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Florida Gulf Coast Eagles

College Basketball

Just one Division I team covered at a lower rate than Florida Gulf Coast, who beat the spread 9 times in 32 in 2025-26. As favorites the Eagles covered 4 of 19.

Nine covers

That is 28.1% against the number over 32 lined games, 364th of 365. The record was 16-18, so this was not a team losing everything; it was a team losing to the line. February showed it plainest: 4-4 straight up, one cover in eight.

The Eagles 2025-26 regular season, game by game2025-11-03 v New College Mighty Banyans 96-602025-11-07 at Illinois Fighting Illini 70-1132025-11-11 v Georgia Southern Eagles 94-952025-11-15 v Chattanooga Mocs 91-732025-11-19 at Samford Bulldogs 77-622025-11-24 v Oral Roberts Golden Eagles 93-882025-11-25 v Rice Owls 78-632025-11-26 v Kennesaw State Owls 100-1022025-12-03 at Florida International Panthers 83-892025-12-07 v Florida Atlantic Owls 76-812025-12-14 at New Mexico Lobos 59-752025-12-20 at UCF Knights 80-1022025-12-28 v Fort Lauderdale Eagles 84-432026-01-01 at Central Arkansas Bears 83-852026-01-03 at North Alabama Lions 72-552026-01-08 v Austin Peay Governors 71-822026-01-10 v Lipscomb Bisons 77-842026-01-15 v Queens University Royals 74-852026-01-17 v West Georgia Wolves 90-722026-01-22 at Austin Peay Governors 62-832026-01-23 at Lipscomb Bisons 71-862026-01-29 v North Alabama Lions 72-642026-01-31 at Jacksonville Dolphins 68-492026-02-05 at Eastern Kentucky Colonels 74-762026-02-07 at Bellarmine Knights 65-812026-02-11 v North Florida Ospreys 90-812026-02-14 v Stetson Hatters 78-762026-02-18 v Jacksonville Dolphins 86-842026-02-21 v Central Arkansas Bears 75-712026-02-26 at North Florida Ospreys 70-762026-02-28 at Stetson Hatters 63-782026-03-04 v North Alabama Lions 69-582026-03-06 v Lipscomb Bisons 77-532026-03-07 v Central Arkansas Bears 63-73Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margincovered the spreaddid not cover0
16-18 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Laying points

Favored 19 times, FGCU went 9-10 and covered 4, 21.1%; 17 sides in Division I fared worse when giving points. One unit on each of those 19 moneylines lost 7.66, and just one team in the country lost more backing itself at a short price. The last weekend of February was the sharpest example: 76-70 at North Florida at -298, then 78-63 at Stetson at -198 the next day.

One unit on the Eagles to win, every game0-8-6-4-2+2-8.11 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 31 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

As underdogs they went 5-8 and covered 5 of 13, and those 12 priced moneylines lost only 0.44 units.

The road

Away they won 3 of 14 and covered 3, 21.4%: three teams covered less often on the road. The away moneyline gave back 6.47 units over 13 priced games. At home it was 11-6 straight up, yet 4 covers in 15. Over the 31 priced games the blind unit lost 8.11; only November (5-3, 1.6 units up) and March (2-1, 0.84 up) finished ahead.

The Eagles at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 11 (64.7%)covered 4 of 15 (26.7%)Away (14)won 3 (21.4%)covered 3 of 14 (21.4%)Favorite (19)won 9 (47.4%)covered 4 of 19 (21.1%)Underdog (13)won 5 (38.5%)covered 5 of 13 (38.5%)50%
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Teams met three times

North Alabama lost all three, the third in the ASUN first round, and FGCU covered two. Lipscomb won two of three, though the Eagles took the tournament quarterfinal 77-53 as +160 underdogs. Central Arkansas also won two of three and ended the season in the semifinal. Austin Peay beat them twice, no covers.

The Eagles against the teams they played mostCentral Arkansas Bears1-2, covered 1Lipscomb Bisons1-2, covered 1North Alabama Lions3-0, covered 2Austin Peay Governors0-2, covered 0Jacksonville Dolphins2-0, covered 1North Florida Ospreys1-1, covered 0Stetson Hatters1-1, covered 0
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Totals

Seventeen unders and 15 overs in 32. No lean.

Questions and answers

How often did FGCU cover the spread in 2025-26?

Nine times in 32, 28.1%; only one Division I team covered less often.

Should we back Florida Gulf Coast as a favorite?

Not on 2025-26: 4 covers in 19 as favorites, and 7.66 units lost on those moneylines.

How did FGCU do against North Alabama?

Three wins from three meetings, two of them covers.

Atlantic Sun Conference