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Marseille

Ligue 13 predictions

ESPN priced 19 Marseille games in Ligue 1 in 2025-26 and made them favorite in 17; only Paris Saint-Germain were underdog less often. They lost five of those 17, twice to Nantes, once at -390.

The 2025-26 season

Marseille went 18-5-11. Home was strong at 11-4-2; away was 7-1-9. They scored 63, 1.85 a game, and two clubs scored more; they conceded 45. One-goal games went eight won, six lost, and the best run was five straight wins.

Marseille 2025-26 season, game by game2025-08-15 at Stade Rennais 0-12025-08-23 v Paris FC 5-22025-08-31 at Lyon 0-12025-09-12 v Lorient 4-02025-09-22 v Paris Saint-Germain 1-02025-09-26 at Strasbourg 2-12025-10-04 at Metz 3-02025-10-18 v Le Havre AC 6-22025-10-25 at Lens 1-22025-10-29 v Angers 2-22025-11-01 at AJ Auxerre 1-02025-11-08 v Brest 3-02025-11-21 at Nice 5-12025-11-29 v Toulouse 2-22025-12-05 at Lille 0-12025-12-14 v AS Monaco 1-02026-01-04 v Nantes 0-22026-01-17 at Angers 5-22026-01-24 v Lens 3-12026-01-31 at Paris FC 2-22026-02-08 at Paris Saint-Germain 0-52026-02-14 v Strasbourg 2-22026-02-20 at Brest 0-22026-03-01 v Lyon 3-22026-03-07 at Toulouse 1-02026-03-13 v AJ Auxerre 1-02026-03-22 v Lille 1-22026-04-05 at AS Monaco 1-22026-04-10 v Metz 3-12026-04-18 at Lorient 0-22026-04-26 v Nice 1-12026-05-02 at Nantes 0-32026-05-10 at Le Havre AC 1-02026-05-17 v Stade Rennais 3-1Wins above the line, losses below, draws on it; bar length is the margin0
18-5-11 in 34 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite 17 times, beaten five

As favorite Marseille went 9-3-5 for -0.66 units. The shortest prices that lost: 0-2 at home to Nantes at -390 on 4 January, 0-2 at Brest at -115 on 20 February and 0-2 at Lorient at -150 on 18 April. No Marseille win paid more than +120, 1-0 at Toulouse on 7 March. Underdog twice, they lost both: 0-5 at Paris Saint-Germain and 1-2 at AS Monaco.

Marseille at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (17)won 11 (64.7%)Away (17)won 7 (41.2%)Favorite (17)won 9 (52.9%)Underdog (2)won 0 (0.0%)50%
2025-26 season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

One unit a game: -2.66

Backing Marseille in all 19 priced games, December to May, lost 2.66 units, 14.0% of the stake; six clubs did worse. Home games made +0.64. The road cost 3.3: 3-1-5 in nine priced away games, with three goal-line covers, and one club covered less often away. February (0-1-2, -3.0) and April (1-1-2, -2.74) were the losing months; March went 3-0-1 for +1.6.

One unit on Marseille to win, every game0-4-2-2.66 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 19 priced 2025-26 league games (December to May), at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Nantes and Lille twice

Nantes won both meetings, 2-0 away and 3-0 at home on 2 May with Marseille at -110. Lille won both too. Marseille beat AJ Auxerre, Le Havre and Metz twice each.

The total

No call: the priced games split nine over, ten under.

Questions and answers

How often was Marseille the favorite in 2025-26?

17 times in 19 priced Ligue 1 games, going 9-3-5 for -0.66 units.

What was Marseille’s worst defeat as favorite?

0-2 at home to Nantes at -390 on 4 January; Nantes won the second meeting too, 3-0.

How did Marseille travel?

7-1-9 in 17 league away games; 3-1-5 in the nine that were priced, for -3.3 units.