It’s a PGA version of professional wrestling! The Waste Management Phoenix Open is known for its rowdy fans and intense pressure at the No. 16 par 3 green which is surrounded by grandstands… drinking beer. The good news, fans will be back, in limited numbers, this weekend at Phoenix. So will Jon Rahm who comes in at +650!
Like last year, Rahm came in as the favorite following a slight meltdown at the Farmers the week prior. The situation is similar, Rahm didn’t meltdown last weekend but he did fade a bit as Patrick Reed went on a birdie fest.
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Rahm now has a chance to take being the outright favorite to the bank as Justin Thomas trails at +800 and last year’s Phoenix Open champ, Webb Simpson, is at +1200. Here are the top-five favorites according to Intertops.
Jon Rahm +650
Justin Thomas +800
Xander Schauffele +1000
Rory McIlroy +1000
Webb Simpson +1200
2021 Waste Management Phoenix Open Preview
Where: Scottsdale, Arizona
Course: TPC Scottsdale
Format: Stroke Play
Par: 71
Length: 7,266
When: January 28 –31, 2021
Purse: $7.3 Million.
TV Coverage: CBS, Golf Channel
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Fans will be allowed but in limited numbers at TPC Scottsdale. It will be interesting to see how players react to crowd noise. A player hearing a “roar” from across the course and wondering what happened is an element that has been missing due to COVID-19.
Now the “Biggest Party in Golf” will have 5000 fans allowed per day. That’s not many for a tournament that regularly has attendance numbers of half a million. The No. 16 Colusium hole will only have one tier with a maximum of 2000 fans but it should be a rowdy place – hopefully.
The hole is famous for players like Tiger Woods and Jarod Lyle causing the crowd to erupt when sinking a hit a hole-in-one. On the flip side, Justin Leonard gave the crowd a one-fingered salute when they booed him for a bad shot.
Expect the norm at Phoenix. Pristine look with rolling hills, big bunkers, tight landing areas, and players looking to slam the ball as far as they can off the tee. Generally, TPC Scottsdale plays like a classic course but makes full use of natural hazards… which include the fans on No. 16.
One Phoenix Open note to keep in mind; four of the last five contests have finished in a playoff.
2021 Phoenix Open PGA Picks
Justin Thomas +800
Justin Thomas missed the cut at Dubai but has had some time off to rest a bit. He’s made a habit of finishing the Phoenix Open in 3 rd place over the years so he knows this course and how to attack it. A few birdies may put him over the hump this year. He has a T2, a 3 rd , and a 4 th place finish this year.
Xander Schauffele +1000
Xander Schauffele was on my radar last week and it was a good gut choice. This week I even feel better about Schauffele. Last week at the Farmers he climbed the leader board to finish T2 along with Ryan Palmer and two others. He was strong but needs a few more putts to drop for him this week.
Ryan Palmer +4000
Ryan Palmer, +4000, is coming in hot this week at Phoenix. He’s played some amazing golf this season with only a few bumps. In his last four tournaments, he’s racked up a T2 and two T4’s. He finished T2 at the Phoenix Open back in 2015. His recent T2 was last week at the Famers.
Others I Like: I faded last week on Jon Rahm (+600) but like him a bit more this week. He’s strong at Phoenix. Brooks Koepka (+4000) could use the crowd noise as motivation as he continues to recover. If he’s on point the fans will get behind him.
2021 Phoenix Open Odds
You can bet on PGA props this weekend at the BetOnline Sportsbook.
Jon Rahm +650
Justin Thomas +800
Xander Schauffele +1000
Rory McIlroy +1000
Webb Simpson +1200
Daniel Berger +1800
Hideki Matsuyama +2200
Harris English +2800
Sungjae Im +3000
Ryan Palmer +4000
Will Zalatoris +4000
Brooks Koepka +4000
Bubba Watson +4000
Rickie Fowler +4000
Scottie Scheffler +4500
Louis Oosthuizen +4500
Matthew Wolff +4500
Gary Woodland +4500
Billy Horschel +5000
Russell Henley +5500
Si-Woo Kim +5500
Jason Day +5500
Corey Conners +6600
Matt Kuchar +6600
Sam Burns +7000
Max Homa +7000
Carlos Ortiz +7000
Brian Harman +8000
Cameron Champ +8000
Henrik Norlander +8000
Byeong Hun An +8000
Brendan Steele +8000
Brendon Todd +8000
Talor Gooch +9000
Chris Kirk +9000
Adam Hadwin +9000
Rory Sabbatini +9000
Jordan Spieth +9000
Adam Long +9000
Sebastian Munoz +9000
Zach Johnson +10000
Luke List +10000
Emiliano Grillo +10000
Aaron Wise +10000
Patton Kizzire +10000
Matt Jones +12500
John Huh +12500
Russell Knox +12500
Cameron Tringale +12500
Sepp Straka +12500
Wyndham Clark +12500
Michael Thompson +12500
Kevin Streelman +12500
Dylan Frittelli +12500
Chez Reavie +12500
Keegan Bradley +12500
Charley Hoffman +14000
Martin Laird +14000
James Hahn +14000
Erik Van Rooyen +15000
JT Poston +15000
Lucas Glover +15000
Charl Schwartzel +15000
Joel Dahmen +15000
Kyle Stanley +15000
Stewart Cink +15000
Nick Taylor +15000
Ryan Moore +15000
Doc Redman +15000
Richy Werenski +17500
Harold Varner III +17500
Tom Lewis +17500
Harry Higgs +20000
Bo Hoag +20000
Austin Cook +20000
Patrick Rodgers +20000
Denny McCarthy +20000
Mark Hubbard +20000
Keith Mitchell +20000
J.B. Holmes +20000
Hudson Swafford +20000
Padraig Harrington +20000
Pat Perez +22500
Matthew Nesmith +22500
Tom Hoge +22500
Robby Shelton +22500
John Augenstein +22500
Sam Ryder +25000
C T Pan +25000
Danny Lee +25000
Tyler Duncan +25000
Adam Schenk +25000
Brian Stuard +25000
Scott Stallings +25000
Vaughn Taylor +25000
Ryan Armour +25000
Andrew Putnam +25000
Will Gordon +25000
Steve Stricker +25000
Beau Hossler +30000
Xinjun Zhang +30000
Nate Lashley +30000
Troy Merritt +30000
Robert Streb +30000
Davis Riley +30000
Brian Gay +30000
Brice Garnett +30000
Kyoung-Hoon Lee +30000
Camilo Villegas +30000
Jason Dufner +35000
Ted Potter +40000
Sean O'Hair +40000
Jimmy Walker +40000
Jamie Lovemark +50000
Sung Kang +50000
Scott Brown +50000
Luke Donald +50000
Kevin Tway +50000
Scott Harrington +50000
Satoshi Kodaira +50000
Michael Kim +50000
Grayson Murray +50000
William McGirt +75000
Hunter Mahan +75000
Jerry Kelly +75000
Kevin Stadler +75000
Martin Trainer +100000
Bo Van Pelt +100000
Jesse Mueller +100000