Golden State Warriors vs Utah Jazz January 28th 2025
At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-552) will host the Utah Jazz (+410) in a Western Conference matchup. The over/under line for this game is currently set at 230 points.
Golden State (-11) is 11th in the Western Conference with a record of 22-23, while the Jazz are 15th in the West at 10-34. Utah is currently on a six-game losing streak.
Jazz vs. Warriors Key Information
- Sport: NBA
- Teams: Utah Jazz at Golden State Warriors
- Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
- Date: Tuesday, January 28th
- Betting Odds GS -11, UTA +410 | GS -552 O/U 230
The Jazz Can Win If…
The Jazz fell to 10-34 on the season after a 125-110 home loss to the Bucks on Monday. Utah entered the game as +8.5 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 235, just under the 239.5 O/U line.
Milwaukee took control early with a 13-0 run, stretching the score from 10-8 to 23-8. Utah couldn’t recover, despite tying the Bucks 33-33 in the 2nd quarter. The Bucks pulled away in the 3rd, outscoring the Jazz 32-21, and although Utah won the 4th quarter 30-25, they couldn’t close the gap.
In their 125-110 loss to the Bucks, the Jazz shot just 41% from the field, but connected on 18 threes at a 33.3% rate. Lauri Markkanen and Collin Sexton led the way with 19 points each, with Markkanen adding 10 points in the 1st quarter, and Sexton contributing 9 in the 2nd.
Brice Sensabaugh hit 5 threes, shooting 62.5% from deep, and finished with 17 points. Jordan Clarkson scored all 13 of his points in the 4th quarter, while Keyonte George added 7 of his 15 points in the 2nd quarter.
The Jazz struggled defensively against the Bucks, allowing 125 points on 60% shooting. They gave up 35 points in the 1st quarter and 33 in the 2nd, with Milwaukee scoring 32 in the 3rd. Utah’s best defensive effort came in the 4th, where they allowed 25 points.
Utah limited Milwaukee to 12 made threes on 35% shooting from deep. The Bucks went 9/17 from the free-throw line. The Jazz gave up 5 offensive rebounds while recording 8 steals and 1 block.
- Utah has a 0-5 record in their last five road games. In this stretch, they averaged 113 points per game while allowing 124. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- The last three games that Utah was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 0-3 straight up.
- Over their last three games, the Jazz have an over/under record of 1-2 and are 1-2 vs. the spread.
The Warriors Can Win If…
The Warriors fell to 22-23 on the season after a 118-108 home loss to the Lakers on Saturday. Golden State entered the game as +1 point underdogs and failed to cover the spread. The total points for the game were 226, exceeding the O/U line of 219.5 by 6.5 points.
Golden State trailed 27-26 after the 1st quarter and remained even in the 2nd, with both teams scoring 32 points. The Lakers pulled ahead in the 3rd, outscoring the Warriors 30-25, and extended their lead in the 4th, winning the quarter 29-25.
Andrew Wiggins led the Warriors with 20 points on 60% shooting in their 118-108 loss to the Lakers, while Brandin Podziemski also shot 60%, contributing 17 points and 3 threes at 50% from deep. Stephen Curry struggled, hitting just 23.5% from the field and 22.2% from three, finishing with 13 points and 9 assists.

Golden State made 16 threes at a 34.8% clip, shooting 46.1% overall. Podziemski scored 9 points in the 4th quarter, while Curry had 8 in the 1st. Wiggins scored 7 points in the 2nd quarter.
Defensively, the Warriors struggled against the Lakers, giving up 118 points on 54% shooting. They allowed 27 points in the 1st quarter, 32 in the 2nd, 30 in the 3rd, and 29 in the 4th.
Golden State did well in limiting the Lakers’ three-point shooting, holding them to 10 threes on 34% shooting. The Lakers also went 14/17 from the free-throw line. The Warriors gave up 10 offensive rebounds while recording 10 steals.
- When looking at their past five home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 3-2 while averaging 107 per game. The team went 2-3 overall in these games.
- As the betting favorite, the Warriors have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Golden State posted a straight up mark of 6-4 in these matchups.
- In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
The Lean
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +11, the Jazz is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 230, and our model predicts the Jazz and Warriors to score a combined 255 points. We recommend betting on the over.
Curry, Warriors Seek Redemption Against Struggling Jazz
Stephen Curry hopes to break out of his shooting funk as the Golden State Warriors welcome the Utah Jazz to San Francisco on Tuesday night.
The Warriors enter the game on shaky ground, having lost three of their past four, including Saturday’s 118-108 defeat to the Los Angeles Lakers. Curry’s recent struggles were on full display—he missed all eight of his second-half shots and finished with just 13 points on 4-for-17 shooting.
Despite being named an All-Star for the 11th time, Curry has been in a shooting slump, averaging just 16.8 points over his past four games, well below his season average of 22.3. His shooting percentages during this stretch—38.1 percent from the field and 32.4 percent from deep—are uncharacteristically low.
Curry has downplayed any injury concerns, including a sore right thumb. “It’s not an excuse for anything; you got to play through it,” Curry said.

Golden State’s Recent Edge Over Utah
The Warriors have dominated their recent matchups against the Jazz, winning six straight since December 2022. However, Curry’s performances against Utah have been inconsistent. His 23.3 career scoring average against the Jazz is his fourth-lowest against Western Conference teams, and he’s been held to 16 points or fewer in three of the last six meetings.
When the teams met earlier this season on Oct. 25, Golden State cruised to a 127-86 win in Utah. Curry scored 20 points but shot just 7-for-20 from the field and 4-for-13 from beyond the arc.
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Jazz’s Recent Struggles
The Jazz are reeling from a six-game losing streak, with their latest defeat—a 125-110 home loss to the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday night. Lauri Markkanen and Collin Sexton led Utah with 19 points each, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the Bucks.
Rookie point guard Isaiah Collier, who missed the October meeting due to a hamstring injury, has started nine of Utah’s last 11 games. During this stretch, Collier has showcased his potential, logging 20- and 23-point outings and recording two double-doubles.
On Monday, Collier contributed 12 points and eight rebounds against Milwaukee. Known for his defensive prowess, Collier has recorded steals in five consecutive games and will likely get his first shot at guarding Curry.
Jazz Chemistry and Tough Challenges
Despite their losing streak, the Jazz are working on team cohesion. A recent in-game argument between Sexton and Collier during a matchup with the Brooklyn Nets highlighted their fiery competitiveness.
“If there aren’t moments of tension in a game or practice, then we don’t care enough,” Jazz coach Will Hardy said. “That tension comes from the fact that both of those guys deeply care.”
The Jazz’s defensive focus, highlighted by Collier’s energy, will be tested against a Warriors team hungry to rebound.

What’s at Stake
Both teams are in need of a momentum shift. For Curry, Tuesday offers a chance to silence doubts and lead Golden State back on track. Meanwhile, Utah will look to snap its losing streak and spoil the Warriors’ night.
Will Curry find his rhythm, or will the Jazz’s rookie disrupt his groove? Stay tuned as the drama unfolds in San Francisco.