Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks Picks and Predictions April 11th 2025

Detroit Pistons vs Milwaukee Bucks April 11th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Pistons (-215) will host the Bucks (+180) in a Central Division matchup. The Pistons are currently favored by 5.5 points and the over/under line is set at 228.5.

FDSD will have the TV coverage for this game, which will be played at Little Caesars Arena in Detroit.

From Basics To Advanced Strategies, The Expert Betting Guide Has It All.

Bucks vs. Pistons Key Information

• Sport: NBA
• Teams: Milwaukee Bucks at Detroit Pistons
• Where: Detroit at Little Caesars Arena
• Date: Friday, April 11th
• Betting Odds DET -5.5, MIL +180 | DET -215 O/U 228.5

The Bucks Can Win If…

Milwaukee improved to 46-34 with a 136-111 win over the Pelicans on Thursday. The Bucks, playing at home, were favored by 16.5 points and covered the spread, while the game’s total of 247 points went over the 222.5-point line.

After trailing 26-21 after the 1st quarter, Milwaukee took control with a 41-28 2nd quarter, highlighted by an 11-0 run that pushed the score from 52-50 to 63-50. They continued to pull away, outscoring New Orleans 38-31 in the 3rd and 36-26 in the 4th.

In their win over the Pelicans, the Bucks put up 136 points, shooting 54.4% from the field and hitting 18 threes at a 40% clip. Giannis Antetokounmpo led the way with 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 5 assists, shooting 64.7% from the floor.

Kevin Porter Jr. added 20 points, 9 of which came in the 4th quarter, while Kyle Kuzma and Gary Trent each contributed 17 points. Kuzma scored 10 of his points in the 2nd quarter, and Giannis poured in 13 points in the 3rd.

The Bucks put together a solid defensive performance against the Pelicans, allowing 111 points while holding New Orleans to 42% shooting from the field. Milwaukee gave up 26 points in both the 1st and 4th quarters, with their toughest stretch coming in the 3rd, where they allowed 31 points.

From beyond the arc, the Bucks limited the Pelicans to 31% shooting, with New Orleans making 15 three-pointers. The Pelicans also went 14/19 from the free-throw line. Milwaukee finished with 13 steals and 4 blocks in the game.

• Through their last ten road games, Milwaukee has an ATS record of just 7-2-1. However, their overall record was 6-4 while averaging 114 points per game.
• Milwaukee has done well both straight up and vs the spread as the underdog, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
• Over their last three games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

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The Pistons Can Win If…

With a 115-106 win over the Knicks on Thursday, the Pistons improved to 44-36 this season. Playing at home, Detroit entered the game as -3.5 point favorites and covered the spread. The combined score of 221 points fell short of the O/U line of 229.

After trailing 35-29 at the end of the 1st quarter, the Pistons played the Knicks evenly in the 2nd quarter, with both teams scoring 27 points. Detroit took control in the 2nd half, outscoring New York 29-23 in the 3rd quarter and 30-21 in the 4th to seal the win.

Cade Cunningham led the Pistons to a win over the Knicks, scoring 36 points and dishing out 8 assists, shooting 66.7% from the field. Jalen Duren was perfect from the floor, adding 18 points and 13 rebounds, while Tobias Harris contributed 17 points, hitting 3 threes at a 60% rate.

Detroit shot 57.3% overall, but struggled from deep, making just 8 threes at a 36.4% clip. Cunningham scored 14 points in the 3rd quarter, while Ron Holland added 10 of his 13 points in the 4th.

Despite giving up 35 points in the 1st quarter, the Pistons tightened up their defense as the game went on, allowing just 21 points in the 4th to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 106 points on 46% shooting from the field.

Detroit did a solid job defending the three, holding the Knicks to 32% shooting with 11 made threes. They also sent New York to the line 14 times, where they made 11 free throws. The Pistons finished with 5 steals and 6 blocks.

• In their last five games at home, the Pistons have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 111 points per game in these contests.
• In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Pistons have a straight up record of 1-2 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
• In their last three games, the Pistons have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.

The Lean

We’re putting our money on the Pistons to win, and have the projected score sitting at 127-119. We also like them to cover the spread, so our recommendation is to bet on the Pistons at -5.5.

Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5 and given that our model is projecting 246 points between the teams, we like the over.

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Pistons, Bucks Open Crucial Two-Game Series With Playoff Seeding at Stake

The Eastern Conference playoff picture could get a major shakeup this weekend as the Detroit Pistons and Milwaukee Bucks open a two-game set with the No. 5 seed on the line.

Detroit (44-36) will host the opener Friday night, before the action shifts to Milwaukee on Sunday. If the Pistons win both, they’ll leapfrog the Bucks (46-34) for the fifth seed. If Milwaukee wins either matchup, it secures the spot and drops Detroit to No. 6.

Need a sharp edge heading into this high-stakes back-to-back? Get expert NBA picks and predictions and make smarter bets before tip-off.

The Pistons are coming off a confidence-boosting 115-106 win over the New York Knicks, a playoff-level performance that saw them dominate the second half 59-44. It was a timely reminder of what Detroit basketball looks like at its best.

“That’s Pistons basketball… We brought the fight to our type of fight. Defensively is where it always starts for us,”

– Pistons head coach J.B. Bickerstaff after Thursday’s win.

Cade Cunningham once again led the charge with 36 points, including 20 in the second half. Jalen Duren went a perfect 9-for-9 from the field, finishing with 18 points and 13 rebounds. Rookie Ronald Holland II also gave Detroit a boost off the bench, adding 13 points and two critical fourth-quarter layups.

“It was a playoff atmosphere… We’ve been doing a good job of handling adversity all year,”

– Pistons rookie Ronald Holland II on the intensity of Thursday’s win.

The Pistons will need that same energy—and then some—to overcome a Bucks team they haven’t beaten since 2018. Milwaukee has won 11 straight in the series and 23 of the last 24 overall.

The Bucks enter Friday’s game riding a six-game win streak, including a dominant 136-111 victory over the Pelicans on Thursday. Giannis Antetokounmpo posted 28 points and 11 boards in just 28 minutes, while the bench stepped up in a big way. Kevin Porter Jr. put together a complete line of 20 points, seven assists, five boards, and five steals. Gary Trent Jr. and Bobby Portis added 31 points combined.

Numbers Don’t Lie—And Neither Does The Leaderboard.

“It’s going to be a great experience… We’re going to have to match it,”

– Bucks coach Doc Rivers on the playoff-like atmosphere in Detroit.

With seeding, momentum, and bragging rights all on the line, this back-to-back could be a playoff preview—and it starts with a statement game Friday night.