Indiana Pacers vs Toronto-raptors Picks and Predictions February 26th 2025

Indiana Pacers vs Toronto-Raptors February 26th 2025

At 7:00 ET, the Pacers (-430) will host the Raptors (+331) in an Eastern Conference matchup. Indiana is favored by 9.5 points and the over/under line is 236.

This game will take place at Gainbridge Fieldhouse in Indianapolis and can be seen on FDSI. Toronto is 13th in the East at 18-40, while Indiana is 4th at 32-24.

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Raptors vs. Pacers Key Information

The Raptors fell to 18-40 on the season after a 111-101 home loss to the Celtics on Tuesday. Despite being +11 point underdogs, Toronto managed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 212 points fell short of the 226.5 O/U line.

Toronto went on a 10-0 run to take the lead early, but Boston regained control. The Celtics outscored the Raptors 35-24 in the 1st quarter and maintained their lead throughout, despite a late push from Toronto, who outscored Boston 25-22 in the 4th quarter.

RJ Barrett led the Raptors with 22 points and 8 rebounds in their 111-101 loss to the Celtics, shooting 62.5% from the field. Scottie Barnes added 21 points and 6 assists, hitting 50% of his shots.

Toronto struggled from beyond the arc, making just 5 threes at a 15.2% rate, though they shot 50.6% overall. Gradey Dick contributed 12 points, including 2 threes at 28.6%.

The Raptors’ defense struggled in the 1st half, giving up 66 points, but they tightened up in the 2nd half, allowing just 23 points in the 3rd quarter and 22 in the 4th. Overall, they allowed 111 points on 47% shooting from the field.

Toronto did a good job defending the three, holding the Celtics to 15 made threes on 29% shooting. They also sent Boston to the line just 8 times. The Raptors finished with 10 steals and 1 block.

The Pacers dropped to 32-24 on the season after a 125-116 loss to the Nuggets on Monday. Indiana was +3.5 point underdogs at home but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 241 points fell short of the 246.5-point O/U line.

Indiana fell behind early, trailing 36-28 after the 1st quarter. They edged out the 2nd quarter 30-28 but were outscored 36-25 in the 3rd, leaving them down 100-83 heading into the 4th. A late push saw them win the final quarter 33-25, but it wasn’t enough to overcome the deficit.

In their 125-116 loss to the Nuggets, the Pacers shot 47.1% from the field and hit 14 threes, though they connected at just 32.6% from beyond the arc. Myles Turner led the way with 23 points, while Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam each added 19, with Haliburton also dishing out 15 assists and knocking down 5 threes at a 50% clip.

Haliburton was key in the 4th quarter, scoring 10 points, while Aaron Nesmith added 8 of his 17 points in the final frame. Siakam also contributed 7 points in the 4th, while Turner scored 5 in the quarter.

Defensively, the Pacers struggled in the 1st and 3rd quarters, giving up 36 points in each, as they allowed the Nuggets to shoot 56% from the field in Monday’s 125-116 loss. However, they tightened up in the 4th, holding Denver to 25 points.

Indiana did a solid job defending the three, limiting the Nuggets to 8 made threes on 38% shooting. They also sent Denver to the line just 14 times, where they made 11 free throws. The Pacers recorded 11 steals and 3 blocks in the game.

For a point-spread wager in this Pacers vs. Raptors game, we suggest taking the Raptors at +9.5. Even though our predictions have the Pacers winning 135-131, we see the Raptors as the better choice on the point-spread.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 236 and our model has the Raptors and Pacers finishing with a combined 266 points. Our pick is to take the over.

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Pacers Look to Close Out Homestand with Win Over Raptors

After facing tough Western Conference contenders, the Indiana Pacers will close their four-game homestand on Wednesday against the struggling Toronto Raptors.

Indiana started its home stretch strong with wins over Memphis (127-113) and the Los Angeles Clippers (129-111) but fell short against Denver on Monday. Reigning MVP Nikola Jokic’s 18-point, 19-assist performance helped the Nuggets snap the Pacers’ three-game winning streak in a 125-116 defeat.

Now, Indiana looks to rebound against a Raptors team sitting 13th in the Eastern Conference. Despite their struggles, the Raptors have posed problems for the Pacers this season, winning both prior matchups in Toronto.

“Toronto’s a big, physical team that we’ve had a lot of problems with,” Pacers coach Rick Carlisle said.

Raptors Have Had Indiana’s Number

Toronto won the previous two meetings, taking a 130-119 victory in November and a 122-111 win in December. RJ Barrett was a key factor in both games, scoring 39 and 29 points, respectively, while Scottie Barnes put up 35 points in the December matchup.

Barrett enters Wednesday’s game on a five-game streak of scoring at least 20 points. He is averaging 21.9 points per game, though he struggled from deep against Boston on Tuesday, going 1-for-5 from three-point range in a 111-101 loss.

“Sometimes you make shots, sometimes you don’t,” Barrett said. “They just didn’t drop today. I think even with that, we still played hard, and we still played well.”

Toronto has dropped seven of its last nine games, though it picked up a 127-109 win over Phoenix on Sunday and pushed Miami to overtime in a 120-111 loss on Friday.

The Raptors have been without Jakob Poeltl, a key presence inside. Poeltl, who has been sidelined since Feb. 4 with a hip injury, is reportedly close to returning, according to coach Darko Rajakovic. In his absence, rookie Jonathan Mogbo has filled in, starting his fifth game on Tuesday, contributing four points, four rebounds, two steals, and two assists.

Siakam, Haliburton Lead Indiana

Former Raptor Pascal Siakam has been leading Indiana’s frontcourt effort, averaging a team-high 20.4 points and 7.3 rebounds per game. He finished with 19 points and nine rebounds against Denver after recording a double-double (12 points, 12 rebounds) versus the Clippers.

Siakam emphasized the need for Indiana to clean up its mistakes after an uncharacteristic 18-turnover performance against Denver.

“That’s not us. We’ve got to fix it,” Siakam said.

Indiana is typically careful with the ball, ranking fifth in the NBA in turnovers per game at 13.4. Tyrese Haliburton’s steady play has been a major factor, as he averages 8.7 assists per game while keeping his turnovers low at 1.8 per contest, down from 2.3 last season.

Playoff Push Intensifies

With the Pacers looking to solidify their playoff position and the Raptors trying to stay competitive, this matchup carries weight in the Eastern Conference race. Indiana hopes to protect home court and end the homestand on a high note, while Toronto aims to end its losing trend.

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