Skip to content
Scores&Stats
ES
MLB
XFacebookWhatsAppTelegramRedditEmail

Seattle Mariners

MLB16 predictions

The Mariners were the moneyline favorite in 123 games in 2026 and went 62-61 in them. One unit on Seattle in every game lost 27.55, the worst return of all 30 MLB teams.

Favored, and still last

Seattle went 76-86 in the 2026 regular season. As favorites they won 62 and lost 61, and backing them in those 123 games lost 18.58 units. No team lost more as a favorite.

Most of the loss came at ordinary prices: at longer than -200 they went 59-58 and lost 16.97. Six games were priced at -200 or shorter; they split them 3-3 and lost 1.61. The three losses came on consecutive days at home to the Athletics, 3 to 5 September, at -223, -250 and -249.

As underdogs they were 14-25 in 39 games, another 8.98 units down.

One unit on the Mariners to win, every game0-25-20-15-10-5-27.55 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 162 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Seven months, seven losses

No month paid. March went 3-3 and lost 0.79 units, and every month after it lost too: April 4.38, May 2.02, June 4.57, July 7.11, August 5.46 and September 3.22.

The Mariners 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 v Cleveland Guardians 4-62026-03-27 v Cleveland Guardians 5-12026-03-28 v Cleveland Guardians 5-62026-03-29 v Cleveland Guardians 8-02026-03-30 v New York Yankees 2-12026-03-31 v New York Yankees 0-52026-04-01 v New York Yankees 3-52026-04-03 at Los Angeles Angels 3-12026-04-04 at Los Angeles Angels 0-12026-04-05 at Los Angeles Angels 7-82026-04-06 at Texas Rangers 1-22026-04-07 at Texas Rangers 2-32026-04-08 at Texas Rangers 0-32026-04-10 v Houston Astros 9-62026-04-11 v Houston Astros 8-72026-04-12 v Houston Astros 6-12026-04-13 v Houston Astros 6-22026-04-14 at San Diego Padres 1-42026-04-15 at San Diego Padres 6-72026-04-16 at San Diego Padres 2-52026-04-17 v Texas Rangers 0-52026-04-18 v Texas Rangers 7-32026-04-19 v Texas Rangers 5-22026-04-20 v Athletics 4-62026-04-21 v Athletics 2-52026-04-22 v Athletics 5-42026-04-24 at St. Louis Cardinals 3-22026-04-25 at St. Louis Cardinals 11-92026-04-26 at St. Louis Cardinals 3-22026-04-27 at Minnesota Twins 4-112026-04-28 at Minnesota Twins 7-12026-04-29 at Minnesota Twins 5-32026-05-01 v Kansas City Royals 6-72026-05-02 v Kansas City Royals 2-32026-05-03 v Kansas City Royals 1-42026-05-04 v Atlanta Braves 5-42026-05-05 v Atlanta Braves 2-32026-05-06 v Atlanta Braves 3-12026-05-08 at Chicago White Sox 12-82026-05-09 at Chicago White Sox 1-62026-05-10 at Chicago White Sox 1-22026-05-11 at Houston Astros 3-12026-05-12 at Houston Astros 10-22026-05-13 at Houston Astros 3-42026-05-14 at Houston Astros 8-32026-05-15 v San Diego Padres 0-22026-05-16 v San Diego Padres 4-72026-05-17 v San Diego Padres 3-82026-05-18 v Chicago White Sox 6-12026-05-19 v Chicago White Sox 1-22026-05-20 v Chicago White Sox 5-42026-05-22 at Kansas City Royals 2-02026-05-23 at Kansas City Royals 0-52026-05-24 at Kansas City Royals 6-82026-05-25 at Athletics 9-22026-05-26 at Athletics 4-12026-05-27 at Athletics 9-12026-05-29 v Arizona Diamondbacks 7-62026-05-30 v Arizona Diamondbacks 5-12026-05-31 v Arizona Diamondbacks 3-22026-06-01 v New York Mets 3-22026-06-02 v New York Mets 8-32026-06-03 v New York Mets 1-72026-06-05 at Detroit Tigers 3-72026-06-06 at Detroit Tigers 4-02026-06-07 at Detroit Tigers 4-52026-06-08 at Baltimore Orioles 6-32026-06-09 at Baltimore Orioles 6-52026-06-10 at Baltimore Orioles 2-72026-06-11 at Baltimore Orioles 5-72026-06-12 at Washington Nationals 10-22026-06-13 at Washington Nationals 3-82026-06-14 at Washington Nationals 1-102026-06-16 v Baltimore Orioles 3-12026-06-17 v Baltimore Orioles 3-52026-06-18 v Baltimore Orioles 3-02026-06-19 v Boston Red Sox 2-62026-06-20 v Boston Red Sox 1-52026-06-21 v Boston Red Sox 3-12026-06-23 at Pittsburgh Pirates 3-22026-06-24 at Pittsburgh Pirates 1-112026-06-25 at Pittsburgh Pirates 1-52026-06-26 at Cleveland Guardians 3-12026-06-27 at Cleveland Guardians 3-42026-06-28 at Cleveland Guardians 5-62026-06-29 v Los Angeles Angels 6-22026-06-30 v Los Angeles Angels 8-32026-07-02 v Los Angeles Angels 1-02026-07-03 v Toronto Blue Jays 0-22026-07-04 v Toronto Blue Jays 11-02026-07-05 v Toronto Blue Jays 4-02026-07-07 at Miami Marlins 5-62026-07-08 at Miami Marlins 0-22026-07-09 at Miami Marlins 4-82026-07-10 at Tampa Bay Rays 2-72026-07-11 at Tampa Bay Rays 1-62026-07-12 at Tampa Bay Rays 8-22026-07-17 v San Francisco Giants 0-72026-07-18 v San Francisco Giants 4-32026-07-19 v San Francisco Giants 6-32026-07-20 v Cincinnati Reds 8-02026-07-21 v Cincinnati Reds 2-42026-07-22 v Cincinnati Reds 3-52026-07-24 at Texas Rangers 4-52026-07-25 at Texas Rangers 1-72026-07-26 at Texas Rangers 6-42026-07-27 at Texas Rangers 3-72026-07-28 at Los Angeles Dodgers 7-62026-07-29 at Los Angeles Dodgers 2-42026-07-30 at Los Angeles Dodgers 2-62026-07-31 v Minnesota Twins 3-52026-08-01 v Minnesota Twins 4-32026-08-02 v Minnesota Twins 7-62026-08-04 v Detroit Tigers 0-82026-08-05 v Detroit Tigers 4-22026-08-06 v Detroit Tigers 0-112026-08-07 v Tampa Bay Rays 1-22026-08-08 v Tampa Bay Rays 2-32026-08-09 v Tampa Bay Rays 1-42026-08-11 at New York Yankees 1-42026-08-12 at New York Yankees 5-102026-08-13 at New York Yankees 1-02026-08-14 at Houston Astros 7-102026-08-15 at Houston Astros 10-52026-08-16 at Houston Astros 3-22026-08-18 at Milwaukee Brewers 0-222026-08-19 at Milwaukee Brewers 7-52026-08-20 at Milwaukee Brewers 4-72026-08-21 v Chicago Cubs 6-52026-08-22 v Chicago Cubs 5-42026-08-23 v Chicago Cubs 2-192026-08-24 v Philadelphia Phillies 9-22026-08-25 v Philadelphia Phillies 4-12026-08-26 v Philadelphia Phillies 0-62026-08-28 at Toronto Blue Jays 1-82026-08-29 at Toronto Blue Jays 3-42026-08-30 at Toronto Blue Jays 0-72026-08-31 at Boston Red Sox 8-92026-09-01 at Boston Red Sox 9-62026-09-02 at Boston Red Sox 8-32026-09-03 v Athletics 4-72026-09-04 v Athletics 6-72026-09-05 v Athletics 2-62026-09-06 v Athletics 2-02026-09-08 v Texas Rangers 5-102026-09-09 v Texas Rangers 3-22026-09-10 v Texas Rangers 4-32026-09-11 at Athletics 5-62026-09-12 at Athletics 19-12026-09-13 at Athletics 7-82026-09-14 at Los Angeles Angels 4-62026-09-15 at Los Angeles Angels 1-22026-09-16 at Los Angeles Angels 7-22026-09-18 at Colorado Rockies 5-42026-09-19 at Colorado Rockies 3-52026-09-20 at Colorado Rockies 2-12026-09-22 v Houston Astros 0-72026-09-23 v Houston Astros 6-52026-09-24 v Los Angeles Angels 4-62026-09-25 v Los Angeles Angels 5-72026-09-26 v Los Angeles Angels 8-42026-09-27 v Los Angeles Angels 7-3Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
76-86 in 162 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

On the road

The Mariners were 43-38 at home and 33-48 away. Their road games lost 18.89 units; one team lost more away from home. Home games lost 8.67.

The Mariners at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (81)won 43 (53.1%)Away (81)won 33 (40.7%)Favorite (123)won 62 (50.4%)Underdog (39)won 14 (35.9%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The run line

Seattle covered 59 times in 162, the lowest rate in MLB. They laid 1.5 in 127 games and covered 44, 34.6%, where MLB as a whole managed 41.8% when laying the runs. Getting 1.5, they covered 15 of 35, 42.9%, against 58.2% league-wide.

The AL West

The Houston Astros were the only rival worth backing them against: 10-3 and 4.45 units. The Texas Rangers won eight of 13 (4.06 lost), the Athletics seven of 13 (2.68 lost), and the Los Angeles Angels six of 13 (1.93 lost). Outside the division the San Diego Padres won all six games, a 6.0-unit loss and the worst of any opponent.

The Mariners against the teams they played mostAthletics6-7Houston Astros10-3Los Angeles Angels7-6Texas Rangers5-8Baltimore Orioles4-3Cleveland Guardians3-4Boston Red Sox3-3Chicago White Sox3-3
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Eighty-five overs, 67 unders and 10 pushes. Only three teams’ games went over more often. Seattle scored 4.1 runs a game, 28th in MLB, and allowed 4.46.

Questions and answers

How did the Mariners do as favorites in 2026?

62-61 in 123 games, and 18.58 units lost, the most of any MLB team as a favorite.

Did Mariners games go over in 2026?

More often than not: 85 overs, 67 unders and 10 pushes, the fourth-highest over rate in MLB.

Was there a month when backing Seattle paid in 2026?

No. Every month from March to September lost money; July was the worst, 9-15 and 7.11 units down.

Past games

  1. Angels at Mariners · 27 SepThis Angels vs Mariners game recap was controlled by Logan Gilbert from the first pitch.
  2. Angels at Mariners · 26 SepThis Angels vs Mariners game recap looked comfortable for Seattle, suddenly dangerous, and then comfortable again.
  3. Angels at Mariners · 25 SepThe Angels vs Mariners recap began as a pitching clinic and ended as a bullpen scramble.
  4. Angels at Mariners · 24 SepThe Angels vs Mariners recap delivered one of the slate’s steepest favorite losses.
  5. Mariners at Astros · 23 SepThe Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners recap starts with the verified final: Houston Astros 5, Seattle Mariners 6.
  6. Mariners at Astros · 22 SepThe Houston Astros vs Seattle Mariners recap starts with the verified final: Houston Astros 7, Seattle Mariners 0.
  7. Rockies at Mariners · 20 SepThe Mariners vs Rockies recap looked nothing like a stereotypical Coors Field game.
  8. Mariners at Rockies · 19 SepThe Mariners vs Rockies recap became one of the slate’s clearest failed-favorite lessons.
  9. Rockies at Mariners · 18 SepThe Mariners vs Rockies recap ended with the expected winner but not the expected comfort level.
  10. Mariners at Angels · 16 SepMariners at Angels
Show all 14 past predictions
  1. Mariners at Angels · 16 SepThe Seattle Mariners visit the Los Angeles Angels on Wednesday, September 16, 2026, at Angel Stadium.
  2. Mariners at Angels · 15 SepThe Mariners vs Angels recap punished bettors who paid -166 for Seattle.
  3. Mariners at Angels · 14 SepStart with the picks worth reviewing.
  4. Mariners at Athletics · 11 SepThe Mariners vs Athletics recap flipped twice in the tenth inning.

MLB teams