Los Angeles Sparks vs New York Liberty Picks and Predictions August 12th 2025

With Playoff Ambitions, Red-Hot Sparks Square Off vs Liberty

The Los Angeles Sparks are making a serious push for a postseason berth, and they’ll have another big test on Tuesday when they host the New York Liberty.

Winners of nine of their last eleven games, the Sparks are surging at the right time. Sitting just outside the playoff picture in ninth place, they can climb to the .500 mark for the first time since May 20 with a victory. This game carries significant postseason implications for Los Angeles, while New York is fighting to improve its seeding down the stretch.

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Sparks Riding Momentum Into Showdown

Los Angeles comes in with a 15-16 record after a thrilling 94-91 win over the Seattle Storm on Sunday. In that game, Dearica Hamby delivered in crunch time, scoring seven of the Sparks’ final nine points — including a decisive 3-point play with just 5.6 seconds left. Hamby finished with 19 points and showcased the versatility that has made her one of the Sparks’ most reliable weapons.

Kelsey Plum also played a pivotal role, scoring 20 points and dishing seven assists. Her playmaking has reached a career-high this season, averaging 6.1 assists per game. Plum’s ability to score and facilitate has been central to the Sparks’ resurgence, especially in late-game situations where every possession counts.

Cameron Brink added a spark off the bench, scoring 14 points in her best performance since returning from knee surgery. The rookie big made five of her six field goal attempts and grabbed five rebounds, giving Los Angeles another interior presence.

The Sparks’ offensive efficiency has been quietly elite — their 46.1 percent shooting from the field ranks second in the WNBA. That level of efficiency will be critical against a Liberty squad that typically controls the tempo.

For full box scores and final results, visit the WNBA Game Results page.

Liberty Look to Bounce Back

The Liberty (20-11) are coming off an 83-71 home loss to the Minnesota Lynx on Sunday. The defending champs are 0-2 against Minnesota this season, with both defeats coming in the past two weeks.

Despite having five players in double figures against the Lynx, the Liberty struggled to find rhythm. Natasha Cloud led with 14 points, but the team shot just 42.4 percent from the field — below their season average of 45.3 percent, which ranks third in the league.

Sabrina Ionescu, who torched the Sparks for 30 points in their previous meeting, had a rough night with just 10 points on 4-of-15 shooting and a rare 0-for-6 performance from deep. Her ability to bounce back will be one of the game’s key storylines.

The Liberty are beginning a pivotal three-game road trip that concludes in Minnesota on Saturday, before facing the Lynx again at home next week. Dropping the opener in Los Angeles would only increase the pressure in those upcoming games.

For updated spreads and totals, check the WNBA Scores and Odds section.

Previous Meeting: Sparks Stun Liberty in New York

When these two teams last met on July 26, Los Angeles shocked the Liberty with a 101-99 win at Barclays Center. The Sparks exploded for 35 first-quarter points and never relinquished control, even as New York mounted multiple comeback attempts.

Hamby and Plum were again instrumental in that victory, combining for clutch baskets in the second half. On the other side, Ionescu’s 30 points kept the Liberty within striking distance, but defensive lapses proved costly.

That game stands as one of just five home losses for New York this season — and gives the Sparks the confidence that they can match up with one of the league’s most talented rosters.

If you’re betting on rematches, you can see historical data and trends in the Expert Betting Guide.

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Matchup Keys: Sparks vs Liberty

Sparks’ Offensive Balance
Los Angeles doesn’t rely on just one scorer — they have multiple players capable of leading the offense on any given night. Hamby, Plum, and Brink have been recent standouts, but Rae Burrell and Layshia Clarendon have also had timely scoring stretches.

Liberty’s Perimeter Shooting
New York’s offense thrives when Ionescu, Marine Johannes, and Betnijah Laney-Hamilton are hitting from deep. Against the Sparks’ disciplined half-court defense, spacing and ball movement will be critical.

Pace Control
The Sparks prefer a controlled, efficient attack, while the Liberty are at their best in transition after securing defensive rebounds. Whichever team imposes their pace will have the upper hand.

Projected Starting Lineups

Full WNBA roster info is available in the Teams section.

Betting Trends

• Sparks are 9-2 in their last 11 games ATS and straight up.
• Liberty are 3-5 in their last eight games overall.
• Sparks have covered in four of their last five home games.
• Over is 6-4 in the Sparks’ last 10 games.

More market insights can be found in the Sportsbook Reviews section, along with top-rated PPH Reviews for book operators.

X-Factors

For the Sparks: Cameron Brink’s defensive impact. She has the length to contest Stewart’s shots and the quickness to switch onto guards. Her ability to defend without fouling will be key.

For the Liberty: Natasha Cloud’s playmaking. With Ionescu drawing heavy defensive attention, Cloud’s ability to initiate offense and find open shooters could be the difference.

Check more insights and fan takes in the WNBA Blog section.

Playoff Picture Implications

Los Angeles is chasing the Atlanta Dream and Chicago Sky for the final playoff spots. Every win from here on out is vital, especially against top-tier opponents.

For New York, securing a top-three seed would provide home-court advantage in the early rounds. Dropping games to lower-ranked teams could open the door for the Connecticut Sun or Minnesota Lynx to leapfrog them.

Prediction

The Sparks have momentum, home-court advantage, and recent success against the Liberty. But New York’s depth and championship experience make them dangerous, especially after a loss. Expect a competitive game with playoff-level intensity.

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