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Nottingham Forest vs Ipswich Town Best Pick, Prediction and Odds

By Keylor SantosUpdated 22 Oct 2026

No bet on Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town. Our method has no number for this game, so there is no gap to measure against the 5 points a bet needs.

DraftKings lists Nottingham Forest at +125, the draw at +250 and Ipswich Town at +215. Strip out the book’s 4.8% margin (the extra a book builds in so the three prices add to more than 100%) and the market reads Forest 42.4%, the draw 27.3% and Ipswich 30.3%. That is the only probability on this page, and it is the market’s, not ours.

Why there is no number

Our method sets each side’s expected goals from the league’s average goals at that venue, scaled by the side’s scoring rate at its venue and the opponent’s conceding rate at the other venue. A Poisson model on the two figures gives the home win, the draw and the away win. An outcome is a bet when our chance sits at least 5 points above the market’s.

The method needs a venue record to work from. Ipswich Town have played 3 home games in the 2026-27 Premier League, and it moves to this season’s venue record at 6. The data holds no previous-season home record of 6 or more in this league for Ipswich either. With neither in hand, the method returns nothing, and we do not substitute a guess. No bet.

The league averages it would have used are on file: 1.61 goals a game for the home side and 1.29 for the visitor over 70 games this season. Last season’s were 1.53 and 1.22 over 380 games. They are not enough without Ipswich’s venue rates.

Ipswich at home and Nottm Forest awayIpswich at home and Nottm Forest away, this season and lastIpswich at home, 2026-27 English Premier League2-0-1 in 3scored 1.33 a gameconceded 1.33 a gameNottm Forest away, 2026-27 English Premier League1-1-1 in 3scored 1.67 a gameconceded 2.00 a gameNottm Forest away, 2025-26 English Premier League7-3-9 in 19scored 1.47 a gameconceded 1.47 a gameRecord is wins-draws-losses in league games. Our number uses this season at the venue from six games; below that, last season, when that record holds six or more.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 22 October 2026.

This season so far

Ipswich are 10th of 20 with 9 points from 7 games, 3-0-4, scoring 11 and conceding 15. Nottingham Forest are 19th with 5 points, 1-2-4, scoring 5 and conceding 9.

Ipswich and Nottm Forest in the tableLeague position and points per game, this season and lastIpswich2026-27 English Premier League10 of 20, 9 pts in 72025-26 English Premier Leaguenot in this leagueNottm Forest2026-27 English Premier League19 of 20, 5 pts in 72025-26 English Premier League16 of 20, 44 pts in 38Three points for a win, one for a draw.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 22 October 2026.

At Portman Road, Ipswich are 2-0-1 with 4 scored and 4 conceded, 1.33 a game each way. On the road they are 1-0-3, scoring 1.75 a game and conceding 2.75. Five of their 7 league games went over 2.5 goals.

Forest’s split runs the other way. At home they are 0-1-3, with 0 goals scored and 3 conceded. Away they are 1-1-1, scoring 5 and conceding 6, which is 1.67 and 2.00 a game. Three of their 7 went over 2.5.

These are samples of 3 and 4 games. They describe the start of the season and settle nothing about this game.

Forest’s 2025-26 record is the only full season in the data: 16th with 44 points, 11-11-16, 48 scored and 51 conceded. On the road they went 7-3-9 in 19, scoring and conceding 1.47 a game. Ipswich have no 2025-26 Premier League record on file.

The last meetings

The data holds five meetings, and Forest won three of them. At Portman Road on 15 March 2025 Forest won 4-2. On 3 March 2025, with Forest listed as the home side, it finished 1-1. Forest won 1-0 on 30 November 2024. Further back, 16 March 2019 at Ipswich ended 1-1 and Forest won 2-0 on 1 December 2018.

Last meetings of Ipswich and Nottm ForestIpswich and Nottm Forest: the last meetings ESPN holds15 Mar 2025Ipswich 2-4 Nottm Forest3 Mar 2025Nottm Forest 1-1 Ipswich30 Nov 2024Nottm Forest 1-0 Ipswich16 Mar 2019Ipswich 1-1 Nottm Forest1 Dec 2018Nottm Forest 2-0 IpswichHome side first. All competitions ESPN lists for the pair.
Source: ESPN league results and tables, read 22 October 2026.

None of the five feeds a number, because there is no number. The most recent is more than a year and a half old, and both squads have changed since.

Pick: No bet

The market prices Forest as the favourite at 42.4%. We cannot say whether that is right, and a price we cannot test is not a bet.

What kills the bet

Nothing the market does. No price turns this into a bet, because the method has no figure to compare it with. The analysis lists no price at which the call changes.

What changes it is the sample. At 6 home games for Ipswich, the method runs on this season’s record and gives a number. Until then the page stays a pass.

The team sheets are the other open item. This page says nothing about who is available on 23 October, so check the lineups before betting anything.

The data carries no total for this game, so there is no goals market here.

Nottingham Forest at Ipswich Town, English Premier League, Friday 23 October, 3:00 PM ET, Portman Road, Ipswich. Prices: DraftKings via ESPN, read 22 October 2026, 21:15 UTC. Results and tables: ESPN, covering the 2026-27 and 2025-26 Premier League seasons. Nothing here states who is available.