff.

Staying steady through regulation and then executing in extra holes when the event became a short-form finish. The turning point was maintaining position through the closing holes to earn the playoff chance. Interesting facts: Another playoff edition at Scottsdale; emphasized precision under pressure. Stats: Clutch extra-hole play.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2019	Rickie Fowler	-17 (267)	—	—	—	—

Fowler won by two over Adam Scott.

Matching the event’s energy with controlled scoring rather than chasing risky lines. The turning point was creating separation late enough to avoid a playoff while maintaining pace in a birdie environment. Interesting facts: Fan favorite win; one of the louder celebrations in this event’s profile. Stats: High birdie total.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2018	Gary Woodland	-18 (266)	—	—	—	—

Woodland won in a playoff.

Using a strong closing push to get into extra holes and then delivering when the margin for error disappeared. The turning point was forcing the playoff with late scoring, then executing under pressure. Interesting facts: Playoff drama on the Stadium Course; showcased his high-end ceiling. Stats: Strong closing round.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2017	Hideki Matsuyama	-17 (267)	—	—	—	—

Matsuyama won in a playoff to successfully defend.

Navigating the pressure points and converting when it mattered most. The turning point was holding form through the late stretch and then leaning on iron play in extras. Interesting facts: Defended successfully (rare feat); back-to-back titles. Stats: Elite iron play.

Year	Winner	Score	R1	R2	R3	R4
2016	Hideki Matsuyama	-14 (270)	—	—	—	—

Matsuyama won in a playoff.

Showing patience when scoring was less explosive and the tournament required controlled execution. The turning point was staying composed through tougher stretches and then delivering in extra holes. Interesting facts: First of back-to-back wins; set the foundation for a rare repeat. Stats: Clutch in wind.