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Senate Election Odds and Predictions: Midterms Are Next

Graphic showcasing the 2024 Senate election, featuring candidate images, odds, and predictions on a vibrant purple background.

The next Senate elections are the midterms on Tuesday, November 3, 2026, when the 33 seats in the Senate’s Class II, whose terms expire in 2027, are on the ballot. Republicans hold the majority going in: the Senate that took office in January 2025 opened with 53 Republicans, 45 Democrats and 2 independents.

This page names no price on the 2026 races. It keeps the 2024 Senate races as the record and takes the 2026 markets when a source we can check posts them.

Federal elections fall on the Tuesday after the first Monday in November, which in 2026 is November 3. The Class II seats were last elected in 2020, and their terms end in 2027. A seat filled by appointment can also be on the ballot as a special election, depending on the state’s law.

The 2024 Senate races

Before the 2024 election, the Senate’s own record lists the Democrats as the majority party; after it, Republicans held 53 seats. The seven races this page covered in 2024 are now held by these senators, according to the Senate’s own member list:

StateSeat now held by
ArizonaRuben Gallego (D)
MichiganElissa Slotkin (D)
MontanaTim Sheehy (R)
NevadaJacky Rosen (D)
OhioBernie Moreno (R)
PennsylvaniaDave McCormick (R)
WisconsinTammy Baldwin (D)

Republicans took Montana, Ohio and Pennsylvania from Democratic senators, and Democrats held Arizona, Michigan, Nevada and Wisconsin.

What this page called in 2024

Bet, as publishedResult
Michigan: Elissa Slotkin (D) -500Won
Ohio: Bernie Moreno (R) +140Won
Pennsylvania: Bob Casey (D) -800Lost: McCormick won
Wisconsin: Tammy Baldwin (D) -800Won
Arizona: Ruben Gallego (D) -500Won
Montana: Tim Sheehy (R) -300Won
Nevada: Sam Brown (R) +250Lost: Rosen won

Five of the seven calls won. The one underdog that came in, Moreno at +140, implied a 41.7% chance; the favorite that lost, Casey at -800, implied 88.9%.

Where to go next

Our presidential election odds and predictions page covers the White House race. Election markets are not offered by every sportsbook or in every state, so check what is legal where you are before you look for a price.