UFC 263: Edwards vs. Diaz Free Pick, Odds and Betting Preview

UFC 263: Adesanya vs. Vettori 2 takes place on Saturday, June 12th from the Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona.

One of the most anticipated fights on the card that has fight fans excited for is Leon Edwards vs Nate Diaz. This is a welterweight fight on the main card and these two veterans are expected to go to war and put on a show. We can’t wait to watch it and bet on it.

Edwards vs. Diaz Betting Lines, Trends and Stats

Where: Gila River Arena in Glendale, Arizona

When: Saturday, June 12th 2021 at 10:45 PM EST

Leon Edwards (-525) vs. Nate Diaz (+365)

Over 4.5 Rounds (-115) vs. Under 4.5 Rounds (-115)

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The Favorite: Leon Edwards (-525 Odds to Win)

Leon Edwards is a 29 year-old British mixed martial arts fighter from Kingston, Jamaica and fights out of Erdington, Birmingham, England. Nicknamed “Rocky”, Edwards has a professional mma overall record of 18 wins (6 by knockout, 3 by submission, 9 by decision) and 3 losses (2 by decision, 1 by disqualification). He stands 6 feet 2 inches tall and weighs 170 pounds with a reach of 74 inches. Edwards fights as a southpaw and has a purple belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Edwards is coming in off of a no contest (accidental eye poke) versus Belal Muhammad at UFC Fight Night: Edwards vs Muhammad on March 13, 2021 in Las Vegas, Nevada. The eye poke left Muhammad unable to continue fighting. The no contest stopped a 8 fight winning streak for Edwards.

Edwards averages 2.56 strikes landed per minute. He also has a 47% striking accuracy and absorbs 2.03 strikes per minute. For grappling, Edwards averages 1.35 takedowns per minute with a 30% takedown accuracy. He has a takedown defense of 70%.

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The Underdog: Nate Diaz (+365 Odds to Win)

Nate Diaz is a 36 year-old American mixed martial arts fighter from Stockton, California and fights out of his home town. Diaz comes in with a pro mma record of 20 wins (5 by knockout, 11 by submission, 4 by decision) and 12 losses (2 by KO, 1 by submission and 9 by decision). He stands 6 feet 0 inches tall and weighs 170 pounds with a 76 inch reach. He fights as a southpaw and owns a 2nd degree black belt in Brazilian jiu-jitsu.

Diaz is coming into this fight off of a loss at UFC 244 on November 2nd, 2019 in New York City. He lost by TKO (doctor stoppage) to Jorge Masvidial. The loss was Diaz’s 2nd in his last 3 fights and 5th in his last 9 fights. Diaz is a tough, proud fighter but he clearly deserves to be the heavy underdog in this bout versus Edwards.

As for important stats to consider, Diaz averages 4.62 strikes landed per minute. He also has a 45% striking accuracy and absorbs 3.78 strikes per minute. In the grappling department, Diaz averages 1.19 takedowns per minute with a 30% takedown accuracy. He owns a takedown defense of 42%.

Edwards vs Diaz Free Pick: BET on OVER 4.5 Rounds at -115

We like Edwards to win but the value is on the total as Diaz is a proud, savvy veteran who will absorb blows and take this the distance.

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