Nationals Predictions and Odds: Strong Outside the NL East Skip to content
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Washington Nationals

MLB14 predictions

Against the rest of MLB, backing the Nationals made 12.45 units in 2026; against their own division it lost 11.55. That split is the Nationals’ whole season: 77-85 and 0.90 units up.

Two seasons in one

The Washington Nationals went 77-85 in the 2026 regular season, and a unit on every one of their games returned 0.90 units; six teams returned more. They were underdogs 123 times, a count only two teams beat, and went 53-70 for 2.37 units lost. As favorites they went 24-15 and made 3.27.

The Nationals 2026 regular season, game by game2026-03-26 at Chicago Cubs 10-42026-03-28 at Chicago Cubs 2-102026-03-29 at Chicago Cubs 6-32026-03-30 at Philadelphia Phillies 13-22026-03-31 at Philadelphia Phillies 2-32026-04-01 at Philadelphia Phillies 5-62026-04-03 v Los Angeles Dodgers 6-132026-04-04 v Los Angeles Dodgers 5-102026-04-05 v Los Angeles Dodgers 6-82026-04-06 v St. Louis Cardinals 9-62026-04-07 v St. Louis Cardinals 6-72026-04-08 v St. Louis Cardinals 1-62026-04-10 at Milwaukee Brewers 7-32026-04-11 at Milwaukee Brewers 3-12026-04-12 at Milwaukee Brewers 8-62026-04-13 at Pittsburgh Pirates 5-162026-04-14 at Pittsburgh Pirates 5-42026-04-15 at Pittsburgh Pirates 0-22026-04-16 at Pittsburgh Pirates 8-72026-04-17 v San Francisco Giants 5-102026-04-18 v San Francisco Giants 6-72026-04-19 v San Francisco Giants 3-02026-04-20 v Atlanta Braves 4-92026-04-21 v Atlanta Braves 11-42026-04-22 v Atlanta Braves 6-82026-04-23 v Atlanta Braves 2-72026-04-24 at Chicago White Sox 4-52026-04-25 at Chicago White Sox 6-32026-04-26 at Chicago White Sox 2-12026-04-28 at New York Mets 0-82026-04-29 at New York Mets 14-22026-04-30 at New York Mets 5-42026-05-01 v Milwaukee Brewers 1-62026-05-02 v Milwaukee Brewers 1-42026-05-03 v Milwaukee Brewers 3-22026-05-05 v Minnesota Twins 3-112026-05-06 v Minnesota Twins 15-22026-05-07 v Minnesota Twins 7-52026-05-08 at Miami Marlins 3-22026-05-09 at Miami Marlins 7-82026-05-10 at Miami Marlins 2-52026-05-12 at Cincinnati Reds 10-42026-05-13 at Cincinnati Reds 8-72026-05-14 at Cincinnati Reds 1-152026-05-15 v Baltimore Orioles 3-22026-05-16 v Baltimore Orioles 13-32026-05-17 v Baltimore Orioles 3-72026-05-18 v New York Mets 7-162026-05-19 v New York Mets 9-62026-05-20 v New York Mets 8-42026-05-21 v New York Mets 1-22026-05-22 at Atlanta Braves 4-52026-05-23 at Atlanta Braves 2-02026-05-24 at Atlanta Braves 2-12026-05-25 at Cleveland Guardians 10-22026-05-26 at Cleveland Guardians 6-32026-05-27 at Cleveland Guardians 2-32026-05-29 v San Diego Padres 5-72026-05-30 v San Diego Padres 9-42026-05-31 v San Diego Padres 4-22026-06-01 v Miami Marlins 3-72026-06-02 v Miami Marlins 3-72026-06-03 v Miami Marlins 1-42026-06-05 at Arizona Diamondbacks 14-12026-06-06 at Arizona Diamondbacks 6-12026-06-07 at Arizona Diamondbacks 1-52026-06-08 at San Francisco Giants 4-32026-06-09 at San Francisco Giants 6-32026-06-10 at San Francisco Giants 10-112026-06-12 v Seattle Mariners 2-102026-06-13 v Seattle Mariners 8-32026-06-14 v Seattle Mariners 10-12026-06-15 v Kansas City Royals 7-32026-06-16 v Kansas City Royals 6-42026-06-17 v Kansas City Royals 2-62026-06-19 at Tampa Bay Rays 2-52026-06-20 at Tampa Bay Rays 4-32026-06-21 at Tampa Bay Rays 3-42026-06-22 v Philadelphia Phillies 4-12026-06-23 v Philadelphia Phillies 9-142026-06-24 v Philadelphia Phillies 4-52026-06-25 v Philadelphia Phillies 5-102026-06-26 at Baltimore Orioles 1-32026-06-27 at Baltimore Orioles 4-32026-06-28 at Baltimore Orioles 6-42026-06-29 at Boston Red Sox 3-62026-06-30 at Boston Red Sox 8-12026-07-01 at Boston Red Sox 10-22026-07-03 v Pittsburgh Pirates 9-52026-07-04 v Pittsburgh Pirates 1-72026-07-05 v Pittsburgh Pirates 5-112026-07-06 v Houston Astros 12-112026-07-07 v Houston Astros 3-62026-07-08 v Houston Astros 8-22026-07-10 v New York Yankees 3-52026-07-11 v New York Yankees 2-42026-07-12 v New York Yankees 3-52026-07-17 at Athletics 23-42026-07-18 at Athletics 1-152026-07-19 at Athletics 5-22026-07-20 at Colorado Rockies 7-32026-07-21 at Colorado Rockies 7-82026-07-22 at Colorado Rockies 8-02026-07-24 v Arizona Diamondbacks 2-32026-07-25 v Arizona Diamondbacks 5-32026-07-26 v Arizona Diamondbacks 10-72026-07-27 v Toronto Blue Jays 2-32026-07-28 v Toronto Blue Jays 8-62026-07-29 v Toronto Blue Jays 2-52026-07-30 at Atlanta Braves 4-52026-07-31 at Atlanta Braves 2-62026-08-01 at Atlanta Braves 3-82026-08-02 at Atlanta Braves 2-42026-08-03 at Philadelphia Phillies 3-62026-08-04 at Philadelphia Phillies 0-52026-08-05 at Philadelphia Phillies 10-42026-08-06 at Philadelphia Phillies 3-72026-08-07 v Cincinnati Reds 5-32026-08-08 v Cincinnati Reds 8-22026-08-09 v Cincinnati Reds 7-12026-08-11 v Chicago Cubs 6-82026-08-12 v Chicago Cubs 6-122026-08-13 v Chicago Cubs 7-02026-08-14 at New York Mets 1-42026-08-15 at New York Mets 4-52026-08-16 at New York Mets 3-42026-08-18 at Texas Rangers 0-52026-08-19 at Texas Rangers 6-02026-08-20 at Texas Rangers 0-22026-08-21 at Miami Marlins 2-32026-08-22 at Miami Marlins 2-42026-08-23 at Miami Marlins 2-62026-08-24 v Colorado Rockies 13-32026-08-25 v Colorado Rockies 1-32026-08-26 v Colorado Rockies 1-132026-08-27 v Colorado Rockies 7-12026-08-28 v Miami Marlins 9-22026-08-29 v Miami Marlins 5-42026-08-30 v Miami Marlins 2-62026-08-31 v Miami Marlins 6-32026-09-01 v Atlanta Braves 9-52026-09-02 v Atlanta Braves 0-92026-09-04 at Los Angeles Dodgers 3-52026-09-05 at Los Angeles Dodgers 5-62026-09-06 at Los Angeles Dodgers 5-72026-09-07 at San Diego Padres 2-32026-09-08 at San Diego Padres 4-52026-09-09 at San Diego Padres 2-92026-09-11 v Los Angeles Angels 4-32026-09-12 v Los Angeles Angels 6-52026-09-13 v Los Angeles Angels 6-52026-09-15 v Philadelphia Phillies 6-32026-09-16 v Philadelphia Phillies 0-32026-09-18 at St. Louis Cardinals 9-12026-09-19 at St. Louis Cardinals 8-52026-09-20 at St. Louis Cardinals 3-52026-09-21 at Detroit Tigers 2-92026-09-22 at Detroit Tigers 3-12026-09-23 at Detroit Tigers 4-22026-09-25 v New York Mets 7-62026-09-26 v New York Mets 1-72026-09-27 v New York Mets 6-4Wins above the line, losses below; bar length is the margin0
77-85 in 162 games. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The NL East

The division cost 11.55 units at 18-34. Three rivals beat them nine times in 13: the Philadelphia Phillies (3.19 units lost), the Atlanta Braves (3.70) and the Miami Marlins (4.56). The New York Mets series went 6-7 and lost 0.10. Outside the division they went 59-51, with the Cincinnati Reds (5-1, 4.75 units) and the Milwaukee Brewers (4-2, 4.20) the best of it. The Los Angeles Dodgers beat them in all six games.

The Nationals against the teams they played mostAtlanta Braves4-9Miami Marlins4-9New York Mets6-7Philadelphia Phillies4-9Colorado Rockies4-3Pittsburgh Pirates3-4Arizona Diamondbacks4-2Baltimore Orioles4-2
2026 regular season; dark is wins, light the games played. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

Road over home

Away they went 38-43 and made 5.37 units; four teams made more away. At home, 39-42 and 4.47 units lost. Road underdogs went 32-41 for 2.73 up; home underdogs 21-29 for 5.10 down. As road favorites they won six of eight, for 2.64 units.

The Nationals at home, away, as favorite and as underdogHome (81)won 39 (48.1%)Away (81)won 38 (46.9%)Favorite (39)won 24 (61.5%)Underdog (123)won 53 (43.1%)50%
2026 regular season. Neutral-site games are in neither home nor away. Source: ESPN results and pre-game lines.

The price split is sharp. Below +130 they went 32-29 as underdogs and made 6.41 units; at +130 or longer they went 21-41 and lost 8.78. May paid best, 16-12 and 6.56 units. August cost 6.38 at 11-18.

Runs, the run line, the total

They scored 5.07 runs a game, two teams more, and allowed 5.03, three teams more. The total went over 85 times and under 68, with nine pushes; five teams’ games went over more often. On the run line they went 91-71, with two teams better, and most of that is how often they got the runs: getting 1.5 in 129 games they covered 74, 57.4%, near the league’s 58.2% for teams given 1.5 runs.

Questions and answers

Was there money in backing the Nationals blindly in 2026?

Barely: one unit on all 162 games returned 0.90 units.

How did the Nationals do against the NL East in 2026?

18-34, and 11.55 units lost backing them in those games.

Were the Nationals a better bet on the road?

In 2026, yes: 5.37 units won away, 4.47 lost at home.

Past games

  1. Mets at Nationals · 27 SepThis Mets vs Nationals game recap turned on Andrés Chaparro’s power.
  2. Mets at Nationals · 26 SepThis Mets vs Nationals game recap was much closer than the final score suggests until New York’s power arrived late.
  3. Mets at Nationals · 25 SepThe Mets vs Nationals recap delivered exactly the offensive environment ScoresAndStats targeted.
  4. Tigers at Nationals · 23 SepThe Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers recap starts with the verified final: Washington Nationals 4, Detroit Tigers 2.
  5. Tigers at Nationals · 22 SepThe Washington Nationals vs Detroit Tigers recap starts with the verified final: Washington Nationals 3, Detroit Tigers 1.
  6. Nationals at Tigers · 21 SepThis Nationals vs Tigers recap turned into the opposite of the close underdog script expected before first pitch.
  7. Cardinals at Nationals · 20 SepThe Nationals vs Cardinals recap turned against Washington bettors in the eighth.
  8. Nationals at Cardinals · 19 SepThe Nationals vs Cardinals recap required 11 innings, but the preview’s plus-money side eventually got there.
  9. Nationals at Cardinals · 18 SepThe Nationals vs Cardinals recap produced one of the cleanest winning side results on the September 18 MLB board.
  10. Phillies at Nationals · 15 SepThe recommendation remains Philadelphia Phillies moneyline -215, playable -225 or better; beyond that price, the disciplined answer is to pass rather than chase a number that no longer pays for the uncertainty.
Show all 13 past predictions
  1. Angels at Nationals · 13 SepThe Angels vs Nationals recap delivered exactly the kind of scoring volatility the preview targeted, but it took a late Washington rally to…
  2. Angels at Nationals · 12 SepThe Angels vs Nationals recap ended with Washington winning 6-5 in 10 innings after both clubs traded late-game swings.
  3. Angels at Nationals · 11 SepThe Angels vs Nationals recap became a late-game test of the exact Washington edge ScoresAndStats had identified.

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