Orioles Predictions and Odds: The Yankees and Red Sox Split Skip to content
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Baltimore Orioles

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Past Game Predictions Result

The Orioles went 7-18 against the Yankees and Red Sox in 2026, and backing them in those 25 games lost 10.49 units. Against the rest of MLB they were 72-64 and 4.23 units up.

Two series, most of the loss

Baltimore finished the 2026 regular season 79-82. A unit on the Orioles’ moneyline in all 161 games ended 6.26 units down, 16th of 30 teams.

The New York Yankees beat them nine times in 12, a 5.53-unit loss for Orioles backers. The Boston Red Sox beat them nine times in 13, another 4.96. The other two AL East series went Baltimore’s way: 8-5 against the Tampa Bay Rays, 3.93 units up, and 7-6 against the Toronto Blue Jays, 0.72 up.

The Orioles against the teams they played mostBoston Red Sox4-9Tampa Bay Rays8-5Toronto Blue Jays7-6New York Yankees3-9Cleveland Guardians3-4Seattle Mariners3-4Athletics4-2Chicago White Sox4-2
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Home and away

The Orioles were 39-42 at home and 40-40 on the road. Their 81 home games lost 9.22 units; six teams lost more at home. The 80 road games returned 2.96, ninth in MLB.

The Orioles at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (81)won 39 (48.1%)Away (80)won 40 (50.0%)Favorite (76)won 42 (55.3%)Underdog (85)won 37 (43.5%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Favorite, underdog, and July

As moneyline favorites they went 42-34 in 76 games and lost 1.75 units. As underdogs they went 37-48 in 85 games and lost 4.51. Their two longest-priced wins came on the same day, 21 June, at the Los Angeles Dodgers: 3-2 at +230 and 12-1 at +194. Only once were they priced at -200 or shorter, -205 at home to the Washington Nationals on 28 June, and they lost 6-4.

July was the one month that paid well: 15-8 and 5.64 units up. May (13-16) and June (11-16) lost 3.18 units each.

One unit on the Orioles to win, every game0-10-8-6-4-2-6.26 unitsfirst gamelast game
Running total over 161 priced 2026 regular-season games, at the pre-game moneyline. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The run line

Baltimore covered 86 times and missed 75, the fifth-best run-line rate in MLB. They got 1.5 runs in 86 of their 161 games and covered 54 of those, 62.8%, against 58.2% for every MLB side getting 1.5. Laying 1.5, they covered 32 of 75, 42.7%, against a league rate of 41.8%. Above the league both ways, and helped by getting the runs more often than laying them.

The Orioles 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 v Minnesota Twins 2-12026-03-28 v Minnesota Twins 1-42026-03-29 v Minnesota Twins 8-62026-03-30 v Texas Rangers 2-52026-03-31 v Texas Rangers 5-82026-04-01 v Texas Rangers 8-32026-04-03 at Pittsburgh Pirates 4-52026-04-04 at Pittsburgh Pirates 2-32026-04-05 at Pittsburgh Pirates 2-82026-04-06 at Chicago White Sox 2-12026-04-07 at Chicago White Sox 4-22026-04-08 at Chicago White Sox 5-32026-04-10 v San Francisco Giants 3-62026-04-11 v San Francisco Giants 6-22026-04-12 v San Francisco Giants 6-22026-04-13 v Arizona Diamondbacks 9-72026-04-14 v Arizona Diamondbacks 3-42026-04-15 v Arizona Diamondbacks 5-82026-04-16 at Cleveland Guardians 2-42026-04-17 at Cleveland Guardians 6-42026-04-18 at Cleveland Guardians 2-42026-04-19 at Cleveland Guardians 4-82026-04-20 at Kansas City Royals 7-52026-04-21 at Kansas City Royals 5-62026-04-22 at Kansas City Royals 8-62026-04-24 v Boston Red Sox 10-32026-04-25 v Boston Red Sox 1-172026-04-26 v Boston Red Sox 3-52026-04-28 v Houston Astros 5-32026-04-30 v Houston Astros 10-32026-04-30 v Houston Astros 5-112026-05-01 at New York Yankees 2-72026-05-02 at New York Yankees 4-92026-05-03 at New York Yankees 3-112026-05-04 at New York Yankees 1-122026-05-05 at Miami Marlins 9-72026-05-06 at Miami Marlins 7-42026-05-07 at Miami Marlins 3-42026-05-08 v Athletics 3-42026-05-09 v Athletics 2-62026-05-10 v Athletics 2-12026-05-11 v New York Yankees 3-22026-05-12 v New York Yankees 2-62026-05-13 v New York Yankees 7-02026-05-15 at Washington Nationals 2-32026-05-16 at Washington Nationals 3-132026-05-17 at Washington Nationals 7-32026-05-18 at Tampa Bay Rays 6-162026-05-19 at Tampa Bay Rays 1-42026-05-20 at Tampa Bay Rays 3-52026-05-22 v Detroit Tigers 7-42026-05-24 v Detroit Tigers 5-32026-05-24 v Detroit Tigers 1-42026-05-25 v Tampa Bay Rays 9-72026-05-26 v Tampa Bay Rays 6-12026-05-27 v Tampa Bay Rays 11-22026-05-28 v Toronto Blue Jays 1-22026-05-29 v Toronto Blue Jays 5-62026-05-30 v Toronto Blue Jays 6-52026-05-31 v Toronto Blue Jays 9-52026-06-02 at Boston Red Sox 4-22026-06-03 at Boston Red Sox 1-82026-06-04 at Boston Red Sox 8-22026-06-05 at Toronto Blue Jays 13-32026-06-06 at Toronto Blue Jays 4-62026-06-07 at Toronto Blue Jays 4-62026-06-08 v Seattle Mariners 3-62026-06-09 v Seattle Mariners 5-62026-06-10 v Seattle Mariners 7-22026-06-11 v Seattle Mariners 7-52026-06-12 v San Diego Padres 7-32026-06-13 v San Diego Padres 3-92026-06-14 v San Diego Padres 2-52026-06-16 at Seattle Mariners 1-32026-06-17 at Seattle Mariners 5-32026-06-18 at Seattle Mariners 0-32026-06-19 at Los Angeles Dodgers 5-62026-06-20 at Los Angeles Dodgers 3-22026-06-21 at Los Angeles Dodgers 12-12026-06-22 at Los Angeles Angels 6-12026-06-23 at Los Angeles Angels 1-52026-06-24 at Los Angeles Angels 6-72026-06-26 v Washington Nationals 3-12026-06-27 v Washington Nationals 3-42026-06-28 v Washington Nationals 4-62026-06-29 v Chicago White Sox 2-82026-06-30 v Chicago White Sox 3-92026-07-01 v Chicago White Sox 6-12026-07-03 at Cincinnati Reds 3-02026-07-04 at Cincinnati Reds 8-52026-07-05 at Cincinnati Reds 2-32026-07-07 v Chicago Cubs 2-52026-07-08 v Chicago Cubs 7-92026-07-09 v Chicago Cubs 3-22026-07-10 v Kansas City Royals 5-32026-07-11 v Kansas City Royals 6-12026-07-12 v Kansas City Royals 8-22026-07-17 at Houston Astros 3-22026-07-18 at Houston Astros 4-22026-07-19 at Houston Astros 5-22026-07-20 at Boston Red Sox 5-62026-07-22 at Boston Red Sox 3-62026-07-22 at Boston Red Sox 5-12026-07-24 v Atlanta Braves 6-72026-07-25 v Atlanta Braves 3-22026-07-26 v Atlanta Braves 2-32026-07-27 at Detroit Tigers 8-52026-07-28 at Detroit Tigers 0-142026-07-29 at Detroit Tigers 10-92026-07-31 v Philadelphia Phillies 6-42026-08-01 v Philadelphia Phillies 0-52026-08-02 v Philadelphia Phillies 0-82026-08-04 v Los Angeles Angels 3-12026-08-05 v Los Angeles Angels 5-22026-08-06 v Los Angeles Angels 1-42026-08-07 at Texas Rangers 1-22026-08-08 at Texas Rangers 1-52026-08-09 at Texas Rangers 10-52026-08-10 at Minnesota Twins 5-92026-08-11 at Minnesota Twins 5-22026-08-12 at Minnesota Twins 5-72026-08-14 at Tampa Bay Rays 6-52026-08-15 at Tampa Bay Rays 4-32026-08-16 at Tampa Bay Rays 10-22026-08-17 at Tampa Bay Rays 6-72026-08-18 v New York Yankees 1-32026-08-19 v New York Yankees 3-52026-08-20 v New York Yankees 1-62026-08-21 v Tampa Bay Rays 5-32026-08-22 v Tampa Bay Rays 3-22026-08-23 v Tampa Bay Rays 1-32026-08-25 at St. Louis Cardinals 13-12026-08-26 at St. Louis Cardinals 8-72026-08-27 at St. Louis Cardinals 5-72026-08-28 at Athletics 4-32026-08-29 at Athletics 5-32026-08-30 at Athletics 8-52026-08-31 at Colorado Rockies 2-12026-09-01 at Colorado Rockies 2-42026-09-02 at Colorado Rockies 5-62026-09-03 v Boston Red Sox 5-62026-09-04 v Boston Red Sox 0-12026-09-05 v Boston Red Sox 0-52026-09-06 v Boston Red Sox 1-32026-09-07 v Cleveland Guardians 6-42026-09-08 v Cleveland Guardians 5-92026-09-09 v Cleveland Guardians 9-52026-09-11 at Toronto Blue Jays 7-42026-09-12 at Toronto Blue Jays 3-72026-09-13 at Toronto Blue Jays 1-82026-09-14 at New York Mets 2-12026-09-15 at New York Mets 7-52026-09-16 at New York Mets 7-12026-09-18 v Milwaukee Brewers 5-62026-09-19 v Milwaukee Brewers 0-12026-09-20 v Milwaukee Brewers 0-32026-09-21 v Toronto Blue Jays 4-32026-09-23 v Toronto Blue Jays 4-22026-09-23 v Toronto Blue Jays 4-22026-09-25 at New York Yankees 10-22026-09-25 at New York Yankees 3-6Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
79-82 in 161 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The total

Baltimore scored 4.46 runs a game and allowed 4.59. Their games went over 79 times and under 77, with five pushes. Fourteen teams’ games went over more often: no lean either way.

Questions and answers

Why did backing the Orioles lose money in 2026?

Mostly two opponents: 7-18 against the Yankees and Red Sox cost 10.49 units, and the other 136 games made 4.23.

Were the Orioles better at home or on the road in 2026?

On the road: 40-40 and 2.96 units up, against 39-42 and a 9.22-unit loss in Baltimore.

Was Baltimore a good run-line bet in 2026?

It covered 86 times in 161 games, the fifth-best rate in MLB; 54 of those covers came getting 1.5 runs.

Past Game Predictions Result

  1. Orioles at Yankees · 27 SepThe Baltimore Orioles visits the New York Yankees on Sunday, September 27, 2026, at Yankee Stadium in Bronx, New York.…
  2. Orioles at Yankees · 26 SepThis Orioles vs Yankees game recap carries an important schedule note.
  3. Orioles at Yankees · 25 SepThe Orioles vs Yankees recap attached to the original Friday fixture ended with New York earning a doubleheader split.
  4. Orioles at Blue Jays · 23 SepThe Toronto Blue Jays vs Baltimore Orioles recap starts with the verified final: Toronto Blue Jays 2, Baltimore Orioles 4.
  5. Orioles at Blue Jays · 22 SepThe Cleveland Guardians vs Boston Red Sox recap starts with the verified final: Cleveland Guardians 3, Boston Red Sox 2.
  6. Blue Jays at Orioles · 21 SepThis Blue Jays vs Orioles recap came down to one hitter changing a tight baseball game twice.
  7. Orioles at Brewers · 20 SepThe Brewers vs Orioles recap delivered the low-scoring favorite script Milwaukee bettors wanted.
  8. Brewers at Orioles · 19 SepThe Brewers vs Orioles recap was a pitching game from beginning to end.
  9. Brewers at Orioles · 18 SepThe Brewers vs Orioles recap requires more than saying Milwaukee cashed.
  10. Orioles at Mets · 16 SepThe expected script supports Over 8.5 runs at -110 or better, with the projected starter matchup setting the early shape and lineup/bullpen context deciding the late innings.
Show all 15 past predictions
  1. Orioles at Mets · 15 SepThe Orioles vs Mets recap became an extra-inning lesson in why a modest favorite still needs late-game execution.
  2. Orioles at Mets · 14 SepThe Orioles vs Mets recap came down to one swing after seven innings of low-scoring baseball.
  3. Orioles at Blue Jays · 13 SepThe Orioles vs Blue Jays recap validated the preview’s favorite thesis with room to spare.
  4. Orioles at Blue Jays · 12 SepThe Orioles vs Blue Jays recap rewarded bettors who treated Saturday as a fresh matchup rather than an extension of Baltimore’s Friday win.…
  5. Orioles at Blue Jays · 11 SepThe Orioles vs Blue Jays recap delivered one of the cleanest plus-money wins on the board.

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