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The 2025 PGA US Open is just around the corner, and golf fans are already buzzing with excitement. Will Scottie Scheffler continue his dominance, or will a dark horse rise to the occasion?
Whether you’re a die-hard PGA Tour fan or just dipping your toes into golf betting for the first time, this guide has everything you need from the latest odds to expert predictions and even how to watch all the action unfold.
Speaking of predictions, don’t forget to check out our golf picks this week for the hottest takes on who’s primed for a big weekend. And if you’re curious about past performances, our golf tournament results page has you covered. Now, let’s dive into the 2025 US Open!
Where Is The US Open Golf Tournament?
This year, the US Open returns to the iconic Oakmont Country Club in Pennsylvania, one of the toughest tests in golf. Known for its treacherous greens, deep bunkers, and punishing rough, Oakmont has hosted the US Open nine times before, most recently in 2016 when Dustin Johnson triumphed. You know it must’ve been a long time ago if Dustin Johnson won it.
The tournament runs from June 12-15, 2025, and if history tells us anything, it’s going to be a grueling battle of survival.
How To Watch The US Open?
Don’t have tickets? No problem. You can catch all the action from home:
- TV Coverage: NBC and Golf Channel will broadcast the tournament, with extended weekend coverage on NBC.
- Streaming: Peacock and the USGA’s official website will offer live streams, or you can follow along on the ESPN+ app.
- Featured Groups: Want to track your favorite golfer? Check out the featured group coverage for in-depth follow-alongs.
Who Won The PGA US Open 2024?
Last year’s US Open was a thriller, with Bryson DeChambeau edging out Rory McIlroy by a single stroke to claim his second major title. DeChambeau’s power game and clutch putting down the stretch sealed the deal, proving once again that he’s a force to be reckoned with in major championships.
The US Open Golf Odds
Check out the latest 2025 US Open odds:
PGA Odds | PGA Odds |
---|---|
Scottie Scheffler (+275) | Bryson DeChambeau (+750) |
Jon Rahm (+1200) | Rory McIlroy (+1200) |
Xander Schauffele (+2200) | Collin Morikawa (+2500) |
Joaquin Niemann (+3000) | Ludvig Aberg (+3000) |
Tommy Fleetwood (+3500) | Tyrrell Hatton (+4500) |
Shane Lowry (+4500) | Justin Thomas (+4500) |
Sepp Straka (+5000) | Brooks Koepka (+5500) |
Patrick Cantlay (+5500) | Viktor Hovland (+6000) |
A few quick observations: Scheffler is the clear favorite, but DeChambeau’s odds are tempting given his recent form. Meanwhile, long shots like Ludvig Aberg and Joaquin Niemann could surprise everyone. For more insights, check out our list of the best handicappers or compare lines at the top sports betting sites.
The US Open Golf Favorites
The following golfers are considered the odds-on favorites to win the 2025 PGA US Open:
Scottie Scheffler (+275)
Scottie Scheffler isn’t just the favorite for the 2025 U.S. Open, he’s a lock to contend. The stats don’t lie. Over his last five tournaments, he’s finished in the top five four times, including dominant wins at THE CJ CUP and the Memorial. When this guy gets hot, he doesn’t just win; he demolishes fields, posting scores like -20 and -21 like it’s a casual weekend round. At Oakmont, where precision off the tee is non-negotiable, Scheffler’s #1 ranking in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee (0.976 avg) gives him a massive edge over the competition.
What’s even scarier? His iron play is just as lethal. Scheffler leads the Tour in Strokes Gained: Approach (1.342 avg), meaning he’s sticking it closer than anyone else. At a beast like Oakmont, where missed greens turn into double bogeys fast, that’s the difference between lifting the trophy and grinding just to make the cut. And while his putting has been questioned in the past, he’s quietly improved to 0.559 SG: Putting—good enough to cash when it matters.
Let’s talk consistency. Scheffler’s worst finish in his last five events? T16. Meanwhile, he’s racked up $2.5 million in earnings since April alone. This isn’t just good form; it’s utter dominance. And at the U.S. Open, where patience and ball-striking separate contenders from pretenders, Scheffler’s game is tailor-made for the torture test. His T3 finish in 2023 and T12 in 2022 prove he’s unshaken by major pressure, unlike some flash-in-the-pan longshots.
Bottom line: Fading Scheffler is like betting against the sun rising. The guy is first in Strokes Gained: Total (2.607 avg), leads the Tour in birdie opportunities, and has the mental grit to handle Oakmont’s sadistic setup. At +275, he’s not just the smart pick, he’s the only pick unless you enjoy burning money.
Bryson DeChambeau (+750)
Last year’s US Open champ – Bryson DeChambeau – is a problem for the field at Oakmont. Fresh off his 2024 U.S. Open victory, the “Mad Scientist” has proven he can dismantle even the toughest major setups with his brute-force approach. His recent stats are terrifying: 2.564 Strokes Gained: Total over his last five starts, including a win and a T2 finish. When Bryson’s driver is clicking (averaging 1.500 SG: Off-the-Tee), he turns par-5s into pitch-and-putts and turns Oakmont’s brutal rough into a non-issue. This isn’t just power—it’s weaponized golf.
Let’s talk about his major mojo. DeChambeau’s 2024 U.S. Open win wasn’t a fluke. He’s finished top-20 in three of his last four U.S. Opens, and his T13 at the 2025 PGA Championship shows he’s still in peak form. While others fear Oakmont’s greens, Bryson’s 0.715 SG: Putting (elite for a bomber) means he can scramble his way out of trouble and cash in on birdie looks. And with 0.745 SG: Around-the-Green, he’s got the short-game magic to save pars when Oakmont bites back.
Here’s the kicker: Bryson thrives on chaos. While Scheffler’s consistency is impressive, DeChambeau’s volatility is his superpower. His 2.024 SG: Total in 2025 ranks among the Tour’s best, and when he gets hot, he stays hot (see: back-to-back top-2 finishes in May/June). Oakmont rewards audacity, and nobody plays bolder than Bryson.
This guy eats brutal courses for breakfast, and his 2024 victory proved he’s solved the major puzzle. DeChambeau’s powerful game is well equipped to handle the potential headaches Oakmont may provide for some of the field’s more average players. At +750, DeChambeau looks like a terrific value if you’re considering fading Scheffler.
Jon Rahm (+1200)
Jon Rahm might not be the favorite this year, but at +2000, he presents serious value for a player with his pedigree. While his recent form hasn’t been flawless, the underlying stats suggest he’s far from a long shot to dismiss. Rahm’s 2.440 Strokes Gained: Total this season ranks among the Tour’s elite, and his 1.064 SG: Off-the-Tee proves he’s still one of the most dominant drivers in the game – which a critical advantage at Oakmont – where finding fairways is non-negotiable.
Digging deeper, Rahm’s iron play remains a weapon. His 0.650 SG: Approach shows he’s gaining strokes on the field with his precision, even if the results haven’t always reflected it. And while his putting has been inconsistent, his 0.540 SG: Putting over his last five starts is serviceable. That’s enough to contend if his ball-striking clicks. At a U.S. Open, where par is a premium, Rahm’s ability to grind out rounds (evidenced by his T10 at the 2023 U.S. Open) makes him a sneaky threat.
Recent finishes haven’t told the full story. Rahm’s missed cuts are outliers in a season where he’s still averaging 125 SG: Total, a number that aligns with past winners. His T7 at The Green Championship proves he can still hang with the best when his game syncs up. And let’s not forget: this is a guy who’s won a U.S. Open before (2021). Experience matters at Oakmont, and Rahm’s proven he can handle the pressure.
At +2000, Rahm isn’t just a dart throw; he’s a calculated play. The upside is obvious: elite ball-striking, major-winning pedigree, and a course fit that rewards his strengths. If he finds even average putting for the week, he’s a lock to outplay these odds. In a field where favorites are priced aggressively, Rahm offers the perfect blend of value and win equity.
The Best PGA US Open Betting Value
The following golfers offer the best betting value for the 2025 PGA US Open based on their current golf odds, season performances to date, and past success in this tournament;
Xander Schauffele (+2200)
At +2200, Xander Schauffele is being dramatically undervalued at Oakmont. His recent T7 (2024) and T10 (2025) finishes at the U.S. Open prove no one plays this major more consistently – he’s made the cut in all seven career appearances with six top-15s. While his 2025 results show volatility (T2 at The PLAYERS but T71 at Postal Championship), his 0.489 Strokes Gained: Approach is still elite. At Oakmont, this iron precision separates contenders from pretenders.
Dig deeper, and Schauffele’s stats reveal a player built for US Open tests. His 0.018 SG: Off-the-Tee shows adequate driving, while his 0.206 SG: Around-the-Green demonstrates crucial scrambling ability. Though putting has been inconsistent (0.014 SG), his T8 at the Masters proves he can compete on the toughest tracks when his flatstick cooperates. Most telling? His 57% SG: Total over the past five events suggests he’s maintaining form despite uneven finishes.
The value proposition is clear: Schauffele boasts better U.S. Open consistency than anyone in this odds range (Rahm +2000, Cantlay +2500). His game has all the components for Oakmont success – precision irons, veteran course management, and proven major toughness. If he finds even average putting for one week, +2200 will look like a steal come Sunday afternoon.
Ludvig Aberg (+3000)
At +3000, Ludvig Aberg represents the most intriguing longshot on the board. While the young Swede missed the cut in his U.S. Open debut last year, his raw talent is undeniable. His 0.540 Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee ranks 12th among Tour players this season, showcasing the power that makes him a threat at Oakmont. Though his approach game (-0.025 SG) needs refinement, his T7 at the Western Tournament proves he can contend when his irons click.
Aberg’s recent results show flashes of brilliance mixed with inconsistency – from a win at The German Invitational to missed cuts at big events. But his 0.445 SG: Putting suggests he’s not being held back by the flatstick, and at just 25 years old, he’s improving rapidly. The key stat? His 301.3-yard driving average gives him a critical distance advantage at Oakmont, where long hitters can overpower the course.
While the stats don’t yet show a polished contender, +3000 is generous for a player with Aberg’s ceiling. His elite driving and fearlessness make him a perfect dark horse candidate. If he finds even average iron play for one week, he could follow in the footsteps of recent young major winners. In a field where veterans dominate the odds, Aberg offers legitimate value for bettors seeking a high-reward flier.
The Top US Open Longshot
At +3500, Tommy Fleetwood presents one of the most compelling value plays on the board. The Englishman’s 1.344 Strokes Gained: Total (7th on Tour) proves he’s playing the best golf of his career, while his elite 0.553 SG: Around-the-Green (9th) gives him a critical weapon at Oakmont’s treacherous short-game test. Fleetwood’s recent T3 at the 2024 U.S. Open wasn’t a fluke – it was validation of his perfect major championship temperament.
While Fleetwood’s driving is average (0.024 SG: Off-the-Tee), his 0.405 SG: Approach (12th) shows he’s gaining strokes where it matters most. His putting has quietly become a strength too (0.404 SG), addressing his former Achilles’ heel. The results speak for themselves: six top-10s in his last ten starts, including a T4 at the Charles Schwab Challenge. At a course demanding precision over power, Fleetwood’s complete game shines.
The narrative writes itself: Fleetwood’s five career runner-up finishes on Tour (including two at majors) show he’s overdue for a breakthrough. Oakmont’s brutal setup plays directly into his strengths – patience, creativity, and world-class scrambling. At nearly triple the odds of favorites like Rahm, Fleetwood offers both safety (seven straight U.S. Open made cuts) and upside (T3/T5 in last two editions). For bettors seeking tournament-winning potential without premium prices, Fleetwood is the smartest value pick available.
US Open Golf Predictions
The numbers don’t lie – Scheffler is in a class of his own. With 2.607 Strokes Gained: Total (1st on Tour), 0.976 SG: Off-the-Tee (1st), and 1.342 SG: Approach (1st), he’s statistically dominating every facet that matters at Oakmont. His recent results read like a video game on easy mode: four wins in his last five starts, including a -20 demolition at the Memorial. While +275 isn’t sexy, it’s actually value for a player whose worst finish since March is T17 – especially when you consider he’s finished T12 or better in his last three U.S. Opens.
Oakmont demands precision over heroics, and nobody executes like Scheffler. His No. 1 ranking in Greens in Regulation (72.1%) means he’ll avoid the brutal rough that sinks most contenders, while his improved putting (0.559 SG) now matches his elite ball-striking. Yes, you’re paying premium odds – but in a major where consistency trumps volatility, Scheffler is the closest thing to a sure bet in modern golf. The field is hoping he falters; smart money says he lifts the trophy.
Whoever you’re riding with, make sure to check out our latest golf picks for expert analysis.
Bet: Scottie Scheffler (+275)
US Open Golf Winners
Here’s a look at the last 10 US Open champions:
Year | Winner | # Strokes Won By |
---|---|---|
2024 | Bryson DeChambeau | 1 |
2023 | Wyndham Clark | 1 |
2022 | Matt Fitzpatrick | 1 |
2021 | Jon Rahm | 1 |
2020 | Bryson DeChambeau | 6 |
2019 | Gary Woodland | 3 |
2018 | Brooks Koepka | 1 |
2017 | Brooks Koepka | 4 |
2016 | Dustin Johnson | 3 |
2015 | Jordan Spieth | 1 |