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Sacramento Kings vs Denver Nuggets Betting Preview
The Sacramento Kings head to Ball Arena to face the Denver Nuggets on Monday, November 3, 2025, at 9:00 p.m. ET. Sacramento snapped a skid with a thrilling win in Milwaukee, but now the focus turns to ending a five-game losing streak against Denver.
The Kings haven’t beaten the Nuggets since February 2024, when they pulled off a 102-98 victory in Denver. Head coach Doug Christie praised his team’s energy in Milwaukee and expects the same toughness against the defending champs. Russell Westbrook, now coming off the Kings’ bench, brings inside knowledge of Denver’s system after playing there last season.
The Nuggets, meanwhile, return home after a tight 109-107 loss in Portland. Despite the defeat, they’ve been strong at Ball Arena, opening the season 2-0 there. Nikola Jokic remains the engine, and new addition Jonas Valanciunas has boosted the second unit’s production — one reason Denver’s depth looks much improved.
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Line Movement and Odds
According to the NBA odds, the Nuggets opened as 10.5-point favorites and have moved to -12.5. Sacramento is +12.5, with a total of 236.5 points. Denver’s moneyline sits around -700, while Sacramento’s is +500.
Sharp money has pushed Denver’s number higher after early public interest on Sacramento following their emotional win in Milwaukee. The total has dipped slightly, signaling expectations for better defense from both sides.
Matchup Breakdown
Kings Outlook
Sacramento’s 48.1% field-goal rate ranks 11th in the NBA, and their 37% clip from three gives them spacing that can challenge Denver’s slower rotations. The issue is defense — allowing nearly 120 points per game. Domantas Sabonis must control the boards and limit Jokic’s touches inside.
Nuggets Outlook
Denver averages 124 points per game, third in the league, while allowing just under 112. Jokic is flirting with a triple-double average again, and Jamal Murray’s scoring keeps defenses honest. The bench, anchored by Valanciunas, has been the best it’s been in years.
The interior matchup will define this one. If the Kings can’t keep Denver out of the paint, this could get lopsided early.
Injuries and Conditions
Sacramento Kings — Dennis Schröder (hip) is questionable, and Malik Monk remains out for personal reasons. Monitor their official Kings injury report
Denver Nuggets — No major injuries reported as of Monday. Check the Nuggets injury report closer to tip-off for updates.
Game will be played indoors at Ball Arena, so weather is not a factor.
Best Bets and Prediction
The Nuggets are 3-2 ATS this season and continue to dominate at home. The Kings, meanwhile, have failed to cover in four straight against Denver. Sacramento’s defense is giving up too many easy looks, and that’s a problem against a team shooting over 51% from the field.
Projected Score: Nuggets 123, Kings 109
Best Bet: Denver -12.5
Secondary Lean: Over 236.5
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