Calgary Flames vs Toronto Maple Leafs February 4th 2025
The Maple Leafs and Flames are set to face off at 9:00 ET on ESPN+. The Flames will host the game at Scotiabank Saddledome in Calgary, AB. The Maple Leafs are the -1.5 goal favorites in this non-conference matchup against Flames. The over/under for the game is set at 5.5 goals.
Toronto vs. Calgary Key Information
- Teams: Maple Leafs at Flames
- Where: Scotiabank Saddledome Calgary
- Date: Tuesday, February 4th
- Betting Odds TOR -147 | CGY +124 O/U 5.5
Sign Up Here!
The Maple Leafs Can Win If…
After a 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild, the Maple Leafs now stand at 31-19-2. Toronto’s defense allowed the first goal at 9:41 in the first period, but William Nylander tied it up with just 52 seconds left in the period. The game remained scoreless until the Wild netted the winner 2:14 into overtime.
The total for the game was set at 6 goals, but the teams combined for just 3. As underdogs on the puck line, the Maple Leafs failed to cover. Toronto’s lone goal came on the power play, with assists from Auston Matthews and Mitchell Marner.
Toronto managed 28 shots on goal but only found the net once in their 2-1 overtime loss to the Wild. William Nylander scored his 9th goal of the season on a power play, with Auston Matthews picking up his 6th assist and Mitchell Marner his 12th.
The Leafs had 10 giveaways and were held scoreless after Nylander’s goal at 19:08 in the first period. They were blanked in the second and third periods, as well as in overtime.
Defensively, the Maple Leafs will look to bounce back after allowing the game-winning goal just 2:14 into overtime in their previous matchup against the Wild. Anthony Stolarz made 31 saves with a 93.9% save percentage, and the defense added 2 takeaways and 30 hits.
- Through their last three regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 1-2. Against the spread, Toronto went 1-2 in these games and finished with an over-under mark of 1-2.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Toronto has a record of 4-6. In these matchups, they ended with an puck line record of 4-6 and an over-under mark of 5-5.
The Flames Can Win If…
Calgary’s 4-2 loss to the Oilers dropped their record to 26-19-7. The Flames trailed early, giving up a goal just 20 seconds into the first period. Calgary managed to tie the game in the third, but the Oilers pulled away with two more goals, including an empty-netter.
The total for the game was set at 6.5 goals, but the combined score of 6 fell just short. Calgary, as the underdog on the puck line, failed to cover. They scored their first goal at 15:27 in the second period, and their second at 15:32 in the third.
The Flames took 31 shots on goal but only managed to score twice in their 4-2 loss to Edmonton. Anthony Mantha netted his fourth goal of the season on a power play, while Yegor Sharangovich added his first goal of the year in the third period.
Calgary was held scoreless in the first period before Mantha’s goal at 15:27 in the second. The Flames tied the game 2-2 when Sharangovich scored at 15:32 in the third period. Calgary recorded 22 giveaways in the game.
Calgary’s defense gave up the first two goals of the game, both in the first period, and two more in the third. The first came just 20 seconds into the game, and the second came at 11:48 in the first period. After the Flames tied it at 2-2, they gave up a power-play goal at 9:50 in the third and an empty-netter with three seconds left. Goalie Dan Vladar made 27 saves with a 90% save percentage.
- Over their last three games, the Flames have gone 2-1 straight up. Against the spread, the team is 2-1 in these same games while going 0-3 on the over/under.
- Through their last ten regular season contests, Calgary has a record of 5-5. This includes going 6-4 vs. the puck line along with an over-under mark of 3-7.
The Lean
If you’re looking for a moneyline pick, my choice is the Flames to take down the Maple Leafs at home. With the moneyline currently at +124, I’m placing my bet on the Flames straight-up.
If you’re looking to get a bet down on this matchup, we foresee the Flames winning the underdog. However, if you’re not as confident in the Flames straight-up, we’d still recommend placing a bet on them to cover the puck line.
With an over/under line sitting at 5.5 goals, we like this game to surpass that mark and recommend getting a bet down on the over.
Daily NHL Picks & Predictions
Resilient Flames Set to Challenge Unpredictable Maple Leafs in High-Stakes Matchup
The Calgary Flames return home on Tuesday to face the Toronto Maple Leafs in a crucial matchup, with both teams aiming to build momentum after nail-biting victories. The Flames edged out the Seattle Kraken 3-2 on Sunday, while the Maple Leafs escaped Edmonton with a 4-3 win on Saturday.
This showdown comes at a pivotal moment in the season, with Calgary fighting to solidify a playoff spot and Toronto looking to regain consistency in the Eastern Conference race.
Flames Show Resilience Despite Grueling Schedule
Calgary’s latest win showcased their ability to battle through adversity. After falling 3-1 to the Detroit Red Wings at home on Saturday night, the team faced a tight turnaround, arriving in Seattle at 3 a.m. on Sunday. Despite fatigue, they secured a hard-fought victory.
“That was a tough back-to-back, a tough turnaround,” said forward Morgan Frost, who scored his first goal for the Flames since being acquired from Philadelphia. “But it kind of shows the resiliency this group has.”
The Flames capitalized on early opportunities, scoring twice on the power play in the first period. Although Seattle controlled play in the latter stages, Calgary’s defensive effort and timely goaltending ensured they held on.
Head coach Ryan Huska praised the team’s ability to push through challenges.
“Of course, we took water on as it went on, but we’ve had a tough stretch of games as well with some travel issues,” Huska said. “So I’m really, really pleased.”
Huberdeau Leading the Charge
A major factor in Calgary’s recent success has been the resurgence of Jonathan Huberdeau, who notched his 20th goal of the season on Sunday.
“Been around the net more this year, so been fortunate to get some bounces,” Huberdeau said. “Hopefully can keep going, can have some more.”
The Flames now hold the Western Conference’s second wild-card spot, sitting just one point behind the Los Angeles Kings for third in the Pacific Division. For a team that many expected to struggle, Calgary has exceeded expectations.
Maple Leafs Seek Stability After Recent Slump
Toronto enters Tuesday’s contest looking to string together consecutive wins after snapping a three-game losing streak against the Oilers. The victory wasn’t without its tense moments, as the Leafs built a 4-1 lead before relying on goaltender Joseph Woll’s 45 saves to survive a late push from Edmonton.
Head coach Craig Berube acknowledged his team’s effort but emphasized the need for more consistency.
“I’m not critiquing the wins, because a win’s a win, but I think we could have pushed a little bit more on them,” Berube said. “Woll was great, guys battled, it was a battle, playoff-type game.”
Toronto’s offensive struggles had been a concern during their losing streak, as they managed just one goal in each of their previous three games. However, the Leafs matched that total just 12:50 into the first period against Edmonton, a sign of renewed offensive energy.
Forward Matthew Knies, returning from an upper-body injury, played a key role by scoring the team’s second goal.
“I was looking to get that jump back, get in a rhythm, and this was a step in the right direction,” Knies said.
Defensive Concerns Linger
While Woll’s performance was encouraging, Toronto’s defense remains a question mark. The team may be without veteran blueliner Oliver Ekman-Larsson, who missed practice on Monday due to a lower-body injury and is listed as day-to-day.
Adding to the urgency, the Leafs sit just four points ahead of the Ottawa Senators in the Atlantic Division standings. A loss could allow teams behind them to close the gap.
Key Storylines to Watch in Tuesday’s Matchup
✅ Goaltending Battle – Can Woll deliver another standout performance, or will Calgary’s offense, led by Huberdeau, find ways to exploit Toronto’s defensive gaps?
✅ Special Teams Execution – Calgary’s power play was the difference-maker against Seattle. Toronto will need to stay disciplined to avoid giving the Flames extra chances.
✅ Pace of Play – The Flames thrive on high-energy efforts, while Toronto has struggled to close out games. Can the Leafs dictate the tempo and avoid another late-game collapse?
With playoff positioning at stake for both teams, expect an intense, fast-paced clash at Scotiabank Saddledome. Will Calgary’s resilience continue to shine, or can Toronto stabilize and take control? The answer unfolds Tuesday night.