Golden State Warriors vs Brooklyn Nets Picks and Predictions November 25th 2024

Warriors vs Nets NBA Mon, Nov 25, 22:00 pm.
Warriors
ML: -760
0
0
Nets
ML: 530
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At 10:00 ET, the Golden State Warriors (-795) will host the Brooklyn Nets (+552) at Chase Center in San Francisco. The over/under line for this non-conference matchup is currently sitting at 222.5 points.

Golden State is currently 12-4 and sits in 1st place in the Western Conference, while Brooklyn is 7-10 and sits in 9th place in the Eastern Conference. NBCS will broadcast the game.

Nets vs. Warriors Key Information

  • Sport: NBA
  • Teams: Brooklyn Nets at Golden State Warriors
  • Where: San Francisco at Chase Center
  • Date: Monday, November 25th
  • Betting Odds GS -12.5, BKN +552 | GS -795 O/U 222.5

The Nets Can Win If…

Brooklyn improved to 7-10 on the season with a 108-103 win over the Kings on Sunday. The Nets, who were +5 point underdogs on the road, not only pulled off the upset but also covered the spread. The game’s total of 211 points fell short of the 223.5 O/U line.

Brooklyn jumped out to a 37-28 lead after the 1st quarter, but the Kings outscored them 31-23 in the 3rd to tie the game at 88 heading into the 4th. The Nets clamped down defensively in the final period, holding Sacramento to just 15 points while scoring 20 to secure the win.

Cam Thomas led the way with 34 points and 6 assists in the Nets’ 108-103 win over the Kings, shooting 50% from the field and hitting 4 threes. Noah Clowney added 18 points, knocking down 5 threes at a 62.5% rate, while Cameron Johnson contributed 16 points and 6 rebounds, connecting on 3 threes at 50% efficiency.

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Brooklyn made 19 threes as a team, shooting 48.7% from beyond the arc and 48% overall. Thomas scored 15 points in the 1st quarter and added 9 more in the 4th, while Clowney put up 11 points in the 2nd quarter.

Despite allowing 31 points in the 3rd quarter, the Nets’ defense locked down in the 4th, giving up just 15 points to secure the win. Overall, they allowed 103 points on 48% shooting from the field.

Brooklyn did a solid job defending the three, holding the Kings to 9 made threes on 36% shooting. The Nets also sent Sacramento to the line 31 times, where they made 20 free throws. Brooklyn finished with 7 steals and 5 blocks.

  • In their last three games away from home, the Nets have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 1-2 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 103 points per game in these contests.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Nets have a straight up record of 1-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.
  • Over their last five games, the Nets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.

The Warriors Can Win If…

The Warriors fell to 12-4 on the season after a 104-94 loss to the Spurs on Saturday. Golden State, favored by 3.5 points, not only lost but also failed to cover the spread. The game’s total of 198 points was well below the 229.5-point line.

Golden State started strong, going on an 11-0 run early and leading 29-17 after the 1st quarter. They maintained a 10-point lead heading into the 4th quarter, but a disastrous final period saw them outscored 33-13 by the Spurs.

In Saturday’s loss to the Spurs, the Warriors managed just 94 points, shooting 37.9% from the field and 31.8% from three-point range. Andrew Wiggins led the way with 20 points, hitting 4 threes at 40% efficiency, while Stephen Curry added 14 points, shooting 31.2% overall and 30% from deep.

Wiggins scored 10 of his 20 points in the 1st quarter, while Curry contributed 6 points in the 4th. Trayce Jackson-Davis finished with 12 points, scoring 6 in the 3rd quarter, and both Buddy Hield and Lindy Waters added 11 points, with Waters also scoring 6 in the 3rd.

Despite a strong defensive start, the Warriors couldn’t hold off the Spurs, allowing 33 points in both the 3rd and 4th quarters in a 104-94 loss. Golden State held San Antonio to 44% shooting overall, including just 27% from three-point range, with the Spurs making 13 threes.

The Warriors sent the Spurs to the line 19 times, where they converted 15 free throws. Golden State gave up 9 offensive rebounds while recording 4 steals and 3 blocks.

  • When looking at their past ten home matchups, Golden State has an ATS record of 6-4 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 7-3 overall in these games.
  • Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Warriors have gone 5-5 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.

The Lean

The Warriors is our pick to not only win with a projected score of 118-87. But we also favor them to cover the spread. Our bet is on the Warriors at -12.5.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 222.5, and our model predicts the Nets and Warriors to score a combined 205 points. We recommend betting on the under.

Bench Play Could Be Key for Nets Against Warriors

The Brooklyn Nets aim to capitalize on the momentum of their bench’s standout performance when they visit the Golden State Warriors on Monday night in San Francisco.

Brooklyn opened its three-game Western swing with a gritty 108-103 win over the Sacramento Kings on Sunday, thanks largely to a 44-point contribution from its reserves. Noah Clowney led the charge with 18 points, including five 3-pointers, while Shake Milton added 10 points off the bench. Jalen Wilson and Keon Johnson chipped in seven and six points, respectively, providing critical support.

The Nets’ bench outscored Sacramento’s backups 44-9, a stat that proved decisive in the tightly contested game.

“We’re gonna pick up and guard; we’re gonna ball-pressure. We’re gonna shoot threes and we’re gonna run,” Nets starter Cameron Johnson said of the team’s identity under new coach Jordi Fernandez. “We’ve done a good job of that so far. Not perfect. Room for improvement. But I’m excited about the direction this team is headed.”

The Nets have shown resilience, bouncing back from a challenging start to the season to win two of their last three games. Their ability to maintain energy on the second night of a back-to-back will be tested against the Warriors, who have been dominant at home.

Warriors Riding Strong Home Form

Golden State has won five consecutive games at home, including victories over the Dallas Mavericks and Memphis Grizzlies that secured their place in the Western Conference semifinals of the NBA Cup. However, the Warriors are coming off a 104-94 road loss to the San Antonio Spurs on Saturday.

Despite the setback, coach Steve Kerr remains optimistic about the team’s early-season success.

“Keep on keeping on. You move forward,” Kerr said. “It’s been a great start to the season. Disappointing loss. You learn from it.”

The Warriors have leaned heavily on Andrew Wiggins in recent games, with the forward scoring 20 or more points in four straight outings while shooting an impressive 57.6 percent from the field. Stephen Curry, meanwhile, has seen his scoring output dip, averaging just 20.5 points over the last four games, including a 14-point performance against San Antonio.

Series History and Key Matchup

Brooklyn and Golden State have traded season sweeps in recent years. The Nets claimed both matchups in 2022-23, while the Warriors returned the favor last season. Monday’s game marks the first meeting between the two this season, and the outcome could set the tone for their second clash later in the year.

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The last time these teams met in San Francisco, Cam Thomas erupted for 41 points, while Curry countered with 37. The Warriors’ bench played a pivotal role in that game, outscoring Brooklyn’s reserves 30-13.

With Brooklyn’s bench now firing on all cylinders and Golden State’s reserves continuing to play a key role, the battle of the backups could once again decide the outcome.

What’s at Stake

The Warriors will look to maintain their stronghold atop the West Group C standings and continue their dominance at home. The Nets, on the other hand, hope to sustain their recent momentum and showcase their depth as they take on one of the league’s premier teams.

WinningCappers, The most trusted name in sports handicapping
Sun, Nov 24, 17:43 pm.
spread
moneyline
over/under
Warriors
-12.5
-110
-760
O 223.5
-110
Nets
+12.5
-110
530
U 223.5
-110
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