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Bayer Leverkusen

Bundesliga3 predictions

Bayer Leverkusen went into 16 of the 21 Bundesliga games ESPN priced in 2025-26 as favorite and won eight, drawing five and losing three for -1.93 units; twelve clubs did better as favorite. It sits against their scoring: only three clubs scored more goals a game than Leverkusen’s 2.0.

The 2025-26 season

Leverkusen finished 17-8-9 with 68 goals for and 47 against. Home was 9-4-4, away 8-4-5. Of the 11 games decided by one goal, they won six. Their 1.38 conceded a game was bettered by two clubs and matched by one.

Bayer Leverkusen 2025-26 season, game by game2025-08-23 v TSG Hoffenheim 1-22025-08-30 at Werder Bremen 3-32025-09-12 v Eintracht Frankfurt 3-12025-09-21 v Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-12025-09-27 at St. Pauli 2-12025-10-04 v 1. FC Union Berlin 2-02025-10-18 at Mainz 4-32025-10-26 v SC Freiburg 2-02025-11-01 at Bayern Munich 0-32025-11-08 v 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 6-02025-11-22 at VfL Wolfsburg 3-12025-11-29 v Borussia Dortmund 1-22025-12-06 at FC Augsburg 0-22025-12-13 v FC Cologne 2-02025-12-20 at RB Leipzig 3-12026-01-10 v VfB Stuttgart 1-42026-01-17 at TSG Hoffenheim 0-12026-01-24 v Werder Bremen 1-02026-01-31 at Eintracht Frankfurt 3-12026-02-07 at Borussia Mönchengladbach 1-12026-02-14 v St. Pauli 4-02026-02-21 at 1. FC Union Berlin 0-12026-02-28 v Mainz 1-12026-03-04 at Hamburg SV 1-02026-03-07 at SC Freiburg 3-32026-03-14 v Bayern Munich 1-12026-03-21 at 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 3-32026-04-04 v VfL Wolfsburg 6-32026-04-11 at Borussia Dortmund 1-02026-04-18 v FC Augsburg 1-22026-04-25 at FC Cologne 2-12026-05-02 v RB Leipzig 4-12026-05-09 at VfB Stuttgart 1-32026-05-16 v Hamburg SV 1-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
17-8-9 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Short prices that did not land

Leverkusen at a short price was not a bet that paid. The 1-1 at home to Hamburg SV on 16 May came at -390. FC Augsburg won 2-1 in Leverkusen at -280 on 18 April. The 3-3 at Heidenheim on 21 March came at -205, and the 1-1 at home to Mainz on 28 February at -150. As underdog, five times, Leverkusen went 2-1-2 for +1.15, winning 3-1 at RB Leipzig at +210 on 20 December and 1-0 at Borussia Dortmund at +205 on 11 April.

Bayer Leverkusen at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 9 (52.9%)Away (17)won 8 (47.1%)Favorite (16)won 8 (50.0%)Underdog (5)won 2 (40.0%)50%
2025-26 season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: -0.78

All 21 priced games together lost 0.78 units, 3.7% of what was staked; seven clubs did better. December (+2.84) and April (+2.35) were the profitable months. February (-2.51) and March (-2.05) took it back. Away games made +0.97 and home games lost 1.76.

One unit on Bayer Leverkusen to win, every game0-2-1+1+2-0.78 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 21 priced 2025-26 league games (December to May), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Leipzig twice, Hoffenheim and Stuttgart never

Leverkusen beat RB Leipzig twice, 3-1 away and 4-1 at home. TSG Hoffenheim and VfB Stuttgart each beat Leverkusen in both meetings, and so did Augsburg.

The total

The under came in 12 times in 21 priced games, 57.1%. One club’s games stayed under more often; Leverkusen shared the next rate with two others. Close to the top, not at it: no lean.

Questions and answers

How many of Leverkusen’s 16 games as favorite did they win?

Eight: 8-5-3 for -1.93 units; the five draws included 1-1 against Hamburg at -390.

Where did Leverkusen win as underdog?

At RB Leipzig, 3-1 at +210, and at Borussia Dortmund, 1-0 at +205: 2-1-2 in five games for +1.15.

Did one unit on Leverkusen every priced game pay?

Close to even, not quite: -0.78 units across 21 games between mid-December and mid-May.