2025 UFL Week 6 Odds, Predictions and Schedule

By:

Rick Bouch

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UFL

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We have passed the halfway point of the 2025 UFL season. If 2025 is teaching us anything, it is that anything can happen. Memphis entered Week 5 as the last remaining winless team in the UFL. The Showboats had to go on the road to face defending league champion Birmingham.

The result was the biggest upset of the season so far. The Showboats led 17-3 at the half, but the Stallions showed why they are capable of winning another UFL championship. They executed a textbook two-minute drive to tie the game 20-20 at the end of regulation.

It was the first overtime game in UFL history and it didn’t disappoint. Unlike the NFL, UFL overtime rules puts the ball on the five-yard line and teams compete in a best-of-three series. If there isn’t a winner, teams then alternate running plays from the five-yard line until one team wins.

In last Friday’s game, Memphis was credited with two points on Birmingham’s first possession because of a penalty. The Showboats then scored on their attempt from the five-yard line, giving them their first win of the season.

Another exciting week of UFL football is ahead. Arlington and St. Louis, both 3-2 now, will meet with the winner gaining the upper hand in the race for the XFL’s other playoff spot. At 4-1, the DC Defenders lead the division. Birmingham and Michigan are still tied for the lead in the USFL Division.

Let’s get in the huddle once again and take a look at the latest UFL Week 6 odds, courtesy of the top sports betting sites. Then, we can make our UFL Week 6 predictions.

UFL TV Schedule for Week 6

Football fans that need their spring football fix can tune in and watch all four UFL games this weekend. FOX, ABC, and ESPN will broadcast all four games as seen below.

  • Friday, May 2: Arlington @ St. Louis, 8:00PM on FOX
  • Saturday, May 3: Memphis @ Houston, 12:00PM on ABC/ESPN+
  • Sunday, May 4: DC @ Michigan, 12:00PM on ESPN2/ESPN+
  • Sunday, May 4: San Antonio @ Birmingham, 4:00PM on FOX

UFL Week 6 Schedule

DateTime (ET)Road Team OddsHome Team Odds
Friday, May 28:00 PMArlington (+130)St. Louis (-155)
Saturday, May 312:00 PMMemphis (+205)Houston (-250)
Saturday, May 312:00 PMDC (+124)Michigan (-148)
Sunday, May 44:00 PMSan Antonio (+360)Birmingham (-470)

UFL Week 6 Predictions

Let’s take a look at the full Week 6 slate of matchups and make our spread, total, and moneyline picks for each game.

Arlington Renegades vs. St. Louis Battlehawks Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Arlington Renegades+130+3 (-118)O 42.5 (-110)
St. Louis Battlehawks-155-3 (-102)U 42.5 (-110)

This should be the best game of the week. Both teams are now 3-2 after five weeks. St. Louis got a huge win over Michigan last week. Arlington lost its battle for first place in the XFL Division, losing to DC 37-33.

With the game in St. Louis, the Battlehawks get the nod as the favorite. They are 2-1 ATS when playing as at least a 3-point favorite. They are 3-2 ATS overall. Last week against the top offense in the UFL, the Battlehawks won an offensive battle 32-27. The total in that game went Over and the Over is now 3-2 in St. Louis’ five games.

It’s a similar story for Arlington where the Over is 3-2. The Renegades are also 3-2 ATS in addition to being 3-2 SU. Arlington covered in its only game as a 3-point underdog.

The top two rushers in the UFL will battle in this one. Kalen Ballage of Arlington leads the league with 276 yards. Jacob Saylors of the Battlehawks has 255 rushing yards and a league-best four rushing touchdowns.

Arlington Renegades vs. St. Louis Battlehawks Predictions

These are two teams that love to run the football. Typically, teams that rely on the run also rely on stout defensive play. The Renegades are the UFL poster child for stout defensive play. Yes, last week the Renegades gave up 37, but that was to DC whose offense is as good as any in the UFL.

Despite allowing 37 points last week, Arlington still only allows 16 points per game. Quarterback play is a key in the UFL and the Renegades have one of the best in Luis Perez. He was the league’s leading passer last year and right now he’s No. 2. He’s completed 70.9 percent of his passes for 996 yards.

Perez will outplay St. Louis QB Max Duggan who has 202 yards and just one touchdown this season. St. Louis will not be able to rely on the running game to get it done against Arlington. The Renegades have the second-ranked run defense in the league.

Don’t forget, Arlington won the first meeting of the season in Week 4. The Renegades did allow 122 yards rushing but took Duggan and the passing game completely away. Duggan finished 8-for-17 for 35 yards. Expect that defense to show up again on Friday.

Bet: Arlington +130, Arlington +3 (-118), Under 42.5

Memphis Showboats vs. Houston Roughnecks Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
Memphis Showboats+205+5.5 (-110)O 36.5 (-110)
Houston Roughnecks-250-5.5 (-110)U 36.5 (-110)

Houston is only 2-3 this season, but the Roughnecks keep games close. One look at their point differential (-9) and one can see that they play just enough defense and score just enough on offense to be in just about every game.

One of their wins this season came against Memphis in Week 3. The Renegades led 18-11 late in the fourth quarter. The Showboats scored with 18 seconds left in the game but missed a two-point conversion and Houston won 18-17.

The Roughnecks lost in blowout fashion in Week 1 and blew out San Antonio 27-3 last week. Their other three games were all decided by one score. Houston is 4-1 ATS this season.

Memphis recorded the big upset last week. The Showboats have only covered the spread twice this season (2-3 ATS). The Over is 2-3 in Memphis games in 2025.

Memphis Showboats vs. Houston Roughnecks Predictions

Houston beat the Showboats on the road. Expect a huge letdown from Memphis after that first win. Add in the fact that they’ll be on the road and you understand why the Roughnecks are such a big favorite here.

Zaquandre White leads the Houston rushing attack with 122 yards and two touchdowns. Justin Hall has 26 catches for 199 yards and QB Nolan Henderson has done enough to help Houston score just over 15 points per game.

That may sound terrible, but it’s better than Memphis. QB EJ Perry has completed 60.5 percent of his passes for 503 yards. Perry and Jonathan Adams -24 catches, 313 yards – have been the lone bright spots in an otherwise dismal season for the Showboats.

Memphis happened to catch Birmingham at just the right time last week. This week, that’s not happening. Two of Memphis’ losses were by double digits and, remember, they’ve only covered the spread twice. However, with the resignation of head coach Ken Whisenhunt, the team has seemed to rally around interim head coach Jim Turner.

Don’t expect much offense in this one. Both teams average less than 16 points per game.

Bet: Houston -250, Memphis +5.5 (-110), Under 36.5 (-110)

DC Defenders vs. Michigan Panthers Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
DC Defenders+124+2.5 (+100)O 41.5 (-110)
Michigan Panthers-148-2.5 (-120)U 41.5 (-110)

Michigan lost a tough one last week. A win would have given them sole possession of first place in the USFL Division. The Panthers offense has proven it can score on anyone. Michigan averages 23.6 points per game.

DC sits atop the XFL Division after its win over Arlington last week. The Defenders offense can get it done too and is averaging 23.4 points per game. QB Jordan Ta’amu leads the UFL in passing with 1,213 yards.

DC is now 4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS. The Defenders have been an underdog of 2.5 points or more three times this season. They’ve covered the spread on all three occasions.

Likewise, Michigan has been favored by 2.5 or more three times. The Panthers are 2-1 ATS in those three games. Despite its prolific offense, the Panthers have seen the Over cash in just two of their five games. The over has cashed in three of DC’s games this season.

DC Defenders vs. Michigan Panthers Predictions

Right behind Ta’amu in the passing statistics is Michigan QB Bryce Perkins. Perkins has completed 72.3 percent of his passes for 923 yards and six touchdowns. The Panthers running game is anchored by Toa Taua who has 139 yards and three scores this season.

While Ta’amu leads the league in passing yardage, he only completes 49.7 percent of his passes. Michigan’s defense is second in the UFL against the pass and that is going to create some problems for Ta’amu and his leading receiver Chris Rowland (22 receptions, 252 yards).

The Panthers need this win to keep pace with Birmingham and to prevent dropping out of the top two in the division. Like the Stallions, the Panthers really haven’t played all that well at home. Plus, DC plays better when the level of competition is raised. Playing as the underdog here will only motivate the Defenders even more.

Bet: DC +124, DC +2.5 (+100), Over 41.5 (-110)

San Antonio Brahmas vs. Birmingham Stallions Odds

TeamMoneylineSpreadTotal
San Antonio+360+9.5 (-115)O 37 (-110)
Birmingham Stallions-470-9.5 (-105)U 37 (-110)

It’s interesting. The Stallions are still favored to win the 2025 UFL championship even after last week’s huge upset loss to Memphis. Birmingham came into the 2025 season as everyone’s favorite to win a fourth consecutive league championship. They had won the USFL championship in 2022 and 2023 before winning last year’s UFL title.

Only one of Birmingham’s three wins this season could be categorized as impressive. In Week 2, they beat Michigan 21-12. That win is the tiebreaker right now as both teams are tied at 3-2 in the standings.

The Stallions have covered the spread just once in their five games. The Over is just 2-3 in their games as the Birmingham offense has struggled at times. On the other side, San Antonio has seen three of its five games go Over the total. The Brahmas have the worst defense in the UFL currently. San Antonio gives up 26 points per game.

San Antonio Brahmas vs. Birmingham Stallions Predictions

This is a game the Stallions should win. The Brahmas are struggling. QB Kellen Mond is completing just 56.8 percent of his passes and has thrown for 597 yards. The running game is sixth out of eight UFL teams and leading rusher Anthony McFarland (236 yards) has yet to score a rushing touchdown.

The difference in this game is defense. San Antonio just can’t stop anyone. Birmingham only averages 17 points per game, but QB Matt Carral does have 648 passing yards and four touchdowns. WR Deon Cain has 14 catches, two for touchdowns, and 212 receiving yards.

Against a Brahmas defense that is dead last in total defense – 332.2 yards per game – Birmingham won’t squander another chance at home. San Antonio has given up a whopping 13 rushing touchdowns. Still, don’t expect Birmingham to cover a double-digit spread. Remember, they are just 1-4 ATS this season.

Bet: ML pass, San Antonio +9.5 (-115), Under 37

UFL Week 6 Best Bets

Our UFL experts ended up at .500 with their UFL Week 5 picks. Both best bets cashed which means if you parlayed our top plays then you made out. A $100 wager on last week’s parlay paid out $261.

This week our best handicappers have reviewed all the data and gone through each game to find the best picks once again. Here are what they believe are the best bets for Week 6.

  • Arlington (+3) @ St. Louis
  • DC @ Michigan Over 41.5

Arlington took a home loss last week while St. Louis beat Michigan at home. The Battlehawks are at home once again, but the Renegades are solid. They have the best defense in the UFL and possibly the best quarterback in Luis Perez.

Last year, Arlington beat St. Louis at home, which they did once again this year in Week 4. In last year’s game at St. Louis, the Renegades played well but lost … by three! Expect another tight game.

One look at the total and you know the books are expecting a lot of points. These are two of the top-scoring teams in the UFL. Both average over 23 points per game. Michigan has scored 26 or more points in four of its five games this season. The Defenders are coming off a 37-point performance last week and the Over has cashed in three of their five games.

Now, playing these individually will go like this. A $118 wager will net you $100 in profit should the Renegades cover the three points. A $110 bet on the Over in DC-Michigan will also net you $100 in profit if the final score totals 42 or more points.

You can also parlay these two bets into one. In that case, a single $100 bet would lead to profits of $253 at parlay odds of +253. It’s your choice. Best of luck in Week 6!