Backing the Fighting Hawks in all 30 priced games of 2025-26 made 16.52 units, a return seven Division I teams beat. They covered 21 of 32 spreads, 11 of 15 on the road.
Getting paid as underdogs
North Dakota were underdogs in 24 games, won 10 and covered 16. The 22 priced underdog moneylines made 16.34 units, tenth in the country. The prices were long: 90-88 over Winthrop at +625 on 18 December, and twice +575 against St. Thomas, 81-80 away on 29 January and 67-66 in the Summit League semifinal on 7 March.
Running total over 30 priced 2025-26 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Those St. Thomas games are the season in miniature. Three meetings, two wins, two covers, and 10.5 units on the moneyline.
Covering
Twenty-one covers in 32, 65.6%: 11 teams covered more often and one matched it. On the road it was 11 of 15, 73.3%, a rate bettered by nine teams and matched by one, with 6.97 units on 13 priced away moneylines. At home, 7 covers in 13 and 4.44 units.
2025-26 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
January
Seven wins in nine, seven covers, 11.85 units. November had been the slow start, 3-6 and 2.81 units down.
18-17 in 35 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
The rival they could not beat
North Dakota State won all three meetings, the third the Summit League final on 8 March; North Dakota covered one. Denver took one of three, a 98-79 win at North Dakota at -162. Kansas City and South Dakota were beaten twice each, North Dakota covering all four.
2025-26 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.
Questions and answers
Is North Dakota a good underdog bet?
In 2025-26 the 22 priced underdog moneylines made 16.34 units, tenth in Division I, with 16 covers in 24 games as underdogs.
How did the Fighting Hawks do against North Dakota State?
Three defeats, including the Summit League final, and one cover.
Do the Fighting Hawks cover on the road?
They covered 11 of 15 away games in 2025-26, 73.3%.