2026 PGA Texas Children’s Houston Open Odds and Predictions

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Memorial Park gives this event a clear identity. It is a 7,475-yard par 70, distance matters, the rough is not especially punitive, and the runoffs around the greens keep players from getting comfortable even when they are finding enough fairways. The course can still create separation, but the condition is handling length first and then managing the tricky misses that show up around the greens.

The board is shaped in a very specific way. Scottie Scheffler sits alone at +300, then the market opens up fast into a crowded midrange where several names live in the +2250 to +3800 window. That is where price vs path matters most, because this setup has already shown it can reward a strong bomber-friendly profile without forcing bettors to pay the shortest number on the board.

That is also how to build the card this week. The clean angle is pairing one outright from the best value pockets with props or placement-style exposure that fit the same Memorial Park script. You do not need to overforce the favorite if the outright payout and the win path do not line up cleanly. Stay up to date with the latest PGA Tour results and golf picks of the week until this tournament tees off.

Where Is the Texas Children’s Houston Open Played?

The Texas Children’s Houston Open is played at Memorial Park Golf Course in Houston, Texas. The event runs March 26-29, 2026, and the course sits near downtown Houston. Memorial Park is a par 70 that stretches to 7,475 yards, so it is long enough to force decisions even before the approach game starts.

PGA TOUR course data lists Overseeded Bermudagrass fairways and rough. The layout was originally designed by John Bredemus, and later notes tie the 2019 renovation to Tom Doak and Brooks Koepka. It is a demanding setup with only three par 5s, and the course notes point to distance, runoffs, and a rough profile that does not do all the defensive work by itself.

What Memorial Park rewards is controlled power.

The winning path is drive it with authority, survive the awkward misses, and keep the long-par-70 pressure from turning into wasted scoring chances.

How To Watch the Texas Children’s Houston Open?

ESPN+ carries early-round and featured coverage all four days.

Golf Channel:

  • Thursday-Friday: 3:00-7:00 p.m. ET
  • Saturday: 1:00-3:00 p.m. ET
  • Sunday: 1:00-3:00 p.m. ET

NBC and Peacock:

  • Sunday: 3:00-6:00 p.m. ET
  • Saturday: 3:00-6:00 p.m. ET

What Is the Texas Children’s Houston Open Purse?

PGA TOUR Media lists the total purse at $9,900,000 with $1,782,000 going to the winner. Other outlets showed lower figures, but PGA TOUR Media is the reference number here.

2026 Texas Children’s Houston Open Odds

Let’s take a look at the latest Texas Children’s Houston Open odds:

GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+300
Min Woo Lee+2250
Sam Burns+2450
Chris Gotterup+2450
Jake Knapp+2600
Brooks Koepka+2600
Rickie Fowler+2900
Kurt Kitayama+3100
Harry Hall+3500
Nicolai Hojgaard+3500
Ben Griffin+3600
Michael Thorbjornsen+3600
Marco Penge+3600
Harris English+3700
Adam Scott+3800
Shane Lowry+4300
Keith Mitchell+4600
Ryan Gerard+4700
Jason Day+5000

The top tier says a lot. Scheffler is priced like the only true premium win candidate, and that means the payout is asking you to accept very little margin for error. On a course that still allows some board movement, that is a real risk-vs-reward decision.

The better value pockets sit from roughly +2250 to +3800, then stretch again into the +4300 to +5000 range. That is where the market gives you more room to buy a Memorial Park fit without paying favorite tax, and it is the practical part of the board if you want a cleaner outright structure.

we’ll update this golf betting preview with the latest PGA odds and predictions, for now practice your putting by checking out the top handicappers to see how they’re approaching the upcoming PGA Tournaments on the calendar prior to the Cognizant Classic.

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Who Won the Texas Children’s Houston Open 2025?

Min Woo Lee won the 2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open at 20-under par, closing with 67 and winning by one shot over Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland. The betting takeaway is simple: Memorial Park can still reward a bomber-friendly mid-tier outright even when the shortest price on the board plays well. That is the score vs survive tension at this course.

The Texas Children’s Houston Open Favorites

Favorites are priced for “in the mix,” so the handicap must be cleaner than narrative.

Scottie Scheffler (+300)

Scheffler is the clear favorite because the baseline fit is obvious. Memorial Park is long, demanding, and local/event history has already been noted in the input set, so there is no mystery about why he is sitting alone at the top.

The recent form line is still good enough to justify the number on paper. GOLF.com noted he opened the season 1-T3-T4 before cooling into a T12-T24-T22 run. That is not poor form, but it is enough to remind you that +300 is a price that leaves very little room for any drift.

He does not need perfect course conditions to contend here. The course rewards distance, and the rough is not especially punitive, so the path is still available if Memorial Park turns into a power-first test.

At +300, you’re paying for probability, and the condition is that he has to look more like the early-season version than the one that merely hangs around the top 25.

Pick: Scottie Scheffler (+300)

Min Woo Lee (+2250)

Lee returns as the defending champion, and last year’s result matters because it came on the same bomber-friendly course profile. He won at 20-under, closed with 67, and got it done from a +4000 pre-tournament price, which is a strong reminder that Memorial Park does not always force bettors into the shortest number.

The fit is straightforward. Distance matters here, and Memorial Park is still built to reward players who can create opportunities without needing the rough to do all the sorting. Lee already proved he can navigate that balance.

There is also more price tolerance here than at the top. He is not cheap, but he is no longer sitting in the favorite’s tax bracket, which makes the buy easier if you believe the same course script can show up again.

At +2250, you’re paying for a real winning profile, and the condition is that the defending-champion fit still translates better than the new price rise hurts.

Pick: Min Woo Lee (+2250)

Chris Gotterup (+2450)

Gotterup makes sense because the course thesis and the player profile point in the same direction. Golf Digest labeled Memorial Park a bomber-friendly setup and specifically highlighted his fit, which is exactly the kind of non-negotiable you want on a long par 70.

This is not a blind narrative play. The case comes from Memorial Park rewarding distance while not making rough avoidance the entire tournament. That gives long hitters a cleaner path to stay in the mix if they handle the recovery spots and runoffs well enough.

He is priced near Burns, which tells you the market respects the upside. The question is not whether he belongs in this range. It is whether this specific course lets that upside matter enough to justify the outright.

At +2450, you’re paying for upside, and the condition is that the bomber-friendly setup has to show up as a real edge rather than just a stylistic fit.

Pick: Chris Gotterup (+2450)

The Best Texas Children’s Houston Open Betting Value

This section is about “price vs path” alignment.

Brooks Koepka (+2600)

Koepka enters with three straight top-20 finishes, which is exactly the kind of stable form note that matters in this range. CBS Sports also liked him in the top-5 market, and Golf Digest tied his profile to the Memorial Park redesign, so there is more than one input pointing in the same direction.

The course fit is clean. Memorial Park is long, the rough is not especially punitive, and the runoffs keep this from becoming a one-dimensional scoring contest. That profile gives Koepka a legitimate path to contend without needing a perfect tee-to-green week.

This is the kind of outright number that is easier to tolerate than the top of the board. You are still buying a high-end ceiling, but you are not paying the premium that comes with Scheffler’s number.

At +2600, you’re paying for a complete profile, and the condition is that the recent top-20 run has to turn into real contention instead of another solid-but-short finish.

Pick: Brooks Koepka (+2600)

Nicolai Hojgaard (+3500)

Hojgaard lands in one of the better value pockets on the board. CBS Sports listed him as a top-10 prop value, and Golf Digest highlighted both his power and short-grass scrambling fit, which matters on a course with tricky runoffs and a rough profile that does not erase mistakes by itself.

That is a useful combination at Memorial Park. You want distance, but you also need a player who can survive the misses that this course creates. Hojgaard has a cleaner path than many names in this range because the fit is not built on one lever alone.

The number also works. This is the section of the board where you can still buy a strong course script without needing every part of the week to be perfect.

At +3500, you’re paying for a tolerable outright path, and the condition is that the power game has to create enough scoring chances to let the recovery skill matter.

Pick: Nicolai Hojgaard (+3500)

The Top Texas Children’s Houston Open Longshot

At +7200, Ryan Fox is priced long enough to matter, and that is what makes the case interesting. Golf Channel highlighted him as a longshot because he entered in better form than several shorter-priced names, and he also had a top-15 finish here last year.

The real path is not complicated. Memorial Park rewards power, and the course does not lean on rough penalty as its main defense. That gives Fox a real chance to hang around if the driver puts him in enough attacking positions.

The upside is that he does not need to beat the market from the front. He just needs the same bomber-friendly script to create a late-week chance. The fragility is obvious too: this price comes from a different board context than the Fanatics reference list, so the longshot case is more market-sensitive than the favorite and value sections.

Pick: Ryan Fox (+7200)

Texas Children’s Houston Open Predictions

The non-negotiables here are clear. You want a player who can handle a 7,475-yard par 70, take advantage of a course where distance matters, and avoid losing control around the runoffs and tougher green-side misses. That is the Memorial Park script.

The cleanest price vs path buy is Brooks Koepka. The form note is good, the course fit is supported by the input set, and the number sits in a range where you are still buying real win equity without taking favorite-level payout compression.

Pick: Brooks Koepka (+2600)

The Best Texas Children’s Houston Open Prop Bets

Check out some of the best prop bets for the Texas Children’s Houston Open:

Brooks Koepka Top 5 (+550)

This fits the course thesis because Memorial Park rewards length and still lets strong ball-striking profiles stay live without demanding perfect accuracy all week. It is also a cleaner exposure than the outright because his recent form already shows three straight top-20 finishes.

The risk is that Memorial Park can still scatter players if the recovery shots and runoff management are not sharp enough to convert a strong tee-to-green week into a top-five finish.

Pick: Brooks Koepka Top 5 (+550)

Nicolai Hojgaard Top 10 (+340)

This is a strong fit for the same reason his outright case works. Power and short-grass scrambling line up well with a long par 70 that forces players to survive the misses the right way.

It is also a smarter way to buy the profile if you want less outright volatility. The risk is that a good Memorial Park fit still needs enough conversion to turn a solid ball-striking week into a top-10 finish.

Pick: Nicolai Hojgaard Top 10 (+340)

Adam Scott Group C Winner (+340)

Scott fits the week through long-iron play and Texas history, which gives him a more focused path inside a group market than in the outright board. That makes this a cleaner way to isolate the parts of his profile that matter most here.

The smarter exposure angle is obvious. You are not asking him to beat the whole field, only a smaller market segment. The risk is that Memorial Park still puts pressure on length and recovery, so the margin inside a group bet can disappear quickly if the course leans more power-heavy than expected.

Pick: Adam Scott Group C Winner (+340)

2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open Betting Recap

Let’s take a look at how the 2025 edition unfolded at Memorial Park and what the market told us along the way.

The result was a reminder that this course can validate elite players without requiring the favorite to win.

2025 Arnold Palmer Invitational Odds

The following odds came from the beginning of the tournament. Betting lines changed through each round and varied at different sites:

GolferOdds
Scottie Scheffler+330
Rory McIlroy+700
Aaron Rai+2800
Davis Thompson+3250
J.J. Spaun+3250
Jason Day+3500
Michael Kim+3500
Sungjae Im+3500
Tony Finau+3500
Wyndham Clark+3500
Min Woo Lee+4000
Si Woo Kim+4000
Stephan Jaeger+4500
Taylor Pendrith+4500
Jacob Bridgeman+5000
Maverick McNealy+5500
Sahith Theegala+5500
Alex Smalley+6000
Ben Griffin+6000
Keith Mitchell+6000
Thomas Detry+6000

2025 Texas Children’s Houston Open Notable Finishes

  • Winner: Min Woo Lee (-20)
  • Runner-up: Scottie Scheffler and Gary Woodland (-19, lost by 1)
  • Scottie Scheffler (+330): T2
  • Rory McIlroy (+700): T5
  • Wyndham Clark (+3500): T5
  • Taylor Pendrith (+4500): T5
  • Stephan Jaeger (+4500): T11
  • Ben Griffin (+6000): T18
  • Keith Mitchell (+6000): T18
  • Aaron Rai (+2800): CUT
  • J.J. Spaun (+3250): CUT
  • Alex Smalley (+6000): CUT
  • Jacob Bridgeman (+5000): CUT

Golf Betting Takeaways From Memorial Park Golf Course

  • The mid-tier outright range can win here. Min Woo Lee got home at +4000, which is exactly the kind of value pocket outcome that keeps this board from being only about the favorite.
  • The top of the board can still be right without cashing. Scheffler was +330 and finished runner-up, which means the market still identified the correct contention tier.
  • Memorial Park does not force a favorite-only outcome. McIlroy was +700 and finished T5, but the event still went to a deeper price that fit the course better from a payout standpoint.
  • The +3500 to +4500 range was live. Lee won from +4000, Clark finished T5 at +3500, and Pendrith added another T5 at +4500.
  • CUT risk matters on this board. Aaron Rai, J.J. Spaun, Alex Smalley, and Jacob Bridgeman all missed the cut, which is a reminder that midrange outrights are not interchangeable.
  • Deeper placement profiles stayed relevant. Ben Griffin and Keith Mitchell both finished T18 from +6000, which matters if you prefer props and placement markets over outrights.

Why Memorial Park Golf Course Can Push Outcomes Like This

Memorial Park creates volatility because it is long enough to force a power conversation, but it does not rely on punitive rough to sort the field cleanly. The course is a 7,475-yard par 70, distance matters, and the tricky runoffs create stress around the greens even when the tee-ball conditions are manageable. That keeps the board from becoming too linear.

The second mechanism is structure. With only three par 5s, there are fewer easy scoring lanes, so players have to earn more of their opportunities on a demanding par-70 setup. That is why the board can scatter a little here, and why allocation discipline matters more than forcing a short price.