UFC Fight Night: Blaydes vs. Aspinall Odds and Picks

UFC Fight Night 208 (UFC London) is on Saturday at the O2 Arena in London, England.

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The main event will feature heavyweights Custis Blaydes and Tom Aspinall in what’s expected to be a war between the #4 (Blaydes) and #6 (Aspinall) ranked UFC heavyweight fighters.

The fight card features some great match-ups. Jack Hermansson will fight Chris Curtis in the co-main event. Paddy Pimblett and Alexander Gustafsson are also on the main card.

When: Saturday, July 23rd 2022 (Main Card: 3:00 PM ET / Prelims: 12:00 PM ET)

Where: O2 Arena in London, England

Watch: ESPN+

Blaydes vs. Aspinall Predictions

Fight Odds: Blaydes (+120) vs. Aspinall (-140)

Blaydes (16-3-0-1) is 4-1 in the UFC dating back to 2020. He’s coming off a win against Chris Daukaus (TKO) earlier this year. The lone loss was against Derrick Lewis (KO) last February.

Aspinall (12-2) is 5-0 since joining the UFC in 2020, but he hasn’t been thoroughly tested. He has finished all five of his opponents, including submission wins against Andrei Arlovski and Alexander Volkov.

Aspinall has great striking (7.33 SLpM / 65% accuracy), but Blaydes has good defense (1.68 SApM).

Blaydes will look to utilize his wrestling to avoid Aspinall’s knockout power. Blaydes averages 6.06 takedowns per 15 minutes, but Aspinall hasn’t been taken down yet in the UFC.

We expect Blaydes to land a takedown or two in this fight, but Aspinall has solid jiu-jitsu. The winner of this fight will likely earn a title shot and we’re siding with Aspinall with the fight being in London.

Best Bet: Tom Aspinall ML (-140)

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Hermansson vs. Curtis Predictions

Fight Odds: Hermansson (-110) vs. Curtis (-110)

Hermansson (22-7) is only 2-3 in his last five UFC fights. He’s coming off a loss to Sean Strickland (SD) earlier this year. Curtis (29-8) is 3-0 since joining the UFC in 2021. This will be his biggest test yet.

Curtis has 16 TKO/KO wins in his career. He averages 7.23 SLpM (65% accuracy), while Hermansson averages 4.97 SLpM (44% accuracy). However, Hermansson will have a 2” reach advantage.

He utilizes his long reach and jab to keep his opponents at a distance. If Curtis is able to land a big shot and break through the Swedes reach, he could finish this fight by knockout.

Our best bet for the co-main event is on the fight going over 2.5 rounds. Hermansson has a great shot at grinding out a decision win if his chin holds up, but the safer bet is on the round total.

Best Bet: Over 2.5 Rounds (-115)

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Pimblett vs. Leavitt Predictions

Fight Odds: Pimblett (-250) vs. Leavitt (+210)

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Pimblett (18-3) will look to put on a show in London. He’s 2-0 since joining the UFC last year. He has wins against Luigi Vendramini (KO) and Rodrigo Vargas (Submission). Both fights ended in the first round.

Jordan Leavitt (10-1) is 3-1 in the UFC with the lone loss coming against Claudio Puelles (Decision).

Pimblett has finished 14 of his opponents and it’s likely he’ll win by stoppage again. Both fighters will likely exchange shots in the middle of the cage. Pimblett has more power and is the more active striker.

Best Bet: Paddy Pimblett ITD (-120)

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Krylov vs. Gustafsson Predictions

Fight Odds: Krylov (-205) vs. Gustafsson (+175)

Nikita Krylov (27-9) is a heavy favorite against Gustafsson (18-7).

Krylov is only 2-4 since coming back to the UFC back in 2018. He has lost two fights in a row. He’s active in the cage and will pose problems for the veteran Gustafsson who hasn’t looked sharp in years.

Gustafsson 2-5 in his last seven fights and he has lost three fights in a row. He was knocked out against Jon Jones, Anthony Smith tapped him out and Fabricio Werdum also tapped him out.

We expect these two fighters to go all out for the finish. While Krylov is likely to emerge victorious, we’re betting that the fight doesn’t go the distance. One of these guys will be able to finish the fight.

Best Bet: Fight Doesn’t Go the Distance (-160)

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UFC Fight Night 208 Parlay Picks

The prelims feature several fights where the favorite should win and that’s great for parlays.

Mokaev ML + Wood ML + Diakiese ML + Pimblett ML (+155 Payout Odds)

Our top parlay for UFC London this weekend is listed above.

Muhammad Mokaev, Nathaniel Wood and Marc Diakiese are three big favorites on the prelims that should have no problem winning their fights. All three feel like safe banker bets for parlays.

We’re adding Pimblett onto our main parlay to increase the payout odds.

Two others to consider for parlays on Saturday are Mason Jones and Molly McCann. By adding these two fighters to our main parlay, the payout odds increase to +313, which is a substantial difference.

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UFC Fight Night 208 Betting Lines

Curtis Blaydes (+120) vs. Tom Aspinall (-140)

Jack Hermansson (-110) vs. Chris Curtis (-110)

Paddy Pimblett (-250) vs. Jordan Leavitt (+210)

Nikita Krylov (-205) vs. Alexander Gustafsson (+175)

Molly McCann (-390) vs. Hannah Goldy (+320)

Paul Craig (+140) vs. Volkan Oezdemir (-165)

Mason Jones (-345) vs. Ludovit Klein (+285)

Marc Diakiese (-360) vs. Damir Hadzovic (+295)

Nathaniel Wood (-580) vs. Charles Rosa (+440)

Makwan Amirkhani (+160) vs. Jonathan Pearce (-190)

Muhammad Mokaev (-460) vs. Charles Johnson (+370)

Jai Herbert (-280) vs. Kyle Nelson (+235)

Mandy Bohm (-120) vs. Victoria Leonardo (+100)

Claudio Silva (+205) vs. Nicolas Dalby (-245)

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