2025 PGA 3M Open Odds, Predictions, and How To Watch

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The PGA Tour is back in the States this week for the 2025 3M Open, the final stop before the FedEx Cup Playoffs begin. The field may not be quite as deep as last week’s Open Championship, but there’s no shortage of intrigue as rising stars and seasoned vets compete at TPC Twin Cities.

Whether you’re betting on golf for the first time or you’ve followed the PGA all year, you’ll want to keep tabs on the betting lines. Below, we break down how to watch, where it’s being played, past winners, and who we like best among this year’s 3M Open contenders.

Before we dive in, be sure to check this week’s expert Golf Picks and follow our Top Handicappers for more winning angles. For recent Golf Results, we’ve got you covered there, too.

Where Is The 3M Open?

The 3M Open is held at TPC Twin Cities in Blaine, Minnesota. This Arnold Palmer-designed course has hosted the event since its PGA Tour debut in 2019. Renowned for its wide fairways, water hazards, and birdie opportunities, TPC Twin Cities is one of the more scoreable courses on Tour…assuming players can avoid the water.

How To Watch The 3M Open?

The 2025 3M Open will be broadcast on the Golf Channel and CBS, with streaming available via PGA Tour Live on ESPN+.

What Is The 3M Open Payout?

The total purse for this year’s 3M Open is $8.4 million, up from $8.2 million last year. The winner will take home 18 percent of the prize pool, a cool $1.51 million along with 500 FedEx Cup points. The second-place finisher will win $915,600, while third-place gets $579,600. 

Who Won The 3M Open 2024?

Jhonattan Vegas captured the 2024 3M Open title with a bogey-free final round 70, finishing at 17-under to beat Max Greyserman by a stroke. Matt Kuchar and Maverick McNealy tied for third at -15, followed by Taylor Pendrith in fifth.

It was Vegas’ first win since 2017, and he sealed the deal with three birdies on the back nine at TPC Twin Cities.

The 3M Open Odds

Check out the latest 3M Open odds:

3M Open Odds3M Open Odds
Chris Gotterup (+1800)Sam Burns (+1800)
Maverick McNealey (+2000)Wyndham Clark (+2500)
Max Greyserman (+2800)Taylor Pendrith (+3000)
Michael Thorbjornsen (+3500)Jake Knapp (+3500)
Si Woo Kim (+3500)Akshay Bhatia (+4000)
Kurt Kitayama (+4000)Tony Finau (+4000)
Rickie Fowler (+4000)Adam Scott (+4500)
Max Homa (+4500)Davis Thompson (+4500)
Luke Clanton (+5000)Kevin Yu (+5000)
Emiliano Grillo (+5000)Sungjae Im (+5000)
Cameron Champ (+5000)Keith Mitchell (+5000)
Alex Smalley (+6000)Matt Wallce (+6000)
Rico Hoey (+6000)Patrick Fishburn (+6500)

Chris Gotterup and Sam Burns enter as co-favorites, but several players just behind them – including McNealy and Wyndham Clark – offer strong value. It’s also worth noting that Max Greyserman is getting respect from the books after his second-place 2024 finish. For more insight, check out our best handicappers page.

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The 3M Open Favorites

The following golfers are considered the early favorites to win the 3M Open, according to the top sports betting sites:

Chris Gotterup (+1800)

Chris Gotterup enters the 2025 3M Open as one of the hottest golfers on the PGA Tour, and with odds of +1800 to win, oddsmakers obviously respect his form. His breakthrough win at the Genesis Scottish Open just two weeks ago highlighted what many analysts have been expecting: Gotterup is ready to contend consistently on Tour. Over his last 10 events, he’s logged two top-five finishes and posted a series of impressive rounds against strong fields. Confidence should be sky-high, and TPC Twin Cities sets up well for his strengths.

Statistically, Gotterup is trending in all the right areas. He ranks 9th on TOUR in Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee and 34th in Total Strokes Gained, but he’s been even better recently, gaining 0.857 strokes off the tee and 1.738 total over his last five starts. His elite driving, paired with solid iron play, gives him a leg up on a course where accuracy and aggression are rewarded. While his season-long putting stats lag behind – he’s just 95th in SG: Putting – he’s been rolling it better of late, gaining nearly 0.3 strokes on the greens per round over his last five events.

TPC Twin Cities hasn’t been a friendly track for Gotterup historically, but that could change this week. He missed the cut in 2023, finished T-31 in 2022, and posted a T-59 in 2024. However, those earlier results came before he emerged as a legitimate Tour force. Now with a win under his belt and a solo third at last week’s Open Championship, he returns to Minnesota as a different player entirely. If he can clean up his approach game – he ranks just 101st in SG: Approach – he has all the tools to contend and potentially win for the second time in three weeks.

One additional advantage for Gotterup is his recent playing schedule. He’s been battle-tested in elite fields, finishing third at The Open, first at the Scottish, and making cuts in the U.S. Open, John Deere, and Rocket Classic. With 1,234 FedExCup points and a ranking of 23rd, he’s safely in playoff position, which allows him to swing freely this week without pressure. Add in a favorable course fit and upward momentum, and Gotterup shapes up as one of the best outright bets on the board.

Sam Burns (+1800)

Sam Burns comes into the 2025 3M Open as one of the most intriguing options on the board at +1800. He’s not in peak form right now, but there’s enough recent upside to justify the pick. Most notably, he finished second at the RBC Canadian Open in early June on the heels of a 62 in the final round. That performance was fueled by hot putting and a sharp short game. Those two skills should serve him well at TPC Twin Cities. He also finished T-5 at the CJ CUP Byron Nelson earlier this season, so while his recent results have been mixed, the ceiling is still there.

One of the most compelling reasons to back Burns this week is his putting. He ranks No. 1 on the Tour in Strokes Gained: Putting with a season-long average of 0.950, and he’s gained over half a stroke per round with the putter over his last five starts. That’s a serious weapon on a course like this, where scoring chances can come in bunches and the winner will likely need to reach 18- to 20-under par. He’s also gained an average of 1.431 total strokes across his last five events. Not quite elite, but plenty good enough to contend in a field without many of the game’s top-tier stars.

Burns’ track record at the 3M is limited but encouraging. He finished T-12 last year at 11-under after stringing together rounds of 70-65-69-69, showing he can navigate this course with consistency. While he missed the event in 2021–2023, he did notch a T-32 finish back in 2020, and his all-around game has evolved quite a bit since then. If he can avoid the occasional blowup round that’s plagued him in recent majors, he has the firepower to be in the mix come Sunday.

The main red flag with Burns is his approach play – he ranks 135th in SG: Approach this season and has struggled to consistently hit greens in regulation. But if his putter gets hot and he can lean on his short game to scramble when necessary, he may not need to be perfect with his irons to compete. Given his odds and upside, Burns is a high-variance play with real win equity, especially if things click early in the week.

Maverick McNealy (+2000)

Maverick McNealy is quietly putting together one of the steadiest seasons on the Tour, and at +2000, he’s an appealing mid-range value heading into the 2025 3M Open. He took third at this event last year after reaching 15-under with rounds of 70-66-63-70, including a sparkling 63 in Round 3. That wasn’t a fluke. In 2021, he finished T-16 at this event, and even in a less inspiring 2022 outing, he still made the cut. TPC Twin Cities suits his game, and with recent form trending in the right direction, he’s well-positioned for another good showing.

McNealy has quietly been gaining ground statistically in several key areas. He ranks 27th on the Tour in Strokes Gained: Total and has averaged +1.055 strokes per round over his last five starts. He also ranks 31st in SG: Putting and has been even better of late, averaging +0.447 SG: Putting over that same five-event span. Combine that with a top-50 rank in SG: Off-the-Tee and SG: Approach, and you’re looking at a well-rounded player who’s capable of stringing four good rounds together.

This season, McNealy already has a pair of top-three finishes, one at the RBC Heritage and the other at the Genesis Invitational. He’s been striking well, but it’s his consistency on the greens and ability to avoid big numbers that make him a sneaky threat in these birdie-fests.

While some players need everything to go right to contend, McNealy has shown he can hang around even when parts of his game aren’t firing. He ranks 11th in FedEx Cup points for a reason.

If there’s a knock on McNealy, it’s that he hasn’t sealed the deal yet in a high-profile PGA Tour event. But he’s been knocking on the door all season, and this might be the right week for a breakthrough. With course familiarity, recent success, and an efficient all-around game, McNealy is one of the sharper bets in the mid-range for the 2025 3M Open.

The Best 3M Open Betting Value

The following golfers offer the best betting value for this edition of the 3M Open:

Max Greyserman (+2800)

Max Greyserman (+2800) is coming off a career-best runner-up finish at last year’s 3M Open, where he shot a stellar 16-under with rounds of 70-68-67-63. It was one of the most well-rounded performances of the season for the 29-year-old, and it showed how well he can handle TPC Twin Cities. While he hasn’t yet broken through for his first Tour win, Greyserman has shown he can go low, and his closing 63 in the final round last year suggests he’s comfortable with Sunday pressure.

Statistically, Greyserman doesn’t jump off the page in any one category, but he’s been sneaky solid in several key areas. He ranks 54th in Strokes Gained: Total and has gained an average of 1.172 strokes per round across his last five starts. His putting has also been a real strength lately. He’s ranked 28th on the Tour in SG: Putting and has gained +0.333 strokes on the greens this season. At a course that often turns into a birdie shootout, hot putting can be a major separator.

His performance at the Rocket Classic earlier this summer – where he tied for second with a 22-under total – adds another reason to believe he can contend here. That was a similar setup: an easier scoring course with soft greens and an emphasis on making birdies. Plus, a weaker field. Greyserman’s shown he can keep pace in those environments, and he enters this week with confidence from recent low scores.

At +2800, Greyserman is flying under the radar compared to bigger names, but his combination of recent form, course history, and putting upside makes him a decent sleeper. He’ll need a clean week with the driver to avoid trouble off the tee, but if he can stay in the fairway, his short game is good enough to give him a real shot at winning his first PGA Tour title.

Michael Thorbjornsen (+3500)

Michael Thorbjornsen (+3500) might not be on every bettor’s radar for the 3M Open, but his ball-striking makes him a fun longshot. Although he missed the cut here last year with rounds of 66-77, he’s one of the most statistically gifted tee-to-green players on the Tour. His Strokes Gained: Off-the-Tee numbers are elite. he ranks sixth overall and has gained nearly a full stroke (0.958) per round in his past five tournaments with the driver.

He’s posted three top-five finishes in his last ten starts, including a T-2 at the Corales Puntacana Championship and a T-4 at the Rocket Classic, where he finished 21-under. Both events were played on relatively easy setups that required aggressive scoring. That’s a good comp for what players typically face at TPC Twin Cities. If Thorbjornsen can replicate that low-scoring mindset and avoid the big numbers, he could find himself in the mix this weekend.

The glaring issue in his profile is putting. His -0.120 SG: Putting mark ranks 131st on TOUR, and even though he’s slightly improved lately (+0.254 SG: Putting over his last five starts), it remains his weakest link. That said, TPC Twin Cities tends to favor bombers who can generate birdie looks, and Thorbjornsen fits the mold if he can convert just enough opportunities.

At +3500, there’s value in banking on his upside, especially when he’s gaining over 1.26 total strokes per round in recent form. If he finds a neutral putting week, Thorbjornsen has the ball-striking tools to outscore the field and make a serious run at his first PGA Tour victory.

The Top 3M Open Longshot

Keith Mitchell (+5500) is another enticing longshot at this year’s 3M Open, especially given his past success at TPC Twin Cities. He finished T-5 here in 2023 at 16-under and also logged a solo fifth-place finish in 2021. While his most recent appearance was a modest T-46, his history at this course suggests he can contend.

Mitchell is among the better drivers on the Tour, ranking 13th in SG: Off-the-Tee this season with an average of 0.518 strokes gained. His ability to hit it long and straight (314.9 yards, 12th on TOUR) fits well at a course that rewards aggressive play off the tee. While his putting has been slightly below average overall (-0.013 SG: Total in his past five), he’s shown flashes with the putter, including a solid T-2 at Corales, where he shot 64-69-71-71 to finish 13-under.

Consistency has been an issue. He’s missed the cut in three of his last ten starts, but when he finds his rhythm, he’s capable of going low. Mitchell has gained strokes Off-the-Tee in nearly every tournament and owns a top-10 scoring week at this event in two of the past four years. At +5500, he’s a high-risk, high-reward play worth a sprinkle if you’re hunting for value.

3M Open Predictions

My golf pick to win this thing, is Maverick McNealey (+2000) as I really like his value. He’s coming off a T-3 finish at this event last year. That wasn’t an outlier, either. McNealy also posted a T-16 in 2021 and has gained strokes Off-the-Tee and Putting at a consistently stellar rate this season. His recent form, course history, and all-around statistical balance makes him a serious contender.

McNealy ranks 38th on the Tour in SG: Off-the-Tee, 31st in Putting, and 27th in Total Strokes Gained. Those are all signs that his game travels well. He’s also quietly one of the most efficient scorers when things are clicking, evidenced by his third-place showing at the RBC Heritage (-14) and top-5 finishes in two of his last ten events.

With a complete skill set, good momentum, and an affinity for this course, McNealy has all the ingredients to break through with a win this week.

Bet: Maverick McNealey (+2000)

3M Open Winners

The following is a list of the most recent 3M Open winners:

YearWinnerWinning Margin
2024Jhonattan Vegas1 stroke
2023Lee Hodges7 strokes
2022Tony Finau3 strokes
2021Cameron Champ2 strokes
2020 Michael Thompson2 strokes
2019Matthew Wolff1 stroke