2024-25 NCAA Football Championship Odds and Predictions

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We’ve just passed the halfway mark of the 2024-25 College Football season, and it has been a thrilling ride so far. There have been a handful of surprises over the first half of the season, and we’re certain there will be a few more, especially with Conference schedules getting more difficult.

As of this writing, the biggest surprises have been Alabama’s loss to Vanderbilt, the ascension of Boise State running back Ashton Jeanty to become the leading Heisman Trophy candidate, and the downfall of the Florida State Seminoles. None of those scenarios were predicted before the season started.

We’ve seen Georgia and Alabama play in Week 5, with the Crimson Tide winning. We’ll now witness a potential National Title preview as the Bulldogs face the Texas Longhorns in Week 8.

We also saw the emergence of the Oregon Ducks in their first season in the Big Ten as they defeated the Conference favorite Ohio State Buckeyes in Week 7.

With that said, there are still plenty of questions that need to be answered over the second half of the season:

  • Who wins the 2024-25 National Championship?
  • Who wins the SEC?
  • Are the Penn State Nittany Lions for real?
  • Can the Clemson Tigers make a run at another National Title?

College Football Championship Odds to Win

Check out the latest College Football Championship odds, courtesy of Scores and Stats:

TeamsOpening OddsOctober Odds
Texas Longhorns+750+400
Georgia Bulldogs+325+450
Oregon Ducks+750+500
Alabama Crimson Tide+1200+800
Penn State Nittany Lions+3300+1200
Clemson Tigers+4000+1400
Miami Hurricanes+2800+1600
Tennessee Volunteers+4000+1800
LSU Tigers+1800+3300
Ole Miss Rebels+2000+3300

The biggest risers from opening odds until the midway point are the Tennessee Volunteers, Penn State Nittany Lions and Clemson Tigers. All three teams have seen their odds increase by over +2000.

Despite losing to Vandy, the Crimson Tide have actually seen their odds improve to +800 from an opening line of +1200 odds. The biggest drop was with the Florida State Seminoles as they’re no longer even on the boards. LSU has also fallen from +1800 to +3300 after the first half of the season.

2024-25 College Football Championship Favorites

The following NCAAF teams are considered the odds-on favorites to win the 2024-25 College Football Championship according to the top sportsbooks and handicappers:

Texas Longhorns (+400)

The Texas Longhorns have risen to the top of the rankings as we transition into Halloween and the rest of the Holiday season.

They’ve put together some impressive victories on the year so far. Texas went into Michigan and smashed the Wolverines 31-12. They also destroyed their rival Oklahoma Sooners by the score of 34-3.

The Longhorns are the most complete team in the Nation up to this point. They have the 7th highest scoring offense at 43.2 ppg and the #1 scoring defense that allows just 6.3 ppg. A looming matchup against Georgia will show us just how legit Texas really is.

Georgia Bulldogs (+450)

Speaking of Georgia, many pundits were ready to crown the Bulldogs with another National Title this year. I was not one of them.

A loss to Alabama in Week 5 really dampened the hopes of Georgia as being the best team. Sure, there’s time to turn things around and regroup for a run at the Championship. Yet, a second loss on the year could crush this team’s chances of even making the Playoffs.

For the Bulldogs to have any shot at another National Title, they will need to find more of a running game as they currently rank 92nd in the country. In previous title runs, they had a strong rushing attack.

Oregon Ducks (+500)

Raise your hand if you thought that the Oregon Ducks would be this good. I certainly didn’t think so after all the talent they lost to the NFL Draft this year. Additionally, they did not look like a good team over the first two weeks of the season where they barely beat Idaho and got lucky to beat Boise State.

With that said, Dillon Gabriel has been a revelation for the Ducks as he leads the #15 ranked passing offense. Their 32-31 win over Ohio State showed everyone that the Ducks are for real.

If they can get by the Wolverines in Michigan, this team looks poised to secure a CFP spot and possibly even the Big Ten title.

Alabama Crimson Tide (+800)

Alabama is a perennial contender for the National Title. And, before the season, I would’ve put them as the #3 team in the country behind Texas and Georgia. However, after losing to Vanderbilt, and barely beating South Carolina, I don’t see the Crimson Tide being a real threat to win the Championship this year.

In fact, I would avoid betting on Alabama and these odds. They’re far too overvalued for a team that clearly has focus issues and doesn’t have the defensive quality that it’s had in previous years. A Crimson Tide team giving up 20.8 ppg is one that I can’t back for a National Title.

Penn State Nittany Lions (+1200)

As a Penn State fan, and alum, I absolutely love seeing the Nittany Lions ranked third in the country as of this writing. However, I can admit that this team has had an easy schedule so far. Outside of Illinois and USC, PSU hasn’t played any credible opponent.

They still have games against Wisconsin, Minnesota and Washington that could boost their resume. But the big showdown is against a beatable Ohio State.

If the Nittany Lions can defeat the Buckeyes, then we’re looking at a real National Title contender. However, if they lose to Ohio State, then it’s more of the same from Franklin and company.

On a side note, Tyler Warren is an absolute stud. This kid is going to the NFL and should be a focus of the Penn State offense on a weekly basis from here on out.

The Best College Football Championship Betting Value

Don’t look now, but the Miami Hurricanes (+1600) are creeping up the rankings and look poised to go undefeated this regular season. With teams like Florida and Florida State taking a massive step back this year, the Hurricanes don’t really have anyone on their schedule that could beat them.

However, that doesn’t mean they’re unbeatable. In fact, we saw the Hurricanes almost lose to both Cal and Virginia Tech.

Miami has the #1 passing offense and the #1 scoring offense in the nation as of this writing. Additionally, their defense is only allowing 18.8 ppg. This team looks solid on both sides of the ball.

More than likely, we’re looking at a Clemson vs. Miami ACC showdown for the Conference Title at the end of the regular season. This will show us which of these two ACC teams is the real contender.

Top College Football Championship Longshot

Ole Miss Rebels (+3300) are my longshot bet. Ultimately, the National Title will come down to the top teams like Texas, Georgia, Oregon and Ohio State. However, if anyone can get into the CFP and surprise teams, it’s Ole Miss.

They’re 3rd in the country with 360.1 passing yards. Additionally, they’re 11th in scoring (41.4 ppg) and they put up 200 rushing yards per game. Additionally, the defense is allowing just 10.6 ppg, which is third best in the country.

I’m sure this longshot bet will change a few times, but Ole Miss has certainly created some waves in the SEC and they could pull off a few more surprises before the season is done.

2024-25 College Football National Championship Prediction

Before the season started, I picked the Texas Longhorns to win the National Championship. After they beat Michigan, I felt even more confident in my pick. Crushing the Sooners was also a nice touch to an impressive first half of the season.

With that said, for the Longhorns to continue as the odds-on favorite, and as my choice to win it all, they’re going to need to win the SEC and beat Georgia at least once.

I think they can accomplish both. It doesn’t matter who is playing QB, whether it’s Ewers or Manning, because both are high-level quarterbacks. Additionally, there’s so much talent on both sides of the ball that this Longhorns team is a nightmare for anyone to match up with.

Bet: Texas Longhorns (+400)

Recent NCAAF National Title Winners

YearChampionConference
2023-24Michigan WolverinesBig Ten
2022-23Georgia BulldogsSEC
2021-22Georgia BulldogsSEC
2020-21Alabama Crimson TideSEC
2019-20LSU TigersSEC
2018-19Clemson TigersACC
2017-18Alabama Crimson TideSEC
2016-17Clemson TigersACC
2015-16Alabama Crimson TideSEC
2014-15Ohio State BuckeyesBig Ten