It is Masters Week at Augusta National. The opening round of this year’s competition is set for Thursday, April 8. The world’s best golfers are in town to take aim at winning the first Major of the season as well as professional golf’s most prestigious title.
With that much talent gathered in one four-round tournament, betting on the outright winner is a tough ticket to cash. The return on going chalk in that bet is rather attractive with the favorite Dustin Johnson at +900. However, that is still a very low probability wager.
You could expand things to a Top 20 finish but the overall return drops dramatically for the best players. For example, Johnson’s betting odds on a top 20 finish is set at a risky -200. Even the return on a spot in the Top 10 of the 2021 Masters is low compared to the probability of winning that bet.
The Masters Top 5 Finish Odds
The sweet spot on the 2021 Masters future board is a top 5 bet. The top five players on the list for that futures betting market are:
You could probably justify a top 5 bet on any of those five players. Johnson is a no-brainer as the reigning Masters Champion after winning this tournament in November of last year. Going back over his last five trips around this track in the Masters, he has the one victory plus four more Top 10 finishes. Johnson was tied for second in 2019 and tied for fourth in 2016. Lock these odds in before that number goes down.
Rahm is another solid play for a top 5 bet this week. The Spaniard is no stranger to big finishes in golf’s biggest events. His motivation is also high in search of his first career victory in a Major. This will be his fifth career Masters after tying for seventh last fall and ninth in 2019. His best finish at Augusta was fourth in 2018.
DeChambeau is always a betting favorite given his aggressive style of play. However, that may work against him this week at Augusta. His best career finish at this course is a tie for 21 st in 2016. He has yet to crack the Top 20 in his four previous Masters to drain some of the value from his Top 5 betting odds.
Also at +250 odds, Spieth was a hot commodity a few years back. He is still one of the best golfers on the PGA Tour but wins in Majors have been hard to come by lately. Winning this past weekend’s Valero Texas Open is both good and bad. This is very good from a playing form standpoint. However, winning back-to-back tournaments one week to the next is extremely hard to do. Since winning the 2015 Masters and placing third in 2018, Jordan did not crack the top 20 in his last two trips around Augusta.
At slightly higher betting odds, Thomas is another good value pick for a top 5 finish this week. He has already won this year’s Players Championship as the unofficial fifth Major of the season. November’s fourth-place finish in this event also adds value to his betting odds.
A few other players you can add to this list as value plays would be Brooks Koepka at +550 odds and Bubba Watson at +1200.
A big part of the services that my marketing company, Blue Pointe Advisors, LLC offers is written content for sports betting websites. I have been working as a full-time sports betting writer for the past nine years following a previous career in the field of sales and marketing.
I consider myself extremely fortunate to be able to write about my true passion in life; the world of sports. I also enjoy concentrating the bulk of my pieces towards the betting angle in sports.
It is always a challenge to take past results and current form to try and correctly determine a future result. Sports brings out the unpredictability in what should be a fairly predictable outcome based on the stats, facts and recent trends in a particular matchup. The one thing that I have learned over the past decade or so is that when it comes to betting on sports there is no such thing as a lock.
The main objective with my writing style is to create insightful articles on a wide variety of sporting topics that can provide an edge to today's sophisticated online player. While there are times when my predictions fall well short of the actual outcome, I still enjoy trying to come up with a logical explanation to support my views on every pick I make.
My love of sports started a long time ago when I was just a kid growing up just outside Philadelphia. While I was a big Phillies, Flyers and 76ers fan, my number one team was always the Eagles. My dad was a season ticket holder from 1961 to 2002 and I would honestly say that he missed less than a handful of games than more than a few dismal seasons.
I was fortunate enough to go to a number of Eagles’ games back in the day including the 1980 NFC Championship when Wilbert Montgomery ran roughshod over the bitter rival Dallas Cowboys to lead Philly to their first appearance in a Super Bowl. Flash forward 40 years later and am I still celebrating the thrilling victory over New England in Super Bowl LVII. I know that my dad was smiling down on that one.