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Game Preview Indiana Pacers @ Toronto Raptors
The Indiana Pacers visit the Toronto Raptors at Scotiabank Arena on Wednesday, November 26, in an East Group A showdown of the NBA Cup. Tip-off is set for 7:30 PM ET, with the Raptors aiming to extend their red-hot form.
Toronto enters this matchup with a 13-5 record and sits atop their group with an eight-game win streak. They’re coming off a 110-99 win over the Cleveland Cavaliers, powered by 37 points from Brandon Ingram and balanced support from Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley. Even without RJ Barrett (knee), the Raptors are playing high-efficiency, team-first basketball.
The Pacers are reeling at 2-15 and just dropped another winnable game to the Detroit Pistons, 122-117. Despite a decent showing from Pascal Siakam and rookie Jarace Walker, Indiana is struggling to put together consistent stops or close games.
With one team surging and the other sinking, the matchup may seem lopsided—but tournament format games often bring surprises.
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Odds and Key Information
Date: Wednesday, November 26, 2025
Time: 7:30 PM ET
Venue: Scotiabank Arena, Toronto, ON
Spread: Raptors -9.5 (-113), Pacers +9.5 (-109)
Moneyline: Raptors -450, Pacers +345
Over/Under: 234.5
Track live movement on NBA lines via the Scores and Odds page.
Indiana Pacers Outlook
It’s been a tough season for the Pacers, who currently sit at 2-15 and have dropped 11 of their last 12 games. However, in their most recent contest against the Pistons, they showed offensive flashes. Pascal Siakam led the way with 24 points, while Jarace Walker added 21 points on 8-for-10 shooting.
Offensively, Indiana plays at a blistering pace. They rank 5th in possessions per game and in total field goal attempts, pushing the tempo at every opportunity. They also rank 3rd in free throws made and attempted per game, giving them extra scoring opportunities even when the offense stalls.
But defensively, the Pacers continue to struggle. They allow 122.8 points per game, second-worst in the league, and frequently give up easy looks in transition and pick-and-roll situations.
Want to learn more about Indiana’s path forward? Explore the latest NBA Central Division predictions.
Toronto Raptors Outlook
Toronto is playing its best basketball of the season. They’ve won eight straight games and now lead NBA Cup East Group A. In their most recent win over Cleveland, Brandon Ingram erupted for 37 points. Scottie Barnes and Immanuel Quickley added crucial minutes and playmaking in RJ Barrett’s absence.
The Raptors are among the league’s most efficient teams. They rank 3rd in field goal percentage (50.2%) and 2nd in assists per game (30.3), thanks to a strong passing structure that creates open looks for multiple scorers. Their offensive spacing and movement have consistently broken down opposing defenses.
Defensively, Toronto is just as sharp. They allow only 113.4 points per game (7th) and lead the league in opponent three-point percentage (32.1%). Their ability to close out on shooters and control the pace makes them one of the most well-rounded teams in the East.
Stay updated on the Raptors’ NBA Cup progress via the Eastern Conference predictions blog.
Key Matchup Table
| Category | Indiana Pacers | Toronto Raptors |
|---|---|---|
| Record | 2-15 | 13-5 |
| Points Per Game | 111.7 (25th) | 120.4 (5th) |
| Opponent PPG Allowed | 122.8 (29th) | 113.4 (7th) |
| FG% | 45.1% (22nd) | 50.2% (3rd) |
| Assists Per Game | 24.2 (18th) | 30.3 (2nd) |
| Opponent 3PT% | 36.4% (22nd) | 32.1% (1st) |
The Raptors hold the clear edge in nearly every major statistical category.
Betting Trends
- Toronto is 6-2 ATS in its last 8 home games
- Indiana is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games
- The Over has hit in 4 of Toronto’s last 6 games
- The Under is 5-1 in the Pacers’ last 6 games
- Toronto is 5-1 ATS in its last 6 meetings with Indiana
For more trend analysis, check out the NBA picks and predictions hub.
The Lean
Despite the Raptors’ elite form, this large spread of 9.5 points gives slight value to Indiana. Toronto is the clear favorite and should win outright, but Indiana’s pace and frequent trips to the free-throw line could keep the game within reach, especially if Siakam or Haliburton finds rhythm.
Our model projects a final score of Raptors 118, Pacers 110, which puts Indiana just within the +9.5 cover.
On the total, the line is set at 234.5. The Raptors’ defense (113.4 points allowed) and the Pacers’ inefficient shooting suggest a modest scoring outcome. The projected total is 228, leaning slightly toward the Under.
Spread Pick: Indiana Pacers +9.5
Total Pick: Under 234.5
Projected Final Score: Toronto Raptors 118, Indiana Pacers 110
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