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Old Dominion vs Louisiana Tech Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

By Grant WellerUpdated 23 Oct 2026

Our number has Louisiana Tech by 9. At +13.5, take Old Dominion.

Louisiana Tech is a 13.5-point favorite over Old Dominion at DraftKings, read 24 October 2026 at 00:16 UTC. Our number is Louisiana Tech by 9.0. That leaves a 4.5-point gap on Old Dominion’s side, and the threshold for a bet is 3 points.

Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech kicks off Saturday 24 October at 5:00 PM ET at Joe Aillet Stadium in Ruston. It is a Sun Belt game. Neither team is in the AP Poll for Week 8.

How 9.0 is reached

Our number is half the difference between Louisiana Tech’s average margin at home and Old Dominion’s average margin on the road. It counts only games against FBS teams, across 2025 and 2026. Bowl and playoff games are played at neutral sites, so they are left out.

Louisiana Tech is 6-1 at home against FBS teams over that span, winning by 13.4 points a game across 7 games. Old Dominion is 4-5 on the road against FBS teams, losing by 4.7 a game across 9 games. Half the difference is Louisiana Tech by 9.0.

The rule needs at least 4 games in each sample. Louisiana Tech has 7 and Old Dominion has 9, so both clear it. A side is a bet when our number and the spread are at least 3 points apart.

Moneyline implies Old Dominion 19.2 percent, Louisiana Tech 80.8 percentChance to win the game, as pricedOld Dominion 19.2%Louisiana Tech 80.8%From DraftKings's moneylines, Old Dominion +400 and Louisiana Tech -535, margin removed.
Source: DraftKings via ESPN, read 2026-10-24 00:16 UTC.

The prices

The moneyline is Louisiana Tech -535 and Old Dominion +400. Every pair of book prices carries a margin: the extra the book builds in so the two sides add to more than 100%. With that margin taken out, the market gives Louisiana Tech an 80.8% chance to win and Old Dominion 19.2%. ESPN’s FPI is close to that, at 82.7% for Louisiana Tech.

On the spread, Old Dominion +13.5 is priced at -105 and Louisiana Tech -13.5 at -115. Louisiana Tech opened at -8.5. At the open, the market and our number were half a point apart.

Louisiana Tech opened -8.5 and is -13.5 nowLouisiana Tech's line, from the open to nowpickopen -8.5now -13.5Negative numbers mean Louisiana Tech is giving points. The line has moved 5 points toward Louisiana Tech.
Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 2026-10-24 00:16 UTC.

Louisiana Tech at home, Old Dominion on the road

Louisiana Tech is 3-0 at home this season. Two of those wins were against FBS teams, and both were close: 31-29 over Army on 3 October and 32-31 over Louisiana on 10 October. The third was 80-6 over Northwestern State, a team outside the FBS, which the method does not count. In 2025 Louisiana Tech went 5-1 at home.

Old Dominion has played three road games against FBS teams this season. It lost 44-21 at Virginia Tech and 42-10 at Georgia State, then won 10-3 at App State on 10 October. In 2025 it went 3-3 on the road. The 4-5 road record in our number covers both seasons.

The method leaves out the other two halves. Louisiana Tech went 2-4 on the road in 2025 and lost 45-14 at LSU and 36-19 at Baylor this season before winning 24-0 at UL Monroe on 17 October. Old Dominion went 6-0 at home in 2025 and is 1-3 at home this season.

2026 so far

None of this is in our number. Louisiana Tech is 4-2, 2-0 in the Sun Belt, and has won three straight. It scores 33.3 points a game and allows 24.5, a margin of +8.8. Against FBS teams alone it is 3-2 with a margin of -4.2 a game, because the 80-6 win sits outside that count.

2026 point margin in every game, Louisiana Tech and Old Dominion2026: point margin in every game so farLouisiana Tech4-2, +8.8 a game+74-31-17+2+1+24Old Dominion2-5, -9.1 a game+21-23-3-26-32+7-8Coloured bars are wins, dark grey losses, light grey games against teams outside the FBS.
Source: ESPN results, read 23 October 2026; cross-checked with Nucleus for games up to its 11 October pull.

Old Dominion is 2-5 and 1-3 in the conference. It scores 17.7 and allows 26.9, a margin of -9.1. Against FBS teams it is 1-5 at -14.2 a game. Its last game was a 23-15 home loss to Georgia Southern on Thursday 15 October.

This season’s form leans toward the market. Old Dominion against FBS teams has been worse than Louisiana Tech by a wide margin, and the case for Old Dominion rests on the two-season sample.

Last season

Old Dominion went 10-3 in 2025, 9-3 against FBS teams, with an average margin of +13.5. It beat South Florida 24-10 in its bowl game on 17 December 2025. Louisiana Tech went 8-5, 7-5 against FBS teams, at +6.5 a game, and beat Coastal Carolina 23-14 in its bowl game on 30 December 2025. Both bowl games were at neutral sites, so neither is in our number.

2025 point margin in every game, Louisiana Tech and Old Dominion2025: point margin in every game, bowls and playoffs includedLouisiana Tech8-5, +6.5 a game+24-16+35+10+19-28-1+41-1-25+6+12+9Old Dominion10-3, +13.5 a game-13+48+19+14+40-24-36+3+25+33+35+17+14Oldest game on the left. Light grey bars are games against teams outside the FBS.
Source: ESPN results, read 23 October 2026.

The results read show no game between these two teams in 2025 or 2026. Our number has no meeting in it.

Pick: Old Dominion +13.5

Old Dominion +13.5 at -105, DraftKings, read 24 October 2026 at 00:16 UTC. The gap is 4.5 points against a 3-point threshold. Louisiana Tech opened at -8.5.

The number rests on 7 Louisiana Tech home games and 9 Old Dominion road games. Neither half is large. Both clear the 4-game minimum, and the rule says bet.

What kills the bet

The line. Old Dominion stays a bet down to +12. Shorter than that, the gap falls under the threshold and the call becomes a pass. Louisiana Tech would need to be -6 or shorter to be the bet.

The risk is 2026. Old Dominion is 1-5 against FBS teams this season, and two of its three road losses to FBS teams were by more than 20 points. Our number weights last season’s 10-3 Old Dominion as heavily as this season’s. If this year’s Old Dominion is the real one, 13.5 is about right.

Nothing on the ESPN game page read at 00:16 UTC on 24 October states who is unavailable for either team. Check the lineups before you bet.

The total

The total is 45.5, up from 44.5 at the open. The over is -105 and the under -115 at DraftKings.

Game totals for Louisiana Tech and Old Dominion against 45.5Total points in every game against FBS teams, 2025 and 2026, against this game's 45.510203040506070809010045.5Louisiana Tech11 of 17 over 45.5Old Dominion8 of 18 over 45.5Each dot is one game against an FBS team. Dots stack where games had the same total.
Source: ESPN results, read 23 October 2026; cross-checked with Nucleus for games up to its 11 October pull. The line: DraftKings via ESPN, read 2026-10-24 00:16 UTC.

Against FBS teams across 2025 and 2026, Louisiana Tech’s games went over in 11 of 17 and Old Dominion’s in 8 of 18. This season Louisiana Tech’s five FBS games produced 59, 55, 60, 63 and 24 points. Old Dominion’s six produced 65, 37, 66, 52, 13 and 38.

No bet on the total. The method stakes the spread only, and these counts are a description, not a number we bet.

Old Dominion at Louisiana Tech, Saturday 24 October, 5:00 PM ET, Joe Aillet Stadium, Ruston. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 24 October 2026, 00:16 UTC. Results: ESPN, 2025 and 2026 seasons, checked against Nucleus. Rankings: 2026 NCAA Football Rankings, AP Poll Week 8. Injuries: ESPN game page, read 24 October 2026, 00:16 UTC.