Denver Nuggets vs New York Knicks Picks and Predictions November 25th 2024

Nuggets vs Knicks NBA Mon, Nov 25, 21:00 pm.
Nuggets
ML: -160
0
0
Knicks
ML: 135
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At 9:00 ET, the New York Knicks will travel to take on the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena. The Knicks are 9-7 on the season and are currently 4th in the Eastern Conference. They are 4-point underdogs against the Nuggets, who are 9-6 and 6th in the Western Conference.

This non-conference matchup can be seen on ALT.

Knicks vs. Nuggets Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: New York Knicks at Denver Nuggets
  • Where: Denver at Ball Arena
  • Date: Monday, November 25th
  • Betting Odds DEN -4, NY +145 | DEN -172 O/U 231

The Knicks Can Win If…

The Knicks fell to 9-7 on the season after a 121-106 road loss to the Jazz on Saturday. New York, favored by 8.5 points, not only lost but failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 227 points came in under the 233.5-point line.

New York went on a 10-0 run early, extending their lead from 24-14 to 34-14. However, the Jazz responded by outscoring the Knicks 38-23 in the 2nd quarter. New York fought back in the 3rd, winning the quarter 27-21, but Utah pulled away in the 4th, outscoring the Knicks 34-28.

In their 121-106 loss to the Jazz, the Knicks shot just 39% from the field. Their three-point shooting was below average at 33.3%, but they did manage to hit 17 threes.

OG Anunoby led the way with 27 points, connecting on 7 threes at a 58.3% rate. Jalen Brunson added 23 points, while Josh Hart contributed 17 points and 6 rebounds.

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The Knicks struggled defensively in the 2nd and 4th quarters, giving up 38 and 34 points, respectively, in their 121-106 loss to the Jazz. Despite a solid 3rd quarter where they allowed just 21 points, New York couldn’t contain Utah’s offense, which shot 50% from the field.

New York had trouble defending the perimeter, as the Jazz hit 19 threes at a 55% clip. The Knicks sent Utah to the line 19 times, with the Jazz converting 14 free throws. Defensively, the Knicks finished with 10 steals and 10 blocks.

  • In their last three road games, New York has averaged 118 points per game while allowing 114. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
  • Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, New York has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
  • Over their last three games, the Knicks have an over/under record of 2-1 and are 2-1 vs. the spread.

The Nuggets Can Win If…

The Nuggets improved to 9-6 after a 127-102 road win over the Lakers on Saturday. Denver, who entered the game as +3.5 point underdogs, not only won but covered the spread with a +25 point margin. The total points for the game were 229, falling short of the 235.5 O/U line.

After the Lakers went on a 12-0 run in the 2nd quarter, Denver responded by holding them to just 15 points in the 3rd while scoring 37. They carried a 94-78 lead into the 4th and finished strong, outscoring the Lakers 33-24 in the final period.

The Nuggets shot 61% from the field and hit 16 threes at a 50% clip in their 127-102 win over the Lakers. Nikola Jokic led the way with 34 points, 13 rebounds, and 8 assists, while Michael Porter Jr. added 24 points and 11 boards, hitting 4 threes at 57.1%.

Christian Braun was perfect from the field, scoring 16 points and making 2 threes. He scored 10 of his points in the opening quarter, while Jokic added 11 in the first.

Despite a rough 2nd quarter, the Nuggets’ defense held strong in the 3rd, allowing just 15 points to help secure a 127-102 win over the Lakers. Denver gave up 102 points on 44% shooting from the field.

The Nuggets limited the Lakers to 13 made threes on 36% shooting from beyond the arc. Denver also sent Los Angeles to the free-throw line 14 times, where they made 11. The Nuggets finished with 40 defensive rebounds, allowed 6 offensive boards, and recorded 7 steals.

  • Across their last five home contests, Denver has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 2-3, while averaging 109 points per game.
  • Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-7-1.
  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 5-0 and are 2-2-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Knicks come in as the underdog at +4, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 231, and our model predicts the Knicks and Nuggets to score a combined 230 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Knicks Trying to Shore Up Defense With Nuggets on Tap

The New York Knicks started their five-game road trip on a high note but now face a tall task as they visit the Denver Nuggets on Monday. After their four-game winning streak was snapped in a disappointing 121-106 loss to the Utah Jazz on Saturday, the Knicks are looking to tighten up their defense and regain momentum.

Defensive Struggles Plague Knicks

New York’s defense has been inconsistent this season, a trend that continued against Utah. The Jazz built a 19-point lead that the Knicks couldn’t fully erase, despite a late surge. Guard/forward Josh Hart emphasized the need for improvement on the defensive end.

“We’ve been struggling on the defensive side for the whole season,” Hart said. “When you’re not making shots and you’re not playing well defensively, that’s a recipe for disaster. We’ve got to figure it out on the defensive end.”

The Knicks will need a quick turnaround as they face Denver, a team that ranks fifth in the NBA in scoring at 117.5 points per game. Reigning MVP Nikola Jokic leads the charge for the Nuggets, averaging 27.1 points, 13.9 rebounds (first in the NBA), and 11.3 assists (second).

Offensive Adjustments Needed

While defense remains a concern, New York’s offensive woes were also evident against the Jazz. The Knicks struggled to find consistency from the field, a challenge that coach Tom Thibodeau knows they must overcome.

“There’s going to be nights that you don’t shoot it great,” Thibodeau said. “What you can’t do, you can’t allow missed shots to take away from the energy that you need from your defense. You have to win games different ways.”

Karl-Anthony Towns, who recently joined the Knicks and is familiar with Denver from his years with the Timberwolves, will play a key role in trying to contain Jokic. His performance on both ends of the floor will be crucial in this matchup.

Nuggets Riding Momentum After Milestone Win

Denver is coming off a back-to-back set that saw mixed results. After a disappointing 123-120 loss to the Dallas Mavericks on Friday in an NBA Cup game, the Nuggets responded with a dominant 127-102 road victory over the Los Angeles Lakers on Saturday. The win marked coach Michael Malone’s 433rd career victory, setting a franchise record.

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Despite missing Aaron Gordon for the past three weeks, the Nuggets have maintained their offensive rhythm. Forward Peyton Watson has stepped into a starting role and impressed with his defensive presence, averaging 1.1 blocks per game. Watson credited Jokic for helping him find opportunities offensively.

“Being able to play with one of the best players to ever pick up a basketball, he demands a lot of attention and I get some looks at the rim in the halfcourt,” Watson said. “In transition, it’s all about being confident, attacking the rim with conviction and just trying to get two points down every time.”

The Matchup

The Knicks will need a well-rounded effort to overcome the Nuggets’ potent offense and Jokic’s all-around dominance. For New York, this game offers an opportunity to reset after Saturday’s disappointment and prove they can compete with one of the league’s best teams. Denver, meanwhile, will look to continue its winning ways at home and capitalize on New York’s defensive struggles.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sun, Nov 24, 17:43 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Nuggets
-3
-105
-160
O 233
-110
Knicks
+3
-115
135
U 233
-110
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