Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat Picks and Predictions February 4th 2025

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat NBA • Tue, Feb 4, 20:00 pm.
Chicago Bulls
ML: 150
0
0
Miami Heat
ML: -170

Membership Features

Last Updated on

The Miami Heat (-166) are favored by 4 points on the road against the Chicago Bulls (+141) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Tip-off is scheduled for 8:00 ET at the United Center. The over/under line for the game is 227.

Miami is currently 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 24-23. The Bulls are 10th in the East at 21-29.

Premium Package

Heat vs. Bulls Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Miami Heat at Chicago Bulls
  • Where: Chicago at United Center
  • Date: Tuesday, February 4th
  • Betting Odds MIA -4, MIA -166 | CHI +141 O/U 227

The Heat Can Win If…

The Heat improved to 24-23 on the season with a 105-103 win over the Spurs on Saturday. Miami, who were -3 point favorites, didn’t cover the spread. The total points for the game were 208, falling short of the 223 O/U line.

Miami went on an 11-0 run after a 33-33 tie, taking a 44-33 lead. They won the 2nd quarter 27-23 and entered the 4th with an 85-82 lead, but the Spurs edged them 21-20 in the final quarter.

Bam Adebayo led the Heat to a win over the Spurs with 30 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists, shooting 61.9% from the field and hitting 2 threes at 40%. Terry Rozier added 19 points, connecting on 5 threes at 55.6%, while Nikola Jovic contributed 14 points, making 3 threes at 42.9%.

Miami shot 46.1% from the field and made 13 threes, but struggled from beyond the arc, shooting just 31%. Adebayo scored 10 points in both the 1st and 3rd quarters, while Rozier added 12 points in the 2nd.

Despite a tough 1st quarter where the Heat allowed 33 points, they tightened up defensively, giving up just 23 points in the 2nd quarter and 21 in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, Miami held San Antonio to 103 points on 41% shooting.

The Heat did well defending the three, with the Spurs hitting 12 threes at a 33% clip. Miami sent San Antonio to the line 21 times, where they made 15 free throws. The Heat also recorded 7 steals and 5 blocks.

  • Across their three previous road games, Miami has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 102 points per game.
  • Miami has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 4-1 SU and 4-1 ATS in their last five games.
  • Over their last three games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Bulls Can Win If…

The Bulls fell to 21-29 on the season after a 127-119 road loss to the Pistons on Sunday. Chicago entered the game as +6 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points of 246.5 exceeded the pre-game line of 233.5 by 12.5 points.

Chicago went on an 11-0 run early, extending their lead from 25-23 to 36-23. However, they were outscored 34-19 in the 2nd quarter. The Bulls trimmed the deficit to 95-86 heading into the 4th but couldn’t close the gap, as both teams scored 30+ points in each of the final two quarters.

Coby White led the Bulls with 22 points in their 127-119 loss to the Pistons, scoring 15 in the 4th quarter. Nikola Vucevic and Josh Giddey each added 20 points, with Vucevic shooting 80% from the field and hitting 4 threes at a 66.7% rate.

Chicago made 19 threes, shooting 36.5% from deep and 46.1% overall. Lonzo Ball contributed 13 points, with 8 coming in the opening quarter.

The Bulls struggled defensively on Sunday, allowing the Pistons to score 127 points while shooting 54% from the field. Chicago gave up at least 30 points in each quarter, including 34 in the 2nd.

Chicago did limit Detroit’s three-point shooting, holding them to 10 made threes on 33% shooting. The Bulls also sent the Pistons to the line just 13 times, where they made 9 free throws.

  • In their last three games at home, the Bulls have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last three games as the underdog, the Bulls have a straight up record of 1-2. Their record vs the spread in these games was 1-2.
  • In their last five games, the Bulls have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.

The Lean

For a point-spread wager in this Heat vs. Bulls game, we suggest taking the Bulls at +4. Even though our predictions have the Heat winning 112-111, we see the Bulls as the better choice on the point-spread.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 227, and our model predicts the Heat and Bulls to score a combined 223 points. We recommend betting on the under.

NBA Picks

Miami Heat Adjusting as Adebayo Embraces More Freedom

As the Miami Heat continue their push for Eastern Conference playoff positioning, Bam Adebayo is thriving in a newly expanded role. Head coach Erik Spoelstra’s decision to insert 7-footer Kel’el Ware into the starting lineup has freed Adebayo from traditional big-man duties, allowing him to play with more versatility.

Ahead of Tuesday night’s matchup against the Chicago Bulls, Adebayo described the change as “liberating.”

“I mean, it definitely adds a different dynamic to our team. … It’s still coming together,” Adebayo said. “(Ware) has been playing great, and we do not want to turn his light off. So for us, it’s about making the right reads and plays, getting out of each other’s way so we can be aggressive and put the ball in the basket.”

With Ware handling more interior responsibilities, Adebayo has found more opportunities on the perimeter, contributing as both a playmaker and scorer. In Miami’s recent 105-103 win over the San Antonio Spurs, he delivered a standout performance with 30 points, 12 rebounds, and 9 assists, capping it off with a game-winning jumper at the buzzer.

Heat Navigating Uncertainty Amid Jimmy Butler Suspension and Trade Rumors

While Adebayo has flourished, the Heat have been dealing with off-court distractions. Jimmy Butler remains suspended due to repeated conduct violations, and Miami is actively looking to move him ahead of Thursday’s NBA trade deadline.

With Butler’s status uncertain, Spoelstra has had to make tactical adjustments. Adebayo’s expanded role as an offensive focal point has been crucial in keeping the Heat competitive. Meanwhile, Tyler Herro has stepped up as a key perimeter threat, alongside Duncan Robinson and Jaime Jaquez Jr.

Bulls Enter Post-LaVine Era, May Not Be Done Making Moves

The Bulls are also in transition following Sunday’s blockbuster three-team trade, which sent Zach LaVine to the Sacramento Kings in exchange for a package including Zach Collins, Tre Jones, Kevin Huerter, and a 2025 first-round pick from San Antonio.

Chicago is now led offensively by Nikola Vucevic (19.9 PPG) and Coby White (18.4 PPG). White led the Bulls with 22 points in their recent 127-119 loss to the Detroit Pistons. Meanwhile, Vucevic recorded a triple-double (20 points, 11 rebounds, 10 assists), proving his all-around value.

However, with Vucevic also rumored to be a trade candidate, there’s a chance Chicago isn’t done making moves. The veteran big man, however, remains unfazed.

“I don’t get involved in that too much,” Vucevic said. “Sorry I can’t give you a more interesting answer. I don’t pay too much attention to (trade rumors). … I’m focused on what I can control, which is my play and being the best I can for my teammates.”

Head-to-Head: Heat vs. Bulls Season Series Begins

Miami and Chicago have split their last 10 meetings, making Tuesday’s game a pivotal one as both teams adjust to their evolving rosters. This will be the first of three matchups this season, with the next two scheduled for March 8 (in Miami) and April 9 (in Chicago).

Key Storylines to Watch

✅ Bam Adebayo’s Evolution – Will his new role continue to spark Miami’s offense?
✅ Jimmy Butler’s Future – Could this be his final week with the Heat?
✅ Bulls’ Trade Deadline Activity – Will Vucevic or other players be moved?
✅ Coby White’s Scoring Surge – Can he sustain his strong offensive production?

With the NBA trade deadline approaching Thursday, both teams could look different the next time they meet.

Final Thoughts

Miami enters Tuesday’s game having won three of its last four, while Chicago is adjusting to life without LaVine. With Adebayo thriving, Miami will look to maintain momentum, while the Bulls try to find their new identity.

Projected Lineups (If No Trades Occur Before Tip-Off):

🔴 Miami Heat: Tyler Herro, Duncan Robinson, Caleb Martin, Bam Adebayo, Kel’el Ware
âš« Chicago Bulls: Coby White, Alex Caruso, Patrick Williams, DeMar DeRozan, Nikola Vucevic

With uncertainty surrounding Jimmy Butler and Nikola Vucevic, all eyes will be on the Heat and Bulls as they navigate a crucial stretch leading up to the trade deadline.

By Kody Miller | February 16, 2025
By Rick Rockwell | February 14, 2025
By Kody Miller | February 12, 2025
WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Mon, Feb 3, 15:24 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Chicago Bulls
+3.5
-110
150
O 228.5
-115
Miami Heat
-3.5
-110
-170
U 228.5
-105
STEAM PLAYS
STEAM PLAYS | Handicapper

Steam moves occur when sharps and/or syndicates bet heavily on one side of a betting line. 

#1 Basketball
Yesterday
-
Last 7 days
-
Last 3 days
-
Last 30 days
-