Red Sox Predictions and Odds: Road Money, Home Losses Skip to content
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Boston Red Sox

MLB19 predictions

A unit on the Red Sox in every road game of 2026 made 7.06; the same unit at home lost 9.66. For Red Sox predictions and odds, that split comes ahead of the 21-4 July.

Two seasons, one at home and one away

Boston went 46-35 in road games, and a unit on them in each returned 7.06. Only one MLB team paid more on the road. At home they went 41-39 and lost 9.66 units; only five teams lost more at home.

The Red Sox at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (80)won 41 (51.2%)Away (81)won 46 (56.8%)Favorite (112)won 62 (55.4%)Underdog (50)won 25 (50.0%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The road profit came mostly at plus money. As visiting underdogs they went 21-17 and won 6.60 units. As home favorites they went 37-32 and lost 6.92.

A July that carried the year

The Red Sox finished 87-75, and blind backing in all 162 games lost 3.60 units. Thirteen teams did better.

The Red Sox 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 at Cincinnati Reds 3-02026-03-28 at Cincinnati Reds 5-62026-03-29 at Cincinnati Reds 2-32026-03-30 at Houston Astros 1-82026-03-31 at Houston Astros 2-92026-04-01 at Houston Astros 4-62026-04-03 v San Diego Padres 5-22026-04-04 v San Diego Padres 2-32026-04-05 v San Diego Padres 6-82026-04-06 v Milwaukee Brewers 6-82026-04-07 v Milwaukee Brewers 3-22026-04-08 v Milwaukee Brewers 5-02026-04-10 at St. Louis Cardinals 2-32026-04-11 at St. Louis Cardinals 7-12026-04-12 at St. Louis Cardinals 9-32026-04-13 at Minnesota Twins 6-132026-04-14 at Minnesota Twins 0-62026-04-15 at Minnesota Twins 9-52026-04-17 v Detroit Tigers 1-02026-04-18 v Detroit Tigers 1-42026-04-19 v Detroit Tigers 2-62026-04-20 v Detroit Tigers 8-62026-04-21 v New York Yankees 0-42026-04-22 v New York Yankees 1-42026-04-23 v New York Yankees 2-42026-04-24 at Baltimore Orioles 3-102026-04-25 at Baltimore Orioles 17-12026-04-26 at Baltimore Orioles 5-32026-04-27 at Toronto Blue Jays 5-02026-04-28 at Toronto Blue Jays 0-32026-04-29 at Toronto Blue Jays 1-82026-05-01 v Houston Astros 3-12026-05-02 v Houston Astros 3-62026-05-03 v Houston Astros 1-32026-05-04 at Detroit Tigers 5-42026-05-05 at Detroit Tigers 10-32026-05-06 at Detroit Tigers 4-02026-05-07 v Tampa Bay Rays 4-82026-05-08 v Tampa Bay Rays 2-02026-05-10 v Tampa Bay Rays 1-42026-05-12 v Philadelphia Phillies 1-22026-05-13 v Philadelphia Phillies 3-12026-05-14 v Philadelphia Phillies 1-32026-05-15 at Atlanta Braves 2-32026-05-16 at Atlanta Braves 3-22026-05-17 at Atlanta Braves 1-82026-05-18 at Kansas City Royals 3-12026-05-19 at Kansas City Royals 7-12026-05-20 at Kansas City Royals 4-32026-05-22 v Minnesota Twins 6-82026-05-23 v Minnesota Twins 2-42026-05-24 v Minnesota Twins 5-62026-05-26 v Atlanta Braves 6-72026-05-27 v Atlanta Braves 8-02026-05-28 v Atlanta Braves 2-102026-05-29 at Cleveland Guardians 3-42026-05-30 at Cleveland Guardians 9-12026-05-31 at Cleveland Guardians 9-42026-06-02 v Baltimore Orioles 2-42026-06-03 v Baltimore Orioles 8-12026-06-04 v Baltimore Orioles 2-82026-06-05 at New York Yankees 5-32026-06-07 at New York Yankees 1-62026-06-08 at Tampa Bay Rays 1-32026-06-09 at Tampa Bay Rays 3-42026-06-10 at Tampa Bay Rays 5-72026-06-12 v Texas Rangers 10-12026-06-13 v Texas Rangers 6-32026-06-14 v Texas Rangers 4-62026-06-16 v Toronto Blue Jays 1-62026-06-17 v Toronto Blue Jays 0-32026-06-18 v Toronto Blue Jays 3-42026-06-19 at Seattle Mariners 6-22026-06-20 at Seattle Mariners 5-12026-06-21 at Seattle Mariners 1-32026-06-22 at Colorado Rockies 2-32026-06-23 at Colorado Rockies 5-22026-06-24 at Colorado Rockies 6-82026-06-25 v New York Yankees 6-32026-06-26 v New York Yankees 6-12026-06-27 v New York Yankees 4-12026-06-28 v New York Yankees 5-42026-06-29 v Washington Nationals 6-32026-06-30 v Washington Nationals 1-82026-07-01 v Washington Nationals 2-102026-07-03 at Los Angeles Angels 5-22026-07-04 at Los Angeles Angels 8-12026-07-05 at Los Angeles Angels 7-52026-07-07 at Chicago White Sox 8-12026-07-08 at Chicago White Sox 5-02026-07-09 at Chicago White Sox 2-12026-07-10 at New York Mets 6-22026-07-11 at New York Mets 4-02026-07-12 at New York Mets 3-22026-07-17 v Tampa Bay Rays 10-02026-07-17 v Tampa Bay Rays 5-32026-07-18 v Tampa Bay Rays 7-62026-07-19 v Tampa Bay Rays 6-12026-07-20 v Baltimore Orioles 6-52026-07-22 v Baltimore Orioles 6-32026-07-22 v Baltimore Orioles 1-52026-07-24 v Toronto Blue Jays 6-42026-07-25 v Toronto Blue Jays 0-62026-07-26 v Toronto Blue Jays 6-12026-07-27 at Athletics 4-22026-07-28 at Athletics 3-42026-07-29 at Athletics 4-22026-07-30 at Athletics 5-42026-07-31 at Los Angeles Dodgers 9-42026-08-01 at Los Angeles Dodgers 3-22026-08-02 at Los Angeles Dodgers 8-42026-08-04 v Chicago White Sox 14-22026-08-05 v Chicago White Sox 4-02026-08-06 v Chicago White Sox 12-112026-08-07 v Athletics 13-12026-08-08 v Athletics 3-72026-08-09 v Athletics 3-42026-08-10 at Toronto Blue Jays 1-22026-08-11 at Toronto Blue Jays 3-52026-08-12 at Toronto Blue Jays 4-62026-08-13 at Toronto Blue Jays 7-02026-08-14 at Pittsburgh Pirates 4-82026-08-15 at Pittsburgh Pirates 4-02026-08-16 at Pittsburgh Pirates 3-82026-08-17 v Arizona Diamondbacks 11-12026-08-18 v Arizona Diamondbacks 9-42026-08-19 v Arizona Diamondbacks 6-72026-08-21 v San Francisco Giants 6-42026-08-22 v San Francisco Giants 3-22026-08-23 v San Francisco Giants 5-42026-08-24 at Miami Marlins 4-22026-08-25 at Miami Marlins 7-32026-08-26 at Miami Marlins 0-42026-08-28 at New York Yankees 0-12026-08-29 at New York Yankees 6-02026-08-29 at New York Yankees 2-92026-08-30 at New York Yankees 1-162026-08-31 v Seattle Mariners 9-82026-09-01 v Seattle Mariners 6-92026-09-02 v Seattle Mariners 3-82026-09-03 at Baltimore Orioles 6-52026-09-04 at Baltimore Orioles 1-02026-09-05 at Baltimore Orioles 5-02026-09-06 at Baltimore Orioles 3-12026-09-07 v Los Angeles Angels 5-22026-09-08 v Los Angeles Angels 1-62026-09-09 v Los Angeles Angels 4-62026-09-11 v Kansas City Royals 2-32026-09-12 v Kansas City Royals 5-12026-09-13 v Kansas City Royals 4-12026-09-15 at Texas Rangers 2-42026-09-16 at Texas Rangers 3-72026-09-17 at Texas Rangers 4-32026-09-18 at Tampa Bay Rays 4-22026-09-19 at Tampa Bay Rays 1-22026-09-20 at Tampa Bay Rays 1-52026-09-22 v Cleveland Guardians 2-32026-09-23 v Cleveland Guardians 1-02026-09-24 v Cleveland Guardians 0-12026-09-25 v Chicago Cubs 4-32026-09-25 v Chicago Cubs 2-02026-09-27 v Chicago Cubs 2-6Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
87-75 in 162 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

July was 21-4 and worth 12.81 units, with a 15-game winning streak from 3 July to 22 July that by itself returned 12.57. Outside July they went 66-71 and lost 16.41.

Favorite and underdog

They were favorites in 112 games, 62-50, and lost 6.47 units. As underdogs they went 25-25 and made 2.86. Three straight wins over the Los Angeles Dodgers from 31 July to 2 August, all at plus money, returned 4.24.

One unit on the Red Sox to win, every game0-15-10-5-3.60 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 162 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The AL East

Against the Baltimore Orioles Boston went 9-4, 3.24 units up. The Toronto Blue Jays were the opposite: 4-9, and 5.69 units lost. The New York Yankees and the Tampa Bay Rays each beat them seven times in 13. All 52 division games together: 25-27, 5.21 units down.

Outside the division, the Houston Astros and the Minnesota Twins each beat Boston five times in six, and backing Boston in those 12 games lost 8.44 units. Six games against the Chicago White Sox went 6-0.

The Red Sox against the teams they played mostBaltimore Orioles9-4New York Yankees6-7Tampa Bay Rays6-7Toronto Blue Jays4-9Athletics4-3Detroit Tigers5-2Atlanta Braves2-4Chicago White Sox6-0
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Run line and total

Laying 1.5 in 110 games, Boston covered 47, 42.7%, against 41.8% for every side laying 1.5 in MLB.

Their games went under 86 times, over 72, with four pushes. Only four teams went under more often, and only two allowed fewer than Boston’s 3.77 runs a game.

Questions and answers

Are the Red Sox a better bet at home or away?

In 2026, away: 46-35 and 7.06 units won on the road, against 41-39 and 9.66 units lost at home.

What was the Red Sox’s best month for bettors in 2026?

July, at 21-4 and 12.81 units, including a 15-game winning streak.

How did the Red Sox do as underdogs in 2026?

25-25 in 50 games, for a 2.86-unit profit.

Past games

  1. Red Sox at Yankees · 30 SepThe Red Sox vs Yankees recap became a lesson in how quickly one crooked inning can destroy a sound-looking total.
  2. Red Sox at Yankees · 29 SepThis Yankees vs Red Sox recap starts with a result that left very little room for interpretation.
  3. Cubs at Red Sox · 27 SepThis Cubs vs Red Sox game recap belonged to Alex Bregman.
  4. Cubs at Red Sox · 26 SepThe Chicago Cubs visit the Boston Red Sox on Saturday, September 26, 2026, with first pitch scheduled for 7:15 p.m.
  5. Cubs at Red Sox · 25 SepThe Cubs vs Red Sox recap attached to Friday’s Game 2 remained scoreless until Wilyer Abreu’s two-run double in the eighth.
  6. Guardians at Red Sox · 24 SepThe Guardians vs Red Sox recap required only one run.
  7. Red Sox at Guardians · 23 SepThe Cleveland Guardians visit the Boston Red Sox on Thursday, September 24, 2026, at Fenway Park.
  8. Red Sox at Guardians · 22 SepThe Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox recap starts with the verified final: Cleveland Guardians 3, Boston Red Sox 2.
  9. Red Sox at Rays · 20 SepThe Red Sox vs Rays recap was largely settled before Boston recorded six outs.
  10. Red Sox at Rays · 19 SepThe Red Sox vs Rays recap finished exactly where a low-scoring favorite ticket becomes most uncomfortable: the bottom of the ninth in a tie…
Show all 19 past predictions
  1. Red Sox at Rays · 18 SepThe Red Sox vs Rays recap belonged to Roman Anthony and Boston’s early offense.
  2. Red Sox at Rangers · 17 SepThe Red Sox vs Rangers recap turned on one swing.
  3. Red Sox at Rangers · 16 SepThe expected script supports Boston Red Sox moneyline at +105 or better, with the projected starter matchup setting the early shape and lineup/bullpen context deciding the late innings.
  4. Red Sox at Rangers · 16 SepThe Red Sox vs Rangers recap turned when Brandon Nimmo broke a 3-3 tie with a seventh-inning double and Ezequiel Duran followed with a two-…
  5. Red Sox at Rangers · 15 SepThe recommendation remains Boston Red Sox moneyline -124, playable -130 or better; beyond that price, the disciplined answer is to pass rather than chase a number that no longer pays for the uncertainty.
  6. Royals at Red Sox · 13 SepThe Royals vs Red Sox recap followed the favorite script almost from the first pitch.
  7. Royals at Red Sox · 12 SepThe Royals vs Red Sox recap delivered the correction Boston bettors wanted after Kansas City stole Friday’s opener.
  8. Royals at Red Sox · 11 SepFinal: Kansas City Royals 3, Boston Red Sox 2, on Friday, September 11, 2026.
  9. Royals at Red Sox · 11 SepThe Royals vs Red Sox recap went against the pregame favorite thesis.

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