Shohei Ohtani Odds and Predictions move to the NLCS after the Dodgers eliminated Atlanta in four games. Ohtani finished the Division Series only 2-for-13 with two singles, one run, zero RBIs and zero extra-base hits, but Los Angeles advanced anyway and opens the NLCS at Milwaukee on Sunday, October 11.
Ohtani remains the biggest name on the Game 1 prop board. His home run price is roughly +400 to +450, his run-scored market is around +140 to +160, and he is the early +750 favorite to win NLCS MVP.
The strongest approach is still not to chase Ohtani’s power markets. ScoresAndStats prefers under 1.5 total bases if a price of -130 or better becomes available. The market was not consistently posted across the books checked on October 10, so this is a price-dependent bet rather than one to force before the line appears.
Quick Shohei Ohtani Betting Takeaways
- Best Game 1 angle: Ohtani under 1.5 total bases at -130 or better, if available.
- NLDS stats: 2-for-13, 1 R, 0 RBI, 0 XBH, 2 TB.
- Game 4 result: 0-for-3, one walk, one run and one stolen base.
- Previous best bet: Under 1.5 total bases won in Game 4.
- Home run odds: Approximately +400 to +450.
- Run scored odds: Approximately +140 to +160.
- NLCS MVP odds: Ohtani +750.
- 2026 vs. Milwaukee: .231/.344/.346 with zero home runs in seven games.
- NLCS Game 1: Sunday, October 11 at 8:00 p.m. ET.
- Dodgers Game 1 starter: Tarik Skubal.
- Expected Milwaukee starter: Jacob Misiorowski.
Shohei Ohtani NLCS Game 1 Odds vs. Brewers
The Dodgers and Brewers begin the best-of-seven NLCS at American Family Field. Milwaukee owns home-field advantage after finishing 103-59, while Los Angeles went 100-62.
Los Angeles has confirmed Tarik Skubal for Game 1 and Yoshinobu Yamamoto for Game 2. Milwaukee is expected to counter with Jacob Misiorowski in the opener.
| Game 1 Market | Observed Price | ScoresAndStats View |
|---|---|---|
| Dodgers Moneyline | Around -110 | Near pick’em |
| Brewers Moneyline | Around -110 | Near pick’em |
| Game Total | Around 6 | Elite pitching matchup |
| NLCS Series | LAD -165 / MIL +140 | Dodgers favored despite road opener |
The single-game market is considerably closer than the NLCS series price. That matters when evaluating Ohtani props because Game 1 is expected to be driven by two high-end pitching staffs rather than by an obvious Dodgers offensive advantage.
Shohei Ohtani Props for NLCS Game 1
Books have started posting selected Ohtani markets, but not every standard prop was consistently available at the time of this update.
| Ohtani Market | Observed Price | Betting Decision |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 Total Bases | Not consistently posted | Bet only at -130 or better |
| Anytime Home Run | +400 to +450 | Pass |
| Record a Run | +140 to +160 | Pass |
| NLCS MVP | +750 | Favorite, but price is short |
Best Ohtani Pick: Under 1.5 Total Bases at -130 or Better
Ohtani under 1.5 total bases remains the preferred Game 1 angle, but only if the market offers -130 or better.
The NLDS provided four straight unders. Ohtani recorded one total base in Games 1 and 2, then zero in Games 3 and 4. He finished the series with only two total bases across 13 at-bats.
The Milwaukee matchup also supports caution. Ohtani faced the Brewers seven times during the 2026 regular season and hit .231/.344/.346. He collected six hits in 26 at-bats, but only two went for extra bases: one double and one triple.
That left Ohtani with nine total bases in seven games, an average of approximately 1.29 per game. He also failed to homer in any of the seven meetings.
Across his full 2026 sample, Ohtani went over 1.5 total bases in roughly 42 percent of recorded games. That puts the under side above 57 percent before accounting for his recent slump or the quality of Milwaukee’s projected Game 1 starter.
ScoresAndStats Best Bet: Shohei Ohtani under 1.5 total bases at -130 or better.
Betting decision: Wait if the market has not posted a total-bases line. Do not substitute a worse prop simply because Ohtani markets are already available.
Main risk: Ohtani destroyed Milwaukee pitching in the 2025 postseason, batting .357 with three home runs in four games. One extra-base swing is enough to beat the under immediately.
Jacob Misiorowski Makes the Game 1 Matchup Difficult
Milwaukee is expected to use Misiorowski in Game 1, which would create one of the most difficult individual matchups Ohtani has seen this postseason.
Misiorowski finished the regular season with a 1.80 ERA, 0.80 WHIP and 252 strikeouts. He also handled the Dodgers extremely well across his 2026 regular-season meetings.
Including those starts and his relief appearance against Los Angeles in the 2025 postseason, Misiorowski has allowed a 1.59 ERA across 17 innings against the Dodgers with 27 strikeouts and only three walks.
Ohtani’s power always creates risk, but a pitcher capable of generating that level of swing-and-miss makes plus-money overs less attractive than they initially appear.
Are Ohtani Home Run Odds at +400 to +450 Worth Betting?
Ohtani remains the shortest-priced home run hitter in Game 1 at approximately +400 to +450.
A +450 price carries an implied probability of approximately 18.2 percent. At +400, the break-even rate rises to 20 percent.
Ohtani hit 30 home runs during the regular season, so the power ceiling is obvious. The current matchup and recent form are the problems.
He did not record an extra-base hit in the NLDS and did not homer in seven regular-season games against Milwaukee. Misiorowski also led the majors in several run-prevention categories while producing elite strikeout numbers.
The counterargument is Ohtani’s 2025 NLCS performance against Milwaukee, when he hit three home runs in four games. Bettors are paying for that ceiling in the current number.
Home Run Betting View: Pass between +400 and +450. A number above +500 would create a more reasonable longshot discussion.
Ohtani to Score a Run Is Also a Pass
Ohtani to score at least one run is available around +140 to +160.
The leadoff position normally makes that market attractive because Ohtani receives maximum plate appearances with Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman and the middle of the Dodgers lineup behind him.
Recent results do not justify taking a shorter price. Ohtani scored only once during the four-game NLDS and did not score in any of his seven regular-season games against Milwaukee.
Run Prop View: Pass at +140 to +160. The payout is not large enough to outweigh the current production and expected pitching matchup.
Shohei Ohtani Is the NLCS MVP Favorite at +750
Ohtani opens the series as the +750 favorite to win NLCS MVP, slightly ahead of several other Dodgers stars.
The price implies an MVP probability of approximately 11.8 percent. That is reasonable for the most prominent hitter on the favored team, but it is difficult to call value after his NLDS performance.
An NLCS MVP ticket also requires two things to go right. Los Angeles needs to win the series, and Ohtani needs to outperform teammates such as Mookie Betts, Freddie Freeman, Max Muncy and the Dodgers’ starting pitchers.
NLCS MVP Betting View: Pass at +750. A move to approximately +1000 or longer would offer more compensation for the competition within the Dodgers roster.
Shohei Ohtani’s Final 2026 NLDS Results
Los Angeles won the series in four games despite receiving almost no extra-base production from Ohtani.
| NLDS Game | Ohtani Result | Total Bases |
|---|---|---|
| Game 1 | 1-for-4, single | 1 |
| Game 2 | 1-for-4, single, 2 SO | 1 |
| Game 3 | 0-for-2, BB, SO | 0 |
| Game 4 | 0-for-3, BB, R, SB, SO | 0 |
| NLDS Total | 2-for-13, 1 R, 0 RBI, 2 BB, 4 SO, 1 SB | 2 |
Ohtani’s .154/.267/.154 NLDS line was dramatically below his regular-season production, but the Dodgers still won three of four games because their pitching and lineup depth carried the series.
How the Ohtani Game 4 Picks Finished
The strongest October 7 position cashed when Ohtani went hitless and finished with zero total bases.
| Game 4 Position | Target Price | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Under 1.5 Total Bases | -145 or better | Won, 0 total bases |
| Record a Hit | Pass around -240 | No bet; Ohtani went hitless |
| Record a Single | Pass around +110 | No bet; no single |
| Record a Run | Pass around -136 | No bet; Ohtani scored once |
| Anytime Home Run | Pass around +285 | No bet; no home run |
Dodgers Futures Are Much More Expensive Entering the NLCS
Los Angeles is approximately -165 to win the National League and around +120 to +130 to win the World Series.
Those numbers are substantially shorter than the earlier ScoresAndStats buy points. Bettors holding Dodgers World Series tickets around +230 to +250 or plus-money NL pennant positions should keep the stronger price rather than replacing it.
For a new futures bet, Milwaukee at approximately +140 to win the NL offers a more attractive risk-to-reward profile than laying -165 with Los Angeles.
Compare the full series market in the MLB pennant odds and predictions and the championship board in the World Series odds and predictions.
Updated Shohei Ohtani NLCS Game 1 Predictions
| Market | ScoresAndStats Pick | Target Price |
|---|---|---|
| Ohtani Total Bases | Under 1.5 | -130 or better, if posted |
| Ohtani Home Run | Pass | Too short at +400 to +450 |
| Ohtani Run Scored | Pass | +140 to +160 |
| Ohtani NLCS MVP | Pass | Prefer +1000 or better |
| Dodgers World Series | Hold earlier tickets | Earlier +230 to +250 positions |
Ohtani can break out at any point, and his 2025 NLCS against Milwaukee proves exactly how quickly that can happen. Betting markets already price in that upside.
The better approach entering Game 1 is to demand favorable prices rather than pay for the name. The total-bases under remains the preferred angle if -130 or better appears, while the home run, run scored and NLCS MVP markets are passes at their current prices.
Current Game 1 moneylines, totals and matchup analysis are available in the Dodgers vs. Brewers NLCS Game 1 prediction.
Shohei Ohtani Odds FAQs
What is the best Shohei Ohtani bet for NLCS Game 1?
The preferred ScoresAndStats angle is Shohei Ohtani under 1.5 total bases if a price of -130 or better becomes available. Ohtani went under 1.5 total bases in all four NLDS games and averaged only 1.29 total bases per game against Milwaukee during the 2026 regular season.
What are Shohei Ohtani’s home run odds for NLCS Game 1?
Ohtani is available at approximately +400 to +450 to hit a home run in NLCS Game 1. ScoresAndStats recommends passing at that price after Ohtani went homerless in the NLDS and in seven regular-season games against Milwaukee.
How did Shohei Ohtani perform in the 2026 NLDS?
Ohtani finished the NLDS 2-for-13 with two singles, one run, zero RBIs, two walks, four strikeouts and one stolen base. He did not record an extra-base hit in the four-game series.
What are Shohei Ohtani’s NLCS MVP odds?
Ohtani opens as the NLCS MVP favorite at approximately +750. ScoresAndStats prefers passing at that price because Ohtani must both rebound offensively and outperform several other Dodgers stars if Los Angeles wins the series.
When is Dodgers vs. Brewers NLCS Game 1?
Game 1 of the 2026 NLCS is scheduled for Sunday, October 11 at 8:00 p.m. ET at American Family Field in Milwaukee. Tarik Skubal starts for Los Angeles, with Jacob Misiorowski expected to start for Milwaukee.
What are the Dodgers’ current World Series odds?
Los Angeles is approximately +120 to +130 to win the 2026 World Series entering the NLCS. Earlier Dodgers futures around +230 to +250 remain much stronger positions than the current shorter price.